Burton vs Exeter Prediction & Tips | League One | FootballTips.app

Burton

Burton

Home
Full Time
1 - 1
HT: 0 - 1
Saturday 25 April
Exeter

Exeter

Away
BurtonTimelineExeter
1st Half
Niskanen I.
sports_soccer
14'
2nd Half
Aitchison J.Out: Cole R.
sync_alt
46'
Evans G.Out: Chauke K.
sync_alt
49'
Moon J. (Godwin-Malife U.)
sports_soccer
61'
Magennis J.Out: McDonald K.
sync_alt
71'
McKiernan J. J.Out: Cannon A.
sync_alt
71'
Mendes C.Out: Tuterov T.
sync_alt
75'
Woodhouse L.Out: James E.
sync_alt
79'
Rydel R.Out: Andrew D.
sync_alt
79'
Woodhouse L.
88'
Sibbick T.Out: Webster C.
sync_alt
90+5'

Top stats

1.42Expected goals (xG)0.90
48%Ball possession52%
16Total shots6
5Shots on target1
2Big chances2
3Corner kicks1
69% (219/317)Passes70% (247/355)
0Yellow cards1

Shots

1.42Expected goals (xG)0.90
2.32xG on target (xGOT)0.27
16Total shots6
5Shots on target1
5Shots off target3
6Blocked shots2
7Shots inside the box5
9Shots outside the box1
0Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals0

Attack

2Big chances2
3Corner kicks1
30Touches in opposition box17
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides0
11Free kicks11

Passes

69% (219/317)Passes70% (247/355)
35% (26/74)Long passes28% (24/86)
59% (85/145)Passes in final third50% (75/149)
26% (6/23)Crosses7% (1/14)
0.67Expected assists (xA)0.49
31Throw ins15

Defense

11Fouls11
45% (5/11)Tackles50% (8/16)
60Duels won61
35Clearances69
2Interceptions10
0Errors leading to shot0
1Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

0Goalkeeper saves4
0.27xGOT faced2.32
-0.73Goals prevented1.32
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
12.00
X3.37
23.48

Recommended Bet

Draw
Stake: Medium (7/10)
73
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #18 vs Away #21
Season: Home 1.18 PPG vs Away 1.09 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.40 PPG vs Away 1.25 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.18 GPG vs Away 0.95 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

33%
46%
21%
Burton
Draw
Exeter

Match Preview

Charlie Webster's first-half opener was cancelled out by Harry Leonard last weekend as Burton Albion were held to a draw by fellow strugglers Peterborough. The Brewers are unbeaten in four as they take on Exeter, meaning a draw here will confirm their survival.

Exeter fans enjoyed one of the standout moments of the season last weekend as goalkeeper Jack Bycroft scored a 96th-minute equaliser against play-off contenders Stockport County. Saturday's visitors are now unbeaten in three and are only two points behind AFC Wimbledon in 20th place.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Burton

Starting 11
-Bradley Collins
GK6.55
-Alex Hartridge
DC7.03
-Jasper Moon
DC6.76
-Udoka Godwin-Malife
DC6.66
-Jack Armer
ML6.70
-Kgaogelo Chauke
MC6.49
-Charlie Webster
MC7.06
-Kyran Lofthouse
MR7.00
-Andy Cannon
AMC6.43
-Jake Beesley
FW7.12
-Tyrese Shade
FW6.72

Exeter

Starting 11
-Jack Bycroft
GK7.66
-Danny Andrew
DL6.80
-Pierce Sweeney
DC6.74
-Ed James
DC7.49
-Jack McMillan
DR6.46
-Charlie Cummins
DMC6.58
-Kevin McDonald
DMC6.23
-Tymur Tutierov
AML6.51
-Reece Cole
AMC6.58
-Ilmari Niskanen
AMR6.90
-Jayden Wareham
FW6.85
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 44 matches
BurtonvsExeter

radarTeam Profile

Burton
Exeter
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
29Attack26
shield
48Defense46
swap_horiz
23Possession35
gps_fixed
53Efficiency63
auto_fix_high
29Creativity20
gavel
60Discipline52

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

47Goals Scored50
57Goals Conceded58
12Clean Sheets13
85Big Chances72
55Big Chances Missed41
3Penalty Goals3

gps_fixedShooting

498Total Shots465
153Shots on Target152

swap_horizPassing & Possession

46.0%Avg Possession51.0%
13,786Total Passes17,894
67.2%Pass Accuracy76.3%

shieldDefending

655Tackles666
359Interceptions290
121Saves137
50.3%Duels Won48.0%

gavelDiscipline

483Fouls539
73Yellow Cards84
65Offsides113

analyticsOther

237Corners211
264Successful Dribbles188
7Errors Leading to Goal6
6.79Avg Rating6.78

Statistical Comparison

BurtonMetricExeter
46
Goals
49
35
Assists
35
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
25.9
Average Age
26.7
182
Average Height (cm)
182.7
0.8
Shots pg
0.7
50%
Aerial Duel Success
48%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.4
1.1
Tackles pg
1.2

history Recent Form

BurtonBurton
1.2 GPG
D
W
D
D
L
ExeterExeter
1.1 GPG
D
D
W
L
D

group Head to Head

PL3 Mar 2026
Exeter City
1-1
Burton Albion
PL18 Apr 2025
Exeter City
0-0
Burton Albion
PL21 Dec 2024
Burton Albion
1-2
Exeter City
PL16 Mar 2024
Exeter City
1-0
Burton Albion
PL2 Sept 2023
Burton Albion
0-1
Exeter City
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
43%
3 / 7 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
14%
1 / 7 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 7 matches
Both Teams to Score
29%
2 / 7 matches
Burton CS
43%
Clean Sheets
Exeter CS
43%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

3 Mar 2026
Exeter City
1 - 1
Burton Albion
18 Apr 2025
Exeter City
0 - 0
Burton Albion
21 Dec 2024
Burton Albion
1 - 2
Exeter City
16 Mar 2024
Exeter City
1 - 0
Burton Albion
2 Sept 2023
Burton Albion
0 - 1
Exeter City
11 Feb 2023
Burton Albion
1 - 0
Exeter City
17 Sept 2022
Exeter City
0 - 2
Burton Albion

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Burton
1.18
Form (Overall)
Exeter
1.09

Burton is +8% better in terms of Points Per Game

Peterborough United
1 - 1
Burton Albion
Burton Albion
1 - 0
AFC Wimbledon
Mansfield Town
0 - 0
Burton Albion
Burton Albion
1 - 1
Barnsley
Blackpool
1 - 0
Burton Albion
Exeter City
3 - 3
Stockport County
Plymouth Argyle
2 - 2
Exeter City
Exeter City
3 - 0
Doncaster Rovers
Blackpool
1 - 0
Exeter City
Exeter City
0 - 0
Leyton Orient

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