Burnley vs Charlton Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app
Burnley
HomeFull Time
2 - 2
HT: 1 - 0
Tuesday 13 October
Charlton
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Model Confidence
11.60
X3.94
25.33
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
60
Best near-miss
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #22 vs Away #12
Season: Home 0.78 PPG vs Away 1.44 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.75 PPG vs Away 0.50 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.25 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
55%
23%
22%
Burnley
Draw
Charlton
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.80 | 1.98 | 1.94 | -8.9% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.92 | 2.02 | 2.07 | -5.2% |
| Burnley Win | 1.60 | 1.81 | 1.70 | -11.6% |
| Draw | 4.00 | 4.36 | 4.26 | -8.2% |
| Charlton Athletic Win | 5.25 | 4.79 | 5.59 | +9.7% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.80 | 1.87 | 1.95 | -3.7% |
| BTTS - No | 1.90 | 2.15 | 2.06 | -11.7% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Burnley
Starting 11
-Grégoire Coudert
GK7.56
-Lucas Pires
DL7.06
-Igor Julio
DC7.12
-Anel Ahmedhodzic
DC6.56
-Kyle Walker
DR6.49
-Reo Hatate
DMC6.77
-Max Alleyne
DMC6.51
-Jacob Bruun Larsen
AML6.69
-Josh Laurent
AMC6.21
-Marcus Edwards
AMR6.55
-Jamie Vardy
FW5.94
Charlton
Starting 11
-Arthur Okonkwo
GK6.75
-Ivan Mesík
DL6.46
-Billy Koumetio
DC6.99
-Lloyd Jones
DC7.15
-Dan McNamara
DR6.38
-Oliver Skipp
DMC6.55
-Conor Coventry
DMC6.51
-Tyreece Campbell
AML6.82
-Karlan Grant
AMC6.66
-Millenic Alli
AMR6.13
-Miles Leaburn
FW6.77
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
Match Preview
Burnley finally got their first win on the board on Saturday afternoon, hammering a struggling Watford side 4-0 at Vicarage Road after scoring three times in the first 25 minutes. The Clarets have now lost just one of their last four league games.
Charlton raced into an early lead after Karlan Grant's eighth-minute opener on Saturday, but the Clarets couldn't close out the win against Bristol City. The London club have failed to win any of their last six league games.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 9 matchesBurnleyvsCharlton
1.44Goals / Match0.89
1.89Conceded / Match1.22
1Clean Sheets3
4.11Shots on Target / Match2.78
49.6%Possession %39.7%
82.5%Pass Accuracy %74.5%
radarTeam Profile
Burnley
Charlton
sports_soccer
48Attack14
shield
21Defense51
swap_horiz
54Possession22
gps_fixed
52Efficiency48
auto_fix_high
54Creativity19
gavel
47Discipline48
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
13Goals Scored8
17Goals Conceded11
1Clean Sheets3
21Big Chances11
16Big Chances Missed7
1Penalty Goals0
gps_fixedShooting
123Total Shots89
37Shots on Target25
swap_horizPassing & Possession
49.6%Avg Possession39.7%
4,093Total Passes2,889
82.5%Pass Accuracy74.5%
shieldDefending
114Tackles122
64Interceptions71
24Saves30
45.3%Duels Won51.7%
gavelDiscipline
95Fouls109
18Yellow Cards14
1Red Cards1
20Offsides21
analyticsOther
41Corners40
63Successful Dribbles44
4Errors Leading to Goal1
7.00Avg Rating7.19
Statistical Comparison
BurnleyMetricCharlton
12
Goals
8
10
Assists
5
6.5
Average Ratings
6.4
28.8
Average Age
25.7
182
Average Height (cm)
183.8
1.1
Shots pg
0.8
42%
Aerial Duel Success
53%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.5
1
Tackles pg
1.3
history Recent Form
BurnleyD
L
D
D
D
CharltonL
L
D
L
W
group Head to Head
PL7 May 2016
0-3
PL19 Dec 2015
4-0
PL22 Mar 2014
0-3
PL28 Sept 2013
3-0
PL2 Mar 2013
0-1
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
25%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
6 / 8 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
5 / 8 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
13%
1 / 8 matches
Both Teams to Score
25%
2 / 8 matches
Burnley CS
63%
Clean Sheets
Charlton CS
13%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
7 May 2016
Charlton Athletic
0 - 3
Burnley
19 Dec 2015
Burnley
4 - 0
Charlton Athletic
22 Mar 2014
Charlton Athletic
0 - 3
Burnley
28 Sept 2013
Burnley
3 - 0
Charlton Athletic
2 Mar 2013
Charlton Athletic
0 - 1
Burnley
17 Nov 2012
Burnley
0 - 1
Charlton Athletic
31 Jan 2009
Burnley
2 - 1
Charlton Athletic
25 Oct 2008
Charlton Athletic
1 - 1
Burnley
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
0.75
Form (Overall)
1.00
Charlton is +33% better in terms of Points Per Game
Burnley
1 - 1
Derby County
Burnley
1 - 2
Bristol City
Burnley
1 - 1
Middlesbrough
Burnley
2 - 2
West Ham United
Burnley
1 - 1
Notts County
Cardiff City
3 - 1
Charlton Athletic
Stoke City
4 - 0
Charlton Athletic
West Bromwich Albion
1 - 1
Charlton Athletic
Tottenham Hotspur
5 - 1
Charlton Athletic
West Ham United
1 - 2
Charlton Athletic
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