Burton vs Cambridge Utd Prediction & Tips | League One | FootballTips.app

Burton

Burton

Home
Full Time
2 - 2
HT: 1 - 1
Saturday 5 September
Cambridge Utd

Cambridge Utd

Away
BurtonTimelineCambridge Utd
1st Half
Ball D.
16'
Delap F.
sports_soccer
19'
Krubally S.
31'
Ahadme G. (Moxon O.)
sports_soccer
43'
2nd Half
Mpanzu P.Out: Moxon O.
sync_alt
56'
Kaikai S.Out: Heath I.
sync_alt
57'
Adom K.Out: Borges Rodrigues R.
sync_alt
60'
Collar W.Out: Krubally S.
sync_alt
61'
Ahadme G. (Bradshaw Z.)
sports_soccer
65'
Bangura-Williams R.Out: Knight B.
sync_alt
69'
Appere L.Out: Ahadme G.
sync_alt
70'
Scutt Z.Out: Vickers C.
sync_alt
74'
Lewis J.Out: Delap F.
sync_alt
74'
Tilt C. (Lofthouse K.)
sports_soccer
90'
Harris N.
90+1'
Perry C.
90+2'

Top stats

2.31Expected goals (xG)0.90
56%Ball possession44%
13Total shots10
3Shots on target3
3Big chances2
2Corner kicks7
74% (294/395)Passes66% (200/302)
1Yellow cards2

Shots

2.31Expected goals (xG)0.90
2.23xG on target (xGOT)0.99
13Total shots10
3Shots on target3
6Shots off target7
4Blocked shots0
7Shots inside the box8
6Shots outside the box2
1Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals1

Attack

3Big chances2
2Corner kicks7
16Touches in opposition box35
0Accurate through passes0
0Offsides1
18Free kicks12

Passes

74% (294/395)Passes66% (200/302)
29% (21/72)Long passes29% (24/83)
57% (69/120)Passes in final third51% (64/126)
25% (3/12)Crosses33% (8/24)
0.66Expected assists (xA)1.23
19Throw ins30

Defense

12Fouls18
58% (11/19)Tackles53% (8/15)
74Duels won50
45Clearances22
9Interceptions9
0Errors leading to shot0
1Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

0Goalkeeper saves1
0.99xGOT faced2.23
-1.01Goals prevented0.23
9Goal kicks9
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Confidence
12.86
X3.08
22.43

Recommended Bet

cancel
Home Win
Odds: 2.80Stake: Medium (7/10)
66
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #4 vs Away #6
Season: Home 1.40 PPG vs Away 1.50 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.83 PPG vs Away 1.72 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.60 GPG vs Away 0.75 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

45%
31%
24%
Burton
Draw
Cambridge Utd
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals2.101.90+10.4%
Burton Albion Win2.802.23+25.5%
Draw3.303.20+3.0%
Cambridge United Win2.404.17-42.5%
BTTS - Yes1.801.86-3.3%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Burton Albion produced the perfect response to their defeat against Notts County, hammering AFC Wimbledon 4-1 on Wednesday with an impressive performance. The Brewers were tipped for relegation this season but sit fourth in the standings heading into gameweek five.

Substitute Ben Knight was the hero on Tuesday night as Cambridge United took all three points home from Valley Parade thanks to his 88th-minute goal. Neil Harris' side ended a run of back-to-back defeats with that result.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Burton

Starting 11
-Corey Addai
GK6.67
-Finn Delap
DC7.19
-Curtis Tilt
DC6.33
-Toby Sibbick
DC6.50
-Jack Armer
DML7.53
-George Evans
MC6.81
-Sulyman Krubally
MC7.13
-Kyran Lofthouse
DMR6.81
-Kgaogelo Chauke
AMC6.84
-Charlie Webster
AMC6.89
-Caylan Vickers
FW7.68

Cambridge Utd

Starting 11
-Jake Eastwood
GK6.58
-Callum Perry
DC6.22
-Kelland Watts
DC7.16
-Cathal Heffernan
DC6.74
-Zak Bradshaw
DML6.60
-Owen Moxon
MC6.39
-Dominic Ball
MC6.54
-Liam Bennett
DMR6.89
-Sullay Kaikai
AMC6.62
-Ra'ees Bangura-Williams
AMC6.91
-Louis Appéré
FW6.74
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 4 matches
BurtonvsCambridge Utd
2.00Goals / Match1.75
1.25Conceded / Match1.50
0Clean Sheets0
3.50Shots on Target / Match4.50
42.0%Possession %45.0%
72.6%Pass Accuracy %68.2%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

8Goals Scored7
5Goals Conceded6
3Big Chances6
1Big Chances Missed2

gps_fixedShooting

35Total Shots43
14Shots on Target18

swap_horizPassing & Possession

42.0%Avg Possession45.0%
1,388Total Passes1,398
72.6%Pass Accuracy68.2%

shieldDefending

73Tackles45
35Interceptions30
13Saves10
50.5%Duels Won51.9%

gavelDiscipline

63Fouls36
8Yellow Cards5
1Red Cards0
8Offsides6

analyticsOther

10Corners20
15Successful Dribbles16
0Errors Leading to Goal1
7.23Avg Rating7.04

Statistical Comparison

BurtonMetricCambridge Utd
7
Goals
7
5
Assists
4
6.7
Average Ratings
6.6
25.1
Average Age
25.5
184.4
Average Height (cm)
184.9
1.1
Shots pg
0.9
53%
Aerial Duel Success
53%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.4
1.8
Tackles pg
1.1

history Recent Form

BurtonBurton
1.4 GPG
W
L
W
D
Cambridge UtdCambridge Utd
1.5 GPG
W
L
D
W

group Head to Head

PL26 Apr 2025
Burton Albion
2-1
Cambridge United
PL26 Oct 2024
Cambridge United
1-0
Burton Albion
PL27 Jan 2024
Cambridge United
0-0
Burton Albion
PL9 Oct 2023
Burton Albion
2-1
Cambridge United
PL3 May 2023
Burton Albion
1-0
Cambridge United
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
67%
6 / 9 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
6 / 9 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
3 / 9 matches
Both Teams to Score
56%
5 / 9 matches
Burton CS
22%
Clean Sheets
Cambridge Utd CS
33%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

26 Apr 2025
Burton Albion
2 - 1
Cambridge United
26 Oct 2024
Cambridge United
1 - 0
Burton Albion
27 Jan 2024
Cambridge United
0 - 0
Burton Albion
9 Oct 2023
Burton Albion
2 - 1
Cambridge United
3 May 2023
Burton Albion
1 - 0
Cambridge United
27 Aug 2022
Cambridge United
4 - 3
Burton Albion
12 Feb 2022
Burton Albion
2 - 2
Cambridge United
21 Aug 2021
Cambridge United
3 - 0
Burton Albion
6 Oct 2020
Burton Albion
2 - 4
Cambridge United

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Burton
1.40
Form (Overall)
Cambridge Utd
1.50

Cambridge Utd is +7% better in terms of Points Per Game

Burton Albion
4 - 1
AFC Wimbledon
Notts County
2 - 1
Burton Albion
Leicester City
1 - 2
Burton Albion
Burton Albion
1 - 1
Stevenage
Bradford City
1 - 2
Cambridge United
Cambridge United
1 - 2
Huddersfield Town
Bromley
1 - 1
Cambridge United
Cambridge United
3 - 2
Wigan Athletic

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