Cardiff vs Birmingham Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app

Cardiff

Cardiff

Home
Full Time
1:0
Saturday 24 October
Birmingham

Birmingham

Away
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Model Confidence
12.64
X3.72
22.40

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #19 vs Away #5
Season: Home 1.00 PPG vs Away 1.82 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.00 PPG vs Away 2.20 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.40 GPG vs Away 1.20 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

40%
26%
35%
Cardiff
Draw
Birmingham
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.592.07-23.0%
Under 2.5 Goals2.371.94+22.2%
Cardiff City Win2.372.52-5.8%
Draw3.623.91-7.4%
Birmingham City Win2.332.88-19.2%
BTTS - Yes1.501.82-17.4%
BTTS - No2.532.23+13.7%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Cardiff

Starting 11
-Nathan Trott
GK6.74
-Joel Bagan
DL7.03
-Will Fish
DC7.06
-Krystian Bielik
DC6.97
-Ronan Kpakio
DR6.22
-Alex Robertson
DMC6.69
-Chris Willock
ML6.60
-David Turnbull
MC6.26
-Cian Ashford
MC6.56
-Ollie Tanner
MR6.92
-Jack Moylan
FW6.99

Birmingham

Starting 11
-James Beadle
GK6.74
-Alex Cochrane
DL6.94
-Christoph Klarer
DC7.32
-Phil Neumann
DC7.47
-Bright Osayi-Samuel
DR6.69
-Max Bird
DMC6.52
-Tomoki Iwata
DMC6.68
-Liam Millar
AML7.54
-Jay Stansfield
AMC6.80
-Carlos Vicente
AMR6.47
-August Priske
FW6.80
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Cardiff were leading 2-0 at the Riverside Stadium heading into the second half last weekend, but could only take a point back to Wales after giving up two quickfire goals. Still, the newly promoted side have taken seven points from their last four games heading into gameweek 12.

Birmingham have climbed into the top four ahead of their trip to the Welsh capital on Saturday. The Blues cruised to a 3-0 home win against QPR in their most recent outing, making it five unbeaten, and three wins and clean sheets in a row.

Statistical Comparison

CardiffMetricBirmingham
17
Goals
17
14
Assists
15
6.6
Average Ratings
6.6
24.6
Average Age
25.9
183.6
Average Height (cm)
183
1.2
Shots pg
0.9
49%
Aerial Duel Success
45%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.4
1
Tackles pg
1.5

history Recent Form

CardiffCardiff
1.8 GPG
W
W
D
D
L
BirminghamBirmingham
2.0 GPG
W
W
L
W
D

group Head to Head

PL10 Apr 2024
Birmingham City
0-1
Cardiff City
PL13 Dec 2023
Cardiff City
0-1
Birmingham City
PL29 Aug 2023
Birmingham City
1-3
Cardiff City
PL14 Feb 2023
Birmingham City
0-2
Cardiff City
PL13 Aug 2022
Cardiff City
1-0
Birmingham City
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
64%
16 / 25 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
8 / 25 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
6 / 25 matches
Both Teams to Score
52%
13 / 25 matches
Cardiff CS
36%
Clean Sheets
Birmingham CS
20%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

10 Apr 2024
Birmingham City
0 - 1
Cardiff City
13 Dec 2023
Cardiff City
0 - 1
Birmingham City
29 Aug 2023
Birmingham City
1 - 3
Cardiff City
14 Feb 2023
Birmingham City
0 - 2
Cardiff City
13 Aug 2022
Cardiff City
1 - 0
Birmingham City
30 Apr 2022
Cardiff City
1 - 1
Birmingham City
11 Dec 2021
Birmingham City
2 - 2
Cardiff City
1 May 2021
Birmingham City
0 - 4
Cardiff City
16 Dec 2020
Cardiff City
3 - 2
Birmingham City
18 Jan 2020
Birmingham City
1 - 1
Cardiff City
2 Nov 2019
Cardiff City
4 - 2
Birmingham City
10 Mar 2018
Cardiff City
3 - 2
Birmingham City

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Cardiff
1.80
Form (Overall)
Birmingham
2.00

Birmingham is +11% better in terms of Points Per Game

Cardiff City
5 - 1
Watford
Cardiff City
3 - 1
Charlton Athletic
Cardiff City
1 - 1
Stoke City
Cardiff City
2 - 2
Sheffield United
Cardiff City
1 - 2
Norwich City
West Bromwich Albion
0 - 1
Birmingham City
Derby County
1 - 2
Birmingham City
Norwich City
2 - 1
Birmingham City
Wrexham
1 - 2
Birmingham City
Sheffield United
0 - 0
Birmingham City

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