Cardiff vs Luton Prediction & Tips | League One | FootballTips.app

Cardiff

Cardiff

Home
Full Time
3 - 1
HT: 3 - 1
Saturday 14 February
Luton

Luton

Away
CardiffTimelineLuton
1st Half
Turnbull D. (Colwill J.)
sports_soccer
11'
Turnbull D.
13'
Bagan J.
18'
Clark J.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
20'
Colwill J.Assist: Tanner O.
sports_soccer
37'
Ng P. (Robertson A.)
sports_soccer
42'
Lonwijk N.
45+1'
2nd Half
Al Hamadi A.Out: Kodua G.
sync_alt
46'
Kpakio R.Out: Bagan J.
sync_alt
55'
Trott N.
64'
Morris S.Out: Johnson J.
sync_alt
66'
Wells N.Out: Cole D.
sync_alt
66'
Ashford C.Out: Willock C.
sync_alt
69'
Robinson C.Out: Kellyman O.
sync_alt
69'
Colwill R.Out: Colwill J.
sync_alt
69'
van den Berg D.Out: Richards J.
sync_alt
73'
Palmer K.
76'
Lawlor D.Out: Robertson A.
sync_alt
89'

Top stats

1.50Expected goals (xG)0.81
60%Ball possession40%
18Total shots3
7Shots on target1
3Big chances1
7Corner kicks3
82% (434/528)Passes76% (267/351)
3Yellow cards2

Shots

1.50Expected goals (xG)0.81
2.10xG on target (xGOT)0.88
18Total shots3
7Shots on target1
6Shots off target2
5Blocked shots0
10Shots inside the box1
8Shots outside the box2
1Hit the woodwork0

Attack

3Big chances1
7Corner kicks3
29Touches in opposition box12
1Accurate through passes0
2Offsides3
17Free kicks10

Passes

82% (434/528)Passes76% (267/351)
32% (18/57)Long passes38% (17/45)
72% (108/151)Passes in final third64% (72/113)
28% (5/18)Crosses17% (2/12)
1.68Expected assists (xA)0.67
21Throw ins24

Defense

10Fouls17
50% (11/22)Tackles58% (7/12)
62Duels won43
16Clearances31
14Interceptions15
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

0Goalkeeper saves4
0.88xGOT faced2.10
-0.12Goals prevented-0.90
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.85
X3.47
23.93

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (9/10)
87
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #1 vs Away #7
Season: Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 1.50 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.20 PPG vs Away 1.75 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.33 GPG vs Away 1.14 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

80%
10%
10%
Cardiff
Draw
Luton

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Cardiff

Starting 11
-1Chris Willock
LW6.81
2William Fish
CB5.57
6Ryan Wintle
CM6.47
11Ollie Tanner
5.99
18Alexander Robertson
7.07
27Joel Colwill
5.60
3Joel Bagan
7.08
4Gabriel Osho
CB4.91
38Perry Ng
RB6.29
13Nathan Trott
GK6.74
Substitutes
-1Isaak Davies
5.45
-1Callum Robinson
CF5.55
-1David Turnbull
CM6.63
-Callum Scanlon
44Ronan Kpakio
5.96
45Cian Ashford
6.72
12Calum Chambers
RB4.75

Luton

Starting 11
14Shayden Morris
6.57
44Devante Cole
CF6.77
18Jordan Clark
CM7.02
27Jake Richards
5.76
30Gideon Kadua
6.34
38Joseph Johnson
6.97
54Kasey Palmer
CAM7.10
5Mads Juel Andersen
CB6.19
15Teden Mengi
CB6.79
17Nigel Lonwijk
CB6.29
24Josh Keeley
6.69
Substitutes
6Davy van den Berg
6.30
12Ali Al-Hamadi
6.37
21Nahki Wells
CF6.68
3Kal Naismith
CB6.35
23George Saville
CM5.69
25Isaiah Jones
RW6.79
-1James Shea
GK0.24
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 30 matches
CardiffvsLuton

radarTeam Profile

Cardiff
Luton
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
65Attack37
shield
52Defense51
swap_horiz
68Possession55
gps_fixed
70Efficiency58
auto_fix_high
58Creativity27
gavel
59Discipline61

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

55Goals Scored40
29Goals Conceded35
12Clean Sheets11
89Big Chances55
60Big Chances Missed33
1Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

431Total Shots379
153Shots on Target116

swap_horizPassing & Possession

61.6%Avg Possession57.8%
15,021Total Passes12,500
83.3%Pass Accuracy77.2%

shieldDefending

401Tackles446
185Interceptions219
71Saves54
50.1%Duels Won48.3%

gavelDiscipline

303Fouls345
54Yellow Cards45
1Red Cards0
46Offsides45

analyticsOther

154Corners188
219Successful Dribbles244
2Errors Leading to Goal9
6.91Avg Rating6.77

history Recent Form

CardiffCardiff
2.1 GPG
W
D
W
D
W
LutonLuton
1.5 GPG
W
W
L
L
D

group Head to Head

PL23 Aug 2025
Luton Town
0-1
Cardiff City
PL11 Mar 2025
Cardiff City
1-2
Luton Town
PL6 Nov 2024
Luton Town
1-0
Cardiff City
PL31 Jan 2023
Luton Town
1-0
Cardiff City
PL30 Aug 2022
Cardiff City
1-2
Luton Town
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
58%
7 / 12 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
6 / 12 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
8%
1 / 12 matches
Both Teams to Score
33%
4 / 12 matches
Cardiff CS
33%
Clean Sheets
Luton CS
33%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

23 Aug 2025
Luton Town
0 - 1
Cardiff City
11 Mar 2025
Cardiff City
1 - 2
Luton Town
6 Nov 2024
Luton Town
1 - 0
Cardiff City
31 Jan 2023
Luton Town
1 - 0
Cardiff City
30 Aug 2022
Cardiff City
1 - 2
Luton Town
18 Apr 2022
Cardiff City
0 - 1
Luton Town
27 Nov 2021
Luton Town
1 - 2
Cardiff City
16 Feb 2021
Luton Town
0 - 2
Cardiff City
28 Nov 2020
Cardiff City
4 - 0
Luton Town
8 Feb 2020
Luton Town
0 - 1
Cardiff City
27 Aug 2019
Cardiff City
0 - 3
Luton Town
10 Aug 2019
Cardiff City
2 - 1
Luton Town

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Cardiff
2.10
Form (Overall)
Luton
1.50

Cardiff is +40% better in terms of Points Per Game

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1 - 0
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