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Cagliari vs Lecce Prediction & Tips | Serie A | FootballTips.app

Cagliari

Cagliari

Home
Full Time
1 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Monday 7 September
Lecce

Lecce

Away
CagliariTimelineLecce
1st Half
Maldini D.Assist: Fazzini J.
sports_soccer
29'
Gaspar K.
37'
2nd Half
Fatah A.Out: Ngom O.
sync_alt
46'
Felici M.Out: Fazzini J.
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61'
Kofler R.Out: Rodriguez J.
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66'
Fadera A.Out: Maldini D.
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66'
Siebert J.Out: Gaspar K.
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66'
Maleh Y.Out: Ilic I.
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66'
Ndri K.Out: Monteiro J.
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66'
Sugamele A.Out: Mendy P.
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74'
Gagliardini R.Out: Felici M.
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74'
Berisha M.Out: Pierotti S.
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82'
Deiola A.
90+5'
Siebert J.
90+5'
Falcone W.
90+7'

Top stats

1.35Expected goals (xG)0.41
42%Ball possession58%
20Total shots10
9Shots on target3
3Big chances0
7Corner kicks5
82% (304/372)Passes82% (425/517)
1Yellow cards3

Shots

1.35Expected goals (xG)0.41
1.80xG on target (xGOT)0.89
20Total shots10
9Shots on target3
7Shots off target4
4Blocked shots3
11Shots inside the box4
9Shots outside the box6
2Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals0

Attack

3Big chances0
7Corner kicks5
29Touches in opposition box14
0Accurate through passes0
5Offsides1
13Free kicks9

Passes

82% (304/372)Passes82% (425/517)
38% (15/40)Long passes41% (19/46)
75% (70/93)Passes in final third56% (65/116)
29% (6/21)Crosses6% (1/16)
0.68Expected assists (xA)0.60
14Throw ins27

Defense

9Fouls13
92% (11/12)Tackles62% (13/21)
37Duels won46
36Clearances24
13Interceptions3
0Errors leading to shot2
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves8
0.89xGOT faced1.80
0.89Goals prevented0.80
6Goal kicks7
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
11.98
X3.22
24.40

Recommended Bet

cancel
Away Win
Odds: 4.20Stake: Medium (6/10)
56
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #11 vs Away #14
Season: Home 1.80 PPG vs Away 1.40 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.36 PPG vs Away 1.36 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 0.71 GPG vs Away 1.17 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

45%
27%
27%
Cagliari
Draw
Lecce
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals2.132.08+2.5%
Cagliari Win2.102.20-4.5%
Draw3.103.69-16.0%
Lecce Win4.203.65+15.0%
BTTS - Yes2.001.87+6.7%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Both sides meet at the Unipol Domus tied on three points from their opening two fixtures.

Cagliari enter the match looking to bounce back after consecutive defeats—dropping their last league match to Inter and suffering a midweek Coppa Italia exit against Verona.

Lecce, meanwhile, are eager to redeem themselves after a heavy 4-0 home defeat against Roma.

Cagliari have won two of the last three Serie A meetings between the sides, but Lecce have proved stubborn visitors, avoiding defeat in four of their last five league trips to Sardinia.

Having won their last three Serie A away matches spanning back to last season, Lecce stand on the brink of matching their all-time club record of four consecutive top-flight away victories—a feat they last achieved in February 2004.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Cagliari

Starting 11
-Elia Caprile
GK7.03
-Adam Obert
DL7.02
-Alessandro Deiola
DC6.32
-Juan Rodríguez
DC7.15
-Zé Pedro
DR6.04
-Michel Adopo
MC6.72
-Harry Winks
MC6.36
-Alessandro Romano
MC7.52
-Jacopo Fazzini
AMC5.99
-Daniel Maldini
AMC6.55
-Paul Mendy
FW6.21

Lecce

Starting 11
-Wladimiro Falcone
GK6.95
-Antonino Gallo
DL6.04
-Tiago Gabriel
DC6.71
-Kialonda Gaspar
DC6.64
-Danilo Veiga
DR6.18
-Lassana Coulibaly
MC6.94
-Oumar Ngom
MC6.14
-Ivan Ilic
MC5.98
-Konan N’Dri
FWL6.14
-Nikola Stulic
FW5.96
-Santiago Pierotti
FWR7.00
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 2 matches
CagliarivsLecce
0.50Goals / Match1.00
0.50Conceded / Match2.00
1Clean Sheets1
2.50Shots on Target / Match4.00
44.0%Possession %32.5%
87.3%Pass Accuracy %76.1%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

1Goals Scored2
1Goals Conceded4
1Clean Sheets1
2Big Chances6
2Big Chances Missed5

gps_fixedShooting

24Total Shots19
5Shots on Target8

swap_horizPassing & Possession

44.0%Avg Possession32.5%
859Total Passes635
87.3%Pass Accuracy76.1%

shieldDefending

25Tackles37
17Interceptions20
7Saves10
39.8%Duels Won41.3%

gavelDiscipline

26Fouls21
4Yellow Cards4
4Offsides2

analyticsOther

10Corners5
15Successful Dribbles15
0Errors Leading to Goal1
7.05Avg Rating6.95

Statistical Comparison

CagliariMetricLecce
1
Goals
2
1
Assists
1
6.4
Average Ratings
6.4
24.7
Average Age
25.5
185.7
Average Height (cm)
186.7
1
Shots pg
0.9
49%
Aerial Duel Success
38%
1.1
Dribbles pg
1.3
1.2
Tackles pg
2.1

history Recent Form

CagliariCagliari
1.8 GPG
L
W
LecceLecce
1.4 GPG
L
W

group Head to Head

PL16 Feb 2026
Cagliari
0-2
Lecce
PL19 Sept 2025
Lecce
1-2
Cagliari
PL19 Jan 2025
Cagliari
4-1
Lecce
PL31 Aug 2024
Lecce
1-0
Cagliari
PL5 May 2024
Cagliari
1-1
Lecce
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
86%
12 / 14 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
6 / 14 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
4 / 14 matches
Both Teams to Score
57%
8 / 14 matches
Cagliari CS
21%
Clean Sheets
Lecce CS
29%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

16 Feb 2026
Cagliari
0 - 2
Lecce
19 Sept 2025
Lecce
1 - 2
Cagliari
19 Jan 2025
Cagliari
4 - 1
Lecce
31 Aug 2024
Lecce
1 - 0
Cagliari
5 May 2024
Cagliari
1 - 1
Lecce
6 Jan 2024
Lecce
1 - 1
Cagliari
12 Jul 2020
Cagliari
0 - 0
Lecce
25 Nov 2019
Lecce
2 - 2
Cagliari
26 Feb 2012
Cagliari
1 - 2
Lecce
2 Oct 2011
Lecce
0 - 2
Cagliari
17 Apr 2011
Lecce
3 - 3
Cagliari
28 Nov 2010
Cagliari
3 - 2
Lecce

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Cagliari
1.80
Form (Overall)
Lecce
1.40

Cagliari is +29% better in terms of Points Per Game

Cagliari
0 - 1
Inter Milan
Parma
0 - 1
Cagliari
Lecce
0 - 4
Roma
Venezia
0 - 2
Lecce

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