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Burnley vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app

Burnley

Burnley

Home
Full Time
1 - 1
HT: 0 - 1
Wednesday 2 September
Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

Away
BurnleyTimelineMiddlesbrough
1st Half
Morris A. (Berhalter S.)
sports_soccer
23'
Mejbri H.
28'
Lankshear W.
39'
2nd Half
Ramazani L.Out: Hountondji A.
sync_alt
46'
Alleyne M.Out: Mejbri H.
sync_alt
46'
Raghouber U. (Amdouni Z.)
sports_soccer
54'
Conway T.Out: McGree R.
sync_alt
61'
Castledine L.Out: Joseph K.
sync_alt
61'
Jones A.
71'
Ramsey A.Out: Amdouni Z.
sync_alt
71'
Phillips A.Out: Jones A.
sync_alt
74'
Broja A.Out: Bruun Larsen J.
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77'
Tresor Ndayishimiye M.Out: Satpaev D.
sync_alt
81'
Strelec D.Out: Lankshear W.
sync_alt
87'
Raghouber U.
90+1'

Top stats

0.63Expected goals (xG)1.23
42%Ball possession58%
11Total shots10
3Shots on target2
0Big chances3
5Corner kicks1
77% (295/384)Passes86% (465/540)
2Yellow cards2

Shots

0.63Expected goals (xG)1.23
1.42xG on target (xGOT)0.35
11Total shots10
3Shots on target2
4Shots off target5
4Blocked shots3
6Shots inside the box4
5Shots outside the box6
0Hit the woodwork1

Attack

0Big chances3
5Corner kicks1
19Touches in opposition box26
0Accurate through passes0
2Offsides6
8Free kicks11

Passes

77% (295/384)Passes86% (465/540)
32% (24/74)Long passes46% (18/39)
65% (75/116)Passes in final third77% (147/190)
17% (3/18)Crosses8% (1/12)
0.39Expected assists (xA)1.36
16Throw ins23

Defense

11Fouls8
56% (10/18)Tackles52% (11/21)
39Duels won53
22Clearances15
10Interceptions10
1Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves2
0.35xGOT faced1.42
-0.65Goals prevented0.42
12Goal kicks5
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.75
X3.61
22.47

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Odds: 2.50Stake: High (10/10)
100
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #23 vs Away #7
Season: Home 0.50 PPG vs Away 1.40 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.27 PPG vs Away 2.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.25 GPG vs Away 1.20 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

17%
16%
67%
Burnley
Draw
Middlesbrough
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.722.13-19.2%
Burnley Win2.705.88-54.1%
Draw3.506.25-44.0%
Middlesbrough Win2.501.49+67.8%
BTTS - Yes1.582.22-28.8%

Match Preview

Burnley were punished by Norwich's in-form attacking duo of Andre Brooks and Mo Toure on Saturday afternoon, with both players bagging braces in a dismal 4-1 away defeat at Carrow Road. Only Preston and Stoke have fewer points from the first three league games than the recently relegated side.

Middlesbrough have reacted well after suffering a shock away defeat to Blackburn in gameweek two, securing back-to-back victories against Doncaster and West Brom in two different competitions. The Teessiders have won four of their five competitive matches this season.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Burnley

Starting 11
-Max Weiss
GK6.02
-Connor Roberts
DL6.00
-Anel Ahmedhodzic
DC5.57
-Max Alleyne
DC6.26
-Kyle Walker
DR6.02
-Ugo Raghouber
DMC6.38
-Hannibal Mejbri
DMC5.93
-Jacob Bruun Larsen
AML6.60
-Aaron Ramsey
AMC6.28
-Marcus Edwards
AMR6.39
-Zian Flemming
FW7.14

Middlesbrough

Starting 11
-Radek Vítek
GK6.38
-Neto Borges
DL6.65
-Adilson Malanda
DC7.10
-Luke Ayling
DC6.83
-Callum Brittain
DR6.95
-Sebastian Berhalter
DMC6.91
-Aidan Morris
DMC6.69
-Max Arfsten
AML7.02
-Riley McGree
AMC6.54
-Morgan Whittaker
AMR7.16
-Will Lankshear
FW7.46
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 3 / 2 matches
BurnleyvsMiddlesbrough
1.33Goals / Match0.50
3.00Conceded / Match2.00
0Clean Sheets0

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

4Goals Scored1
9Goals Conceded4
1Penalty Goals0

Statistical Comparison

BurnleyMetricMiddlesbrough
3
Goals
6
2
Assists
3
6.2
Average Ratings
6.7
26.1
Average Age
25.9
182.2
Average Height (cm)
183.3
1.6
Shots pg
1.4
45%
Aerial Duel Success
56%
0.7
Dribbles pg
0.9
0.8
Tackles pg
1.8

history Recent Form

BurnleyBurnley
0.5 GPG
L
L
D
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
1.4 GPG
W
L
W

group Head to Head

PL29 Dec 2024
Middlesbrough
0-0
Burnley
PL6 Dec 2024
Burnley
1-1
Middlesbrough
PL7 Apr 2023
Middlesbrough
1-2
Burnley
PL17 Dec 2022
Burnley
3-1
Middlesbrough
PL8 Apr 2017
Middlesbrough
0-0
Burnley
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
59%
10 / 17 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
6 / 17 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
3 / 17 matches
Both Teams to Score
47%
8 / 17 matches
Burnley CS
29%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough CS
41%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

29 Dec 2024
Middlesbrough
0 - 0
Burnley
6 Dec 2024
Burnley
1 - 1
Middlesbrough
7 Apr 2023
Middlesbrough
1 - 2
Burnley
17 Dec 2022
Burnley
3 - 1
Middlesbrough
8 Apr 2017
Middlesbrough
0 - 0
Burnley
26 Dec 2016
Burnley
1 - 0
Middlesbrough
19 Apr 2016
Burnley
1 - 1
Middlesbrough
9 Jan 2016
Middlesbrough
1 - 2
Burnley
15 Dec 2015
Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Burnley
12 Apr 2014
Burnley
0 - 1
Middlesbrough
26 Dec 2013
Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Burnley
19 Feb 2013
Burnley
0 - 0
Middlesbrough

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Burnley
0.50
Form (Overall)
Middlesbrough
1.40

Middlesbrough is +180% better in terms of Points Per Game

Norwich City
4 - 1
Burnley
West Bromwich Albion
3 - 1
Burnley
Burnley
2 - 2
West Ham United
Middlesbrough
3 - 1
West Bromwich Albion
Blackburn Rovers
2 - 1
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
2 - 1
Lincoln City

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