Cardiff vs Watford Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app
Cardiff
HomeFull Time
5 - 1
HT: 4 - 0
Tuesday 13 October
Watford
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Confidence
11.66
X4.25
24.45
Recommended Bet
check_circle
Home Win
Odds: 1.65Stake: Medium (7/10)
71
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #21 vs Away #20
Season: Home 0.78 PPG vs Away 0.89 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.45 PPG vs Away 0.25 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.75 GPG vs Away 0.25 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
61%
22%
17%
Cardiff
Draw
Watford
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.44 | 2.05 | 1.58 | -29.7% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.50 | 1.95 | 2.74 | +28.0% |
| Cardiff City Win | 1.65 | 1.64 | 1.79 | +0.7% |
| Draw | 4.30 | 4.53 | 4.66 | -5.0% |
| Watford Win | 4.09 | 5.92 | 4.43 | -31.0% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.50 | 1.75 | 1.61 | -14.4% |
| BTTS - No | 2.45 | 2.33 | 2.63 | +5.3% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Cardiff
Starting 11
-Nathan Trott
GK6.64
-Joel Bagan
DL7.06
-Gabriel Osho
DC6.68
-Dylan Lawlor
DC6.24
-Perry Ng
DR6.57
-Alex Robertson
DMC6.56
-Chris Willock
ML6.64
-Jack Moylan
MC6.76
-David Turnbull
MC6.12
-Ollie Tanner
MR6.74
-Callum Robinson
FW6.20
Watford
Starting 11
-Federico Ravaglia
GK6.91
-Jordan Zemura
DL6.66
-Branimir Mlacic
DC5.98
-Mattie Pollock
DC6.77
-Omar Haktab Traoré
DR6.28
-Edo Kayembe
DMC6.34
-Hector Kyprianou
DMC6.55
-Amin Nabizada
AML6.43
-Iker Bravo
AMC6.76
-Othmane Maamma
AMR6.59
-Luca Kjerrumgaard
FW6.34
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
Match Preview
Callum Robinson's second-half goal was only a consolation on Saturday as Cardiff suffered a 2-1 away defeat against Tony Mowbray's Blackburn side. The Welsh club have won just one of their opening nine Championship matches this season.
The extent of Watford's plight was showcased in gameweek nine as the Hornets suffered a humiliating 4-0 home defeat to Burnley, who were winless this season before kick-off. Tuesday night's visitors have lost five of their last six Championship matches.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 9 matchesCardiffvsWatford
1.22Goals / Match0.78
1.56Conceded / Match1.56
0Clean Sheets0
6.00Shots on Target / Match3.89
64.1%Possession %46.7%
84.9%Pass Accuracy %81.7%
radarTeam Profile
Cardiff
Watford
sports_soccer
55Attack20
shield
31Defense39
swap_horiz
71Possession53
gps_fixed
44Efficiency42
auto_fix_high
68Creativity30
gavel
59Discipline45
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
11Goals Scored7
14Goals Conceded14
24Big Chances14
18Big Chances Missed10
gps_fixedShooting
158Total Shots107
54Shots on Target35
swap_horizPassing & Possession
64.1%Avg Possession46.7%
4,660Total Passes3,563
84.9%Pass Accuracy81.7%
shieldDefending
119Tackles136
71Interceptions87
32Saves32
50.4%Duels Won47.2%
gavelDiscipline
89Fouls102
18Yellow Cards23
18Offsides9
analyticsOther
69Corners35
61Successful Dribbles77
4Errors Leading to Goal2
7.42Avg Rating7.00
Statistical Comparison
CardiffMetricWatford
11
Goals
7
9
Assists
3
6.5
Average Ratings
6.4
26.2
Average Age
23.7
183.6
Average Height (cm)
185.2
1.3
Shots pg
0.8
49%
Aerial Duel Success
50%
0.7
Dribbles pg
0.7
1.2
Tackles pg
1
history Recent Form
CardiffW
D
D
L
D
WatfordL
L
L
D
D
group Head to Head
PL14 Jan 2025
1-1
PL29 Dec 2024
1-2
PL3 Feb 2024
0-1
PL7 Oct 2023
1-1
PL19 Apr 2023
1-3
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
77%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
18 / 22 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
14 / 22 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
9 / 22 matches
Both Teams to Score
77%
17 / 22 matches
Cardiff CS
23%
Clean Sheets
Watford CS
5%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
14 Jan 2025
Cardiff City
1 - 1
Watford
29 Dec 2024
Watford
1 - 2
Cardiff City
3 Feb 2024
Watford
0 - 1
Cardiff City
7 Oct 2023
Cardiff City
1 - 1
Watford
19 Apr 2023
Watford
1 - 3
Cardiff City
2 Nov 2022
Cardiff City
1 - 2
Watford
13 Mar 2021
Cardiff City
1 - 2
Watford
5 Dec 2020
Watford
0 - 1
Cardiff City
22 Feb 2019
Cardiff City
1 - 5
Watford
15 Dec 2018
Watford
3 - 2
Cardiff City
28 Dec 2014
Cardiff City
2 - 4
Watford
29 Nov 2014
Watford
0 - 1
Cardiff City
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.50
Form (Overall)
0.25
Cardiff is +500% better in terms of Points Per Game
Cardiff City
3 - 1
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Cardiff City
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Cardiff City
2 - 2
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Cardiff City
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Norwich City
Cardiff City
1 - 1
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Bristol City
1 - 0
Watford
West Bromwich Albion
1 - 0
Watford
Swansea City
2 - 0
Watford
Wrexham
1 - 1
Watford
Barnet
2 - 2
Watford
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