Canada vs Morocco Prediction & Tips | World Championship - Play Offs

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Canada

Home

Full Time

0 - 3

HT: 0 - 0

Saturday 4 July

Morocco

Away

CanadaTimelineMorocco

1st Half

Halhal R.

20'

Rahimi S.Out: Saibari I.

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22'

Hakimi A.

40'

Laryea R.

40'

David J.

43'

Ounahi A.

45'

El Khannouss B.

45+6'

2nd Half

De Fougerolles L.

49'

Ounahi A.Assist: Hakimi A.

sports_soccer

50'

Amrabat S.Out: Bouaddi A.

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63'

Talbi C.Out: El Khannouss B.

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63'

Larin C.Out: Oluwaseyi T.

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63'

Larin C.

67'

David P.Out: Ahmed A.

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78'

Shaffelburg J.Out: Laryea R.

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79'

Ounahi A. (Diaz B.)

sports_soccer

82'

Saadane M.Out: Diop I.

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87'

El Mourabet S.Out: Ounahi A.

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87'

Nelson J.Out: Buchanan T.

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87'

Osorio J.Out: Sigur N.

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87'

Rahimi S. (Diaz B.)

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90+8'

Top stats

0.86Expected goals (xG)0.79

45%Ball possession55%

11Total shots5

3Shots on target4

1Big chances3

11Corner kicks1

76% (272/357)Passes82% (389/472)

4Yellow cards4

Shots

0.86Expected goals (xG)0.79

0.66xG on target (xGOT)2.07

11Total shots5

3Shots on target4

5Shots off target1

3Blocked shots0

7Shots inside the box3

4Shots outside the box2

0Hit the woodwork1

Attack

1Big chances3

11Corner kicks1

32Touches in opposition box10

0Accurate through passes0

2Offsides3

14Free kicks24

Passes

76% (272/357)Passes82% (389/472)

39% (12/31)Long passes35% (17/49)

64% (87/136)Passes in final third55% (34/62)

28% (8/29)Crosses20% (1/5)

0.60Expected assists (xA)0.26

24Throw ins23

Defense

24Fouls14

56% (10/18)Tackles75% (9/12)

52Duels won58

10Clearances51

5Interceptions8

1Errors leading to shot0

0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves3

2.07xGOT faced0.66

-0.93Goals prevented0.66

1Goal kicks3

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AI Prediction

verified Medium Confidence

14.72

X3.50

21.88

Recommended Bet

Home Win

Stake: Medium (6/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.90 PPG vs Away 1.90 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.75 PPG vs Away 1.90 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 1.86 GPG vs Away 0.75 GPG

Defense (venue): Home 0.57 conc vs Away 0.75 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

36%

33%

31%

Canada

Draw

Morocco

Match Preview

Co-hosts Canada are enjoying their best-ever World Cup, reaching the knockout stages for the very first time, but this will represent their toughest challenge so far at the tournament.

The Canucks have not beaten the African champions in four previous meetings and will need to be near-perfect to change that record.

Morocco are also going great guns at the World Cup once again, but needed penalties to make it through and stay unbeaten in competitive matches since June 2023 - although that record includes the 2026 AFCON final which was awarded to them.

The Atlas Lions are favourites to get the job done in Houston and reach a second consecutive quarter-final.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Canada

Starting 11

-Maxime Crépeau

GK6.44

-Richie Laryea

DL6.97

-Derek Cornelius

DC6.39

-Moïse Bombito

DC6.54

-Alistair Johnston

DR7.09

-Liam Millar

ML6.46

-Stephen Eustaquio

MC7.47

-Nathan Saliba

MC7.53

-Tajon Buchanan

MR6.58

-Cyle Larin

FW7.15

-Jonathan David

FW7.28

Morocco

Starting 11

-Yassine Bounou

GK6.35

-Noussair Mazraoui

DL6.95

-Chadi Riad

DC6.64

-Issa Diop

DC6.72

-Achraf Hakimi

DR7.61

-Neil El Aynaoui

DMC6.86

-Ayyoub Bouaddi

DMC6.55

-Bilal El Khannouss

AML7.00

-Azzedine Ounahi

AMC6.74

-Brahim Díaz

AMR6.77

-Ismael Saibari

FW7.20

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Statistical Comparison

CanadaMetricMorocco

Goals

Assists

6.7

Average Ratings

6.7

27.7

Average Age

25.8

181.8

Average Height (cm)

183.8

1.2

Shots pg

1.2

46%

Aerial Duel Success

44%

0.9

Dribbles pg

1.1

Tackles pg

1.7

history Recent Form

Canada

1.9 GPG

Morocco

1.9 GPG

group Head to Head

PL1 Dec 2022

1-2

PL11 Oct 2016

4-0

100%

Over 2.5 Goals

50%

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

100%

2 / 2 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

100%

2 / 2 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

50%

1 / 2 matches

Both Teams to Score

50%

1 / 2 matches

Canada CS

Clean Sheets

Morocco CS

50%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

1 Dec 2022

Canada

1 - 2

Morocco

11 Oct 2016

Morocco

4 - 0

Canada

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

1.90

Form (Overall)

1.90

Both teams have equal form.

South Africa

0 - 1

Canada

Switzerland

2 - 1

Canada

6 - 0

Qatar

Canada

1 - 1

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Canada

1 - 1

Republic of Ireland

Netherlands

1 - 1

Morocco

4 - 2

Haiti

Scotland

0 - 1

Morocco

Brazil

1 - 1

Morocco

1 - 1

Norway

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AI Prediction

verified Medium Confidence

14.72

X3.50

21.88