Burton vs Doncaster Prediction & Tips | League One

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Burton

Home

Full Time

1 - 2

HT: 0 - 2

Tuesday 3 February

Doncaster

Away

BurtonTimelineDoncaster

1st Half

Molyneux L.(Penalty)

sports_soccer

Bailey O.Assist: Molyneux L.

sports_soccer

12'

Gotts R.

29'

Senior J.

45+1'

2nd Half

Revan S.Out: Armer J.

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46'

Shade T.Out: Adom K.

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46'

Vancooten T.Out: Sibbick T.

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46'

Sharp B.Out: Lee E.

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60'

Cannon A.Out: Chauke K.

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66'

Lofthouse K. (Evans G.)

sports_soccer

74'

Beesley J.

78'

Pearson M.Out: Adelakun H.

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78'

Tavares F.Out: McKiernan J. J.

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90'

Top stats

0.93Expected goals (xG)2.87

64%Ball possession36%

20Total shots13

4Shots on target6

1Big chances4

20Corner kicks7

69% (239/344)Passes58% (121/207)

1Yellow cards2

Shots

0.93Expected goals (xG)2.87

0.84xG on target (xGOT)2.16

20Total shots13

4Shots on target6

6Shots off target3

10Blocked shots4

16Shots inside the box11

4Shots outside the box2

0Hit the woodwork1

1Headed goals1

Attack

1Big chances4

20Corner kicks7

34Touches in opposition box20

0Accurate through passes1

3Offsides2

13Free kicks14

Passes

69% (239/344)Passes58% (121/207)

39% (28/71)Long passes23% (17/74)

57% (77/136)Passes in final third41% (33/81)

18% (9/50)Crosses36% (4/11)

0.80Expected assists (xA)1.16

30Throw ins15

Defense

14Fouls13

50% (5/10)Tackles31% (4/13)

59Duels won66

13Clearances64

7Interceptions8

0Errors leading to shot0

0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves4

2.16xGOT faced0.84

0.16Goals prevented-0.16

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AI Prediction

verified Medium Confidence

12.87

X3.20

22.36

Recommended Bet

Draw

Stake: Medium (6/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #21 vs Away #22

Season: Home 1.11 PPG vs Away 1.07 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.75 PPG vs Away 1.50 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 1.14 GPG vs Away 0.79 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

32%

41%

26%

Burton

Draw

Doncaster

Match Preview

At Pirelli Stadium on 3rd February 2026 GMT, Burton Albion will square off against Doncaster Rovers in a League One clash.

Positioned 21st with 31 points, Burton Albion will aim to outperform 22nd-placed Doncaster Rovers, who have amassed 30 points so far in the season.

Burton Albion has faced challenges with 3 losses in their last 6 matches across all competitions, while Doncaster Rovers struggled on the road with 9 losses in 14 away league matches.

The head-to-head record slightly favors Doncaster Rovers, with Burton Albion losing 3 of their last 6 encounters.

Prediction: Burton Albion and Doncaster Rovers to draw with a probability of 39%.

League Standings Context

For Burton

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
20	Rotherham	28	8	7	13	31
21	Burton Albion	28	8	7	13	31
22	Doncaster Rovers	28	8	6	14	30

For Doncaster

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
21	Burton Albion	28	8	7	13	31
22	Doncaster Rovers	28	8	6	14	30
23	Northampton Town	28	8	5	15	29

history Recent Form

Burton

1.1 GPG

Doncaster

1.1 GPG

group Head to Head

PL4 Oct 2025

1-1

PL7 Nov 2023

2-1

PL23 Apr 2022

2-0

PL27 Nov 2021

2-0

PL13 Apr 2021

0-3

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

50%

Both Team Score

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Burton

Starting 11

11Fabio Tavares

CF5.59

15Kyran Aiden Lofthouse

6.80

-1Julian Larsson

4.32

4Kgagelo Chauke

CM6.66

5Terence Owen Vancooten

CB6.01

12George Evans

CDM6.67

19Dylan Willis

5.47

3Jack Armer

LB6.46

6Toby Sibbick

CB6.22

-1Alex Hartridge

CB6.64

24Bradley Collins

GK7.01

Substitutes

41Sulyman Krubally

2.60

50Jamal Williamson

56Zac Scutt

1.62

27Kamil Dudek

0.38

38Jack Newall

2.90

39Josh Taroni

1.54

14Nicholas Akoto

1.94

Doncaster

Starting 11

9Brandon Hanlan

CF5.85

17Glenn Middleton

LW6.17

4Owen John Edward Bailey

7.00

7Luke Molyneux

CAM6.94

8George Broadbent

CM6.81

5Matthew Pearson

CB5.19

6Jay McGrath

5.59

16Thomas Nixon

5.61

-1Robbie Gotts

CM5.79

-1Jack Christopher Senior

5.69

-1Ian Lawlor

GK1.64

Substitutes

-1Jordan Gibson

RM6.68

-1Billy Sharp

6.63

15Harry Clifton

CM6.64

2Jamie Sterry

RB6.01

3James Maxwell

LB5.60

27Sean Grehan

3.76

29Thimothee Lo-Tutala

GK4.94

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

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AI Prediction

verified Medium Confidence

12.87

X3.20

22.36

Recommended Bet

Draw

Stake: Medium (6/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #21 vs Away #22

Season: Home 1.11 PPG vs Away 1.07 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.75 PPG vs Away 1.50 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 1.14 GPG vs Away 0.79 GPG

Match Preview

At Pirelli Stadium on 3rd February 2026 GMT, Burton Albion will square off against Doncaster Rovers in a League One clash.

Positioned 21st with 31 points, Burton Albion will aim to outperform 22nd-placed Doncaster Rovers, who have amassed 30 points so far in the season.

Burton Albion has faced challenges with 3 losses in their last 6 matches across all competitions, while Doncaster Rovers struggled on the road with 9 losses in 14 away league matches.

The head-to-head record slightly favors Doncaster Rovers, with Burton Albion losing 3 of their last 6 encounters.

Prediction: Burton Albion and Doncaster Rovers to draw with a probability of 39%.

League Standings Context

For Burton

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
20	Rotherham	28	8	7	13	31
21	Burton Albion	28	8	7	13	31
22	Doncaster Rovers	28	8	6	14	30

For Doncaster

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
21	Burton Albion	28	8	7	13	31
22	Doncaster Rovers	28	8	6	14	30
23	Northampton Town	28	8	5	15	29

Team Performance (Avg)

1.3

Goals Scored / Match

1.5

1.3

Goals Conceded / Match

1.5

Recent Form Stats

Market	Burton	Doncaster
Over 1.5 Goals	69%25/36	86%31/36
Over 2.5 Goals	56%20/36	67%24/36
Both Teams to Score	42%15/36	61%22/36

* Based on last 36 matches

history Recent Form

Burton

1.1 GPG

Doncaster

1.1 GPG

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

83%

10 / 12 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

58%

7 / 12 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

33%

4 / 12 matches

Both Teams to Score

50%

6 / 12 matches

Burton CS

33%

Clean Sheets

Doncaster CS

25%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

4 Oct 2025

Doncaster Rovers

1 - 1

Burton Albion

7 Nov 2023

Doncaster Rovers

2 - 1

Burton Albion

23 Apr 2022

Doncaster Rovers

2 - 0

Burton Albion

27 Nov 2021

Burton Albion

2 - 0

Doncaster Rovers

13 Apr 2021

Doncaster Rovers

0 - 3

Burton Albion

19 Dec 2020

Burton Albion

1 - 3

Doncaster Rovers

2 Nov 2019

Doncaster Rovers

2 - 2

Burton Albion

19 Jan 2019

Doncaster Rovers

2 - 2

Burton Albion

18 Aug 2018

Burton Albion

1 - 0

Doncaster Rovers

8 May 2016

Doncaster Rovers

0 - 0

Burton Albion

19 Dec 2015

Burton Albion

3 - 3

Doncaster Rovers

7 Oct 2014

Burton Albion

0 - 3

Doncaster Rovers

donut_small Win Probabilities

32%

41%

26%

Burton

Draw

Doncaster

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Burton

Starting 11

11Fabio Tavares

CF5.59

15Kyran Aiden Lofthouse

6.80

-1Julian Larsson

4.32

4Kgagelo Chauke

CM6.66

5Terence Owen Vancooten

CB6.01

12George Evans

CDM6.67

19Dylan Willis

5.47

3Jack Armer

LB6.46

6Toby Sibbick

CB6.22

-1Alex Hartridge

CB6.64

24Bradley Collins

GK7.01

Substitutes

41Sulyman Krubally

2.60

50Jamal Williamson

56Zac Scutt

1.62

27Kamil Dudek

0.38

38Jack Newall

2.90

39Josh Taroni

1.54

14Nicholas Akoto

1.94

Doncaster

Starting 11

9Brandon Hanlan

CF5.85

17Glenn Middleton

LW6.17

4Owen John Edward Bailey

7.00

7Luke Molyneux

CAM6.94

8George Broadbent

CM6.81

5Matthew Pearson

CB5.19

6Jay McGrath

5.59

16Thomas Nixon

5.61

-1Robbie Gotts

CM5.79

-1Jack Christopher Senior

5.69

-1Ian Lawlor

GK1.64

Substitutes

-1Jordan Gibson

RM6.68

-1Billy Sharp

6.63

15Harry Clifton

CM6.64

2Jamie Sterry

RB6.01

3James Maxwell

LB5.60

27Sean Grehan

3.76

29Thimothee Lo-Tutala

GK4.94

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

47.4/ 89.1

Dangerous Attacks

45.1/ 94.8

33.0%

Shots on Target

33.0%

11.3

Total Shots

12.9

46.0%

Possession

51.0%

Head-to-Head Summary

Burton Wins

33%

Draws

17%

Doncaster Wins

50%

Total H2H Matches: 6

Past Matches

Last 6: Burton

Home Games: Burton

Last 6: Doncaster

Away Games: Doncaster

group Head to Head

PL4 Oct 2025

1-1

PL7 Nov 2023

2-1

PL23 Apr 2022

2-0

PL27 Nov 2021

2-0

PL13 Apr 2021

0-3

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

50%

Both Team Score

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

1.11

Form (Overall)

1.07

Burton is +4% better in terms of Points Per Game

Burton Albion

2 - 2

Cardiff City

Bolton Wanderers

2 - 1

Burton Albion

Lincoln City

2 - 1

Burton Albion

3 - 1

Huddersfield Town

Plymouth Argyle

3 - 0

Burton Albion

Bradford City

1 - 0

Doncaster Rovers

3 - 0

Leyton Orient

Doncaster Rovers

3 - 3

Wigan Athletic

AFC Wimbledon

0 - 1

Doncaster Rovers

1 - 1

Bolton Wanderers

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