Burton vs Mansfield Prediction & Tips | League One | FootballTips.app
Burton
HomeFull Time
2 - 2
HT: 2 - 1
Saturday 19 September
Mansfield
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Confidence
12.52
X3.20
22.67
Recommended Bet
check_circle
Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.90Stake: Medium (8/10)
76
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #11 vs Away #17
Season: Home 1.33 PPG vs Away 1.17 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.35 PPG vs Away 0.45 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.33 GPG vs Away 0.33 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
56%
23%
21%
Burton
Draw
Mansfield
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.90 | 1.73 | 2.01 | +9.6% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.88 | 2.36 | 1.99 | -20.4% |
| Burton Albion Win | 2.60 | 1.80 | 2.80 | +44.5% |
| Draw | 3.45 | 4.31 | 3.72 | -20.0% |
| Mansfield Town Win | 2.48 | 4.71 | 2.67 | -47.3% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.73 | 1.73 | 1.84 | +0.3% |
| BTTS - No | 2.06 | 2.38 | 2.19 | -13.4% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Match Preview
Burton Albion struggled through a dismal final 15 minutes against Oxford United in gameweek six, conceding three times late on in a heavy defeat at the Kassam Stadium. The Brewers had lost just one of their previous five games before their defeat on the road.
Mansfield defended well after being reduced to 10 men just two minutes after half-time last weekend, hanging on for a point at home to Huddersfield. Nigel Clough's side have won just one of their last six matches in all competitions heading into gameweek seven.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Burton
Starting 11
-Corey Addai
GK6.40
-Joe Lewis
DC6.68
-Curtis Tilt
DC6.71
-Toby Sibbick
DC6.64
-Jack Armer
DML7.17
-Will Collar
MC6.34
-Sulyman Krubally
MC6.80
-Kyran Lofthouse
DMR6.80
-Kgaogelo Chauke
AMC6.83
-Charlie Webster
AMC6.81
-Raphael Borges Rodrigues
FW6.33
Mansfield
Starting 11
-Harry Lewis
GK5.76
-Ryan Sweeney
DC6.92
-Adedeji Oshilaja
DC6.77
-Kyle Knoyle
DC6.17
-Stephen McLaughlin
DML6.64
-Liam Thompson
MC6.55
-Louis Reed
MC6.83
-Elliott Hewitt
MC6.32
-Nathan Moriah-Welsh
DMR6.65
-David McGoldrick
FW6.18
-Michael Smith
FW7.04
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 6 matchesBurtonvsMansfield
1.67Goals / Match1.33
1.67Conceded / Match1.83
0Clean Sheets1
3.33Shots on Target / Match3.67
43.0%Possession %45.2%
71.8%Pass Accuracy %73.0%
radarTeam Profile
Burton
Mansfield
sports_soccer
31Attack35
shield
43Defense42
swap_horiz
20Possession28
gps_fixed
86Efficiency58
auto_fix_high
32Creativity40
gavel
31Discipline32
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
10Goals Scored8
10Goals Conceded11
0Clean Sheets1
6Big Chances10
2Big Chances Missed7
gps_fixedShooting
59Total Shots71
20Shots on Target22
swap_horizPassing & Possession
43.0%Avg Possession45.2%
2,006Total Passes2,169
71.8%Pass Accuracy73.0%
shieldDefending
122Tackles92
58Interceptions67
15Saves17
52.1%Duels Won50.9%
gavelDiscipline
91Fouls85
10Yellow Cards11
1Red Cards1
9Offsides8
analyticsOther
17Corners21
27Successful Dribbles34
1Errors Leading to Goal1
7.05Avg Rating7.00
Statistical Comparison
BurtonMetricMansfield
9
Goals
8
6
Assists
6
6.6
Average Ratings
6.5
25.6
Average Age
30.5
183.9
Average Height (cm)
179.7
1.1
Shots pg
0.9
54%
Aerial Duel Success
54%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.8
Tackles pg
1.1
history Recent Form
BurtonD
W
D
L
D
MansfieldL
L
L
D
W
group Head to Head
PL6 Apr 2026
0-0
PL2 Aug 2025
2-1
PL1 Mar 2025
1-1
PL17 Aug 2024
3-3
PL21 Nov 2023
2-1
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
83%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
5 / 6 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
4 / 6 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
1 / 6 matches
Both Teams to Score
83%
5 / 6 matches
Burton CS
17%
Clean Sheets
Mansfield CS
17%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
6 Apr 2026
Mansfield Town
0 - 0
Burton Albion
2 Aug 2025
Burton Albion
2 - 1
Mansfield Town
1 Mar 2025
Burton Albion
1 - 1
Mansfield Town
17 Aug 2024
Mansfield Town
3 - 3
Burton Albion
21 Nov 2023
Burton Albion
2 - 1
Mansfield Town
12 Nov 2019
Burton Albion
1 - 2
Mansfield Town
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.67
Form (Overall)
0.00
Burton is +100% better in terms of Points Per Game
Burton Albion
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Exeter City
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Reading
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Peterborough United
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Peterborough United
0 - 0
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Huddersfield Town
1 - 4
Mansfield Town
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