Burton vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction & Tips | League One | FootballTips.app

Burton

Burton

Home
Full Time
4 - 1
HT: 2 - 1
Wednesday 2 September
AFC Wimbledon

AFC Wimbledon

Away
BurtonTimelineAFC Wimbledon
1st Half
Stockley J. (Tilley J.)
sports_soccer
18'
Evans G.
sports_soccer
28'
Smith A.Assist: Own goal
sports_soccer
34'
2nd Half
Webster C. (Lofthouse K.)
sports_soccer
46'
Sasu A.Out: McNeilly D.
sync_alt
61'
Maycock C.Out: Nelson Z.
sync_alt
61'
Sessegnon S.Out: Sweeney D.
sync_alt
61'
Lewis J.Out: Evans G.
sync_alt
65'
Adom K.Out: Collar W.
sync_alt
65'
Yiadom A.
72'
Vickers C. (Krubally S.)
sports_soccer
76'
Adiele E.Out: Vickers C.
sync_alt
81'
Armer J.
83'
Araujo H.Out: Armer J.
sync_alt
90+1'
Scutt Z.Out: Lofthouse K.
sync_alt
90+1'

Top stats

0.93Expected goals (xG)1.33
50%Ball possession50%
10Total shots18
5Shots on target4
1Big chances2
4Corner kicks7
78% (337/432)Passes80% (330/412)
1Yellow cards1

Shots

0.93Expected goals (xG)1.33
0.83xG on target (xGOT)0.51
10Total shots18
5Shots on target4
3Shots off target8
2Blocked shots6
5Shots inside the box12
5Shots outside the box5
0Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals1

Attack

1Big chances2
4Corner kicks7
15Touches in opposition box29
1Accurate through passes0
1Offsides3
14Free kicks8

Passes

78% (337/432)Passes80% (330/412)
36% (23/64)Long passes32% (21/65)
59% (61/103)Passes in final third56% (83/147)
0% (0/7)Crosses33% (10/30)
0.91Expected assists (xA)0.96
11Throw ins22

Defense

8Fouls14
58% (11/19)Tackles50% (8/16)
58Duels won54
32Clearances12
6Interceptions13
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves2
0.51xGOT faced0.83
-0.49Goals prevented-2.17
12Goal kicks5
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
11.98
X3.18
23.76

Recommended Bet

cancel
Draw
Odds: 3.35Stake: Low (5/10)
49
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #12 vs Away #14
Season: Home 1.20 PPG vs Away 1.30 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.27 PPG vs Away 1.53 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.00 GPG vs Away 0.50 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

47%
35%
17%
Burton
Draw
AFC Wimbledon
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals2.052.94-30.3%
Burton Albion Win1.992.13-6.6%
Draw3.352.86+17.1%
AFC Wimbledon Win3.155.88-46.4%
BTTS - Yes1.832.63-30.4%

Match Preview

Curtis Tilt's late red card set the cat amongst the pigeons on Saturday as Burton Albion were beaten 2-1 after leading heading into the 78th minute. That was the first league defeat of the season for Gary Bowyer's side, who are yet to keep a clean sheet in all competitions.

Fortunately for the Brewers, their visitors are as toothless as their defence is leaky. AFC Wimbledon claimed their first win of the season in all competitions on Sunday with a narrow victory over Wigan, but the London club have scored just three goals in six competitive outings this season.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Burton

Starting 11
-Corey Addai
GK6.77
-Harvey Araujo
DC
-Finn Delap
DC7.11
-Toby Sibbick
DC6.42
-Jack Armer
DML7.51
-George Evans
MC6.45
-Sulyman Krubally
MC6.72
-Kyran Lofthouse
DMR6.70
-Kgaogelo Chauke
AMC6.85
-Charlie Webster
AMC6.65
-Tyrese Shade
FW5.82

AFC Wimbledon

Starting 11
-Nathan Bishop
GK5.40
-Ryan Johnson
DC6.70
-Isaac Ogundere
DC6.86
-Dan Sweeney
DC7.30
-Steve Seddon
DML6.86
-Myles Hippolyte
MC6.45
-Alistair Smith
MC6.33
-Zack Nelson
MC6.08
-James Tilley
DMR6.57
-Jayden Stockley
FW6.67
-Donnell McNeilly
FW6.79
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 3 matches
BurtonvsAFC Wimbledon
1.33Goals / Match0.33
1.33Conceded / Match1.00
0Clean Sheets2
3.00Shots on Target / Match1.67
39.3%Possession %47.0%
70.4%Pass Accuracy %73.2%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

4Goals Scored1
4Goals Conceded3
0Clean Sheets2
2Big Chances2
1Big Chances Missed1

gps_fixedShooting

25Total Shots28
9Shots on Target5

swap_horizPassing & Possession

39.3%Avg Possession47.0%
956Total Passes1,016
70.4%Pass Accuracy73.2%

shieldDefending

54Tackles39
29Interceptions26
11Saves8
49.7%Duels Won48.2%

gavelDiscipline

55Fouls36
7Yellow Cards9
1Red Cards0
7Offsides5

analyticsOther

6Corners17
11Successful Dribbles7
0Errors Leading to Goal1
7.00Avg Rating7.04

Statistical Comparison

BurtonMetricAFC Wimbledon
4
Goals
1
3
Assists
1
6.6
Average Ratings
6.4
24.3
Average Age
27
183.1
Average Height (cm)
184.9
1
Shots pg
0.9
57%
Aerial Duel Success
48%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.9
Tackles pg
1.3

history Recent Form

BurtonBurton
1.2 GPG
L
W
D
AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon
1.3 GPG
W
D
L

group Head to Head

PL11 Apr 2026
Burton Albion
1-0
AFC Wimbledon
PL25 Oct 2025
AFC Wimbledon
0-1
Burton Albion
PL22 Jan 2022
Burton Albion
1-1
AFC Wimbledon
PL2 Oct 2021
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
Burton Albion
PL9 Mar 2021
AFC Wimbledon
0-1
Burton Albion
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
60%
6 / 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
20%
2 / 10 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
10%
1 / 10 matches
Both Teams to Score
40%
4 / 10 matches
Burton CS
60%
Clean Sheets
AFC Wimbledon CS
0%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

11 Apr 2026
Burton Albion
1 - 0
AFC Wimbledon
25 Oct 2025
AFC Wimbledon
0 - 1
Burton Albion
22 Jan 2022
Burton Albion
1 - 1
AFC Wimbledon
2 Oct 2021
AFC Wimbledon
1 - 1
Burton Albion
9 Mar 2021
AFC Wimbledon
0 - 1
Burton Albion
24 Oct 2020
Burton Albion
1 - 1
AFC Wimbledon
28 Jan 2020
AFC Wimbledon
2 - 2
Burton Albion
22 Oct 2019
Burton Albion
1 - 0
AFC Wimbledon
9 Feb 2019
AFC Wimbledon
0 - 2
Burton Albion
1 Sept 2018
Burton Albion
3 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Burton
1.20
Form (Overall)
AFC Wimbledon
1.30

AFC Wimbledon is +8% better in terms of Points Per Game

Notts County
2 - 1
Burton Albion
Leicester City
1 - 2
Burton Albion
Burton Albion
1 - 1
Stevenage
AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Wigan Athletic
AFC Wimbledon
0 - 0
Reading
Huddersfield Town
3 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

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