Casa Pia vs FC Porto Prediction & Tips | Liga Portugal

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Casa Pia

Home

Full Time

2 - 1

HT: 2 - 0

Monday 2 February

FC Porto

Away

Casa PiaTimelineFC Porto

1st Half

Larrazabal G. (Livolant J.)

sports_soccer

12'

Ofori L.

40'

Goulart J. ()

sports_soccer

45'

2nd Half

Costa A.Out: Fernandes M.

sync_alt

46'

Rosario P. (Costa A.)

sports_soccer

46'

Osundina K.Out: Morais T.

sync_alt

56'

Froholdt V.Out: Varela A.

sync_alt

57'

William GomesOut: Sainz B.

sync_alt

57'

Larrazabal G.

59'

Pietuszewski O.Out: Pepê

sync_alt

70'

Gul D.Out: Thiago Silva

sync_alt

71'

William Gomes

79'

Mendes C.Out: Cassiano

sync_alt

82'

Costa A.

90+2'

Sousa D.

90+6'

Bednarek J.

90+7'

Top stats

0.97Expected goals (xG)2.02

31%Ball possession69%

6Total shots15

3Shots on target6

2Big chances4

0Corner kicks10

69% (185/269)Passes87% (494/569)

3Yellow cards2

0Red cards1

Shots

0.97Expected goals (xG)2.02

1.58xG on target (xGOT)1.73

6Total shots15

3Shots on target6

2Shots off target4

1Blocked shots5

3Shots inside the box10

3Shots outside the box5

0Hit the woodwork1

Attack

2Big chances4

0Corner kicks10

6Touches in opposition box31

0Accurate through passes0

1Offsides3

14Free kicks14

Passes

69% (185/269)Passes87% (494/569)

26% (17/66)Long passes35% (11/31)

62% (52/84)Passes in final third75% (150/199)

29% (2/7)Crosses23% (9/39)

0.44Expected assists (xA)1.90

6Throw ins24

Defense

14Fouls14

40% (4/10)Tackles82% (9/11)

37Duels won54

45Clearances12

13Interceptions9

0Errors leading to shot0

0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

5Goalkeeper saves1

1.73xGOT faced1.58

0.73Goals prevented0.58

auto_awesome

AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

112.40

X5.76

21.26

Recommended Bet

Away Win

Stake: Medium (6/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #16 vs Away #1

Season: Home 0.79 PPG vs Away 2.89 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.75 PPG vs Away 3.00 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 1.11 GPG vs Away 2.10 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

90%

Casa Pia

Draw

FC Porto

Match Preview

On February 2, 2026, at Estádio Pina Manique, Casa Pia AC will take on league leaders Porto in a Liga Portugal encounter.

Casa Pia AC, positioned 16th in the standings, will face an imposing challenge against the dominant Porto.

Casa Pia AC has struggled at home, suffering 3 losses in their last 6 home matches across all leagues.

In contrast, Porto has been formidable on the road, boasting a perfect record with wins in 100% of their last 6 Liga Portugal away matches.

In past head-to-head battles in Liga Portugal, Casa Pia AC has faced defeat in all of their last 6 encounters against Porto.

With Porto's strong away form and Casa Pia AC's home struggles, a low-scoring affair is predicted with under 2.5 goals expected in this matchup.

League Standings Context

For Casa Pia

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
15	Santa Clara	20	4	5	11	17
16	Casa Pia AC	19	3	6	10	15
17	CD Tondela	20	3	4	13	13

For FC Porto

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
1	Porto	19	18	1	0	55
2	Sporting CP	20	16	3	1	51

history Recent Form

Casa Pia

0.8 GPG

FC Porto

2.9 GPG

group Head to Head

PL24 Aug 2025

4-0

PL12 Apr 2025

0-1

PL2 Dec 2024

2-0

PL21 Apr 2024

1-2

PL9 Dec 2023

3-1

63%

Over 2.5 Goals

38%

Both Team Score

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Casa Pia

Starting 11

-1Tiago Morais

5.71

90Cassiano Dias Moreira

ST6.62

3Domingos José Gabriel Bandeira

3.23

29Jérémy Livolant

CF7.15

72Gaizka Larrazabal Goikoetxea

RW6.76

74Renato Nhaga

6.31

4João Pedro Goulart Silva

2.87

5Abdu Conté

LB6.73

8Rafael Brito

4.17

43David Sousa Albino

6.80

1Patrick Gilmar Sequeira Mejías

GK5.70

Substitutes

7Kelian Nsona Wa Saka

4.96

10Dailon Rocha Livramento do Rosario

5.62

-1Oluwakorede David Osundina

5.88

-1Miguel Sousa

4.70

19Kevin Estiven Prieto Machado

3.30

80Lawrence Ofori

CM6.75

-1André Geraldes de Barros

6.06

24Iyad Mohamed

4.16

33Ricardo Batista

GK2.99

FC Porto

Starting 11

9Samu Omorodion

7.16

11Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa

6.68

8Victor Froholdt

6.97

10Gabri Veiga (Injured)

CAM6.64

13Pablo Rosario

CDM6.49

17Borja Sainz Eguskiza

7.00

3Thiago Silva

CB6.96

4Jakub Kiwior

CB7.38

5Jan Bednarek

CB6.82

99Diogo Costa

GK7.01

Substitutes

27Deniz Gül

5.15

-1Stephen Eustáquio

CDM2.94

7William Gomes Carvalho Santos

6.09

22Alan Varela

CDM6.59

77Oskar Pietuszewski

6.80

86Rodrigo Mora Carvalho

5.47

20Alberto Oliveira Baio

6.57

74Francisco Moura

LB5.76

-1Cláudio Ramos

GK0.35

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

auto_awesome

AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

112.40

X5.76

21.26

Recommended Bet

Away Win

Stake: Medium (6/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #16 vs Away #1

Season: Home 0.79 PPG vs Away 2.89 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.75 PPG vs Away 3.00 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 1.11 GPG vs Away 2.10 GPG

Match Preview

On February 2, 2026, at Estádio Pina Manique, Casa Pia AC will take on league leaders Porto in a Liga Portugal encounter.

Casa Pia AC, positioned 16th in the standings, will face an imposing challenge against the dominant Porto.

Casa Pia AC has struggled at home, suffering 3 losses in their last 6 home matches across all leagues.

In contrast, Porto has been formidable on the road, boasting a perfect record with wins in 100% of their last 6 Liga Portugal away matches.

In past head-to-head battles in Liga Portugal, Casa Pia AC has faced defeat in all of their last 6 encounters against Porto.

With Porto's strong away form and Casa Pia AC's home struggles, a low-scoring affair is predicted with under 2.5 goals expected in this matchup.

League Standings Context

For Casa Pia

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
15	Santa Clara	20	4	5	11	17
16	Casa Pia AC	19	3	6	10	15
17	CD Tondela	20	3	4	13	13

For FC Porto

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
1	Porto	19	18	1	0	55
2	Sporting CP	20	16	3	1	51

Team Performance (Avg)

1.2

Goals Scored / Match

2.1

1.8

Goals Conceded / Match

0.5

Recent Form Stats

Market	Casa Pia	FC Porto
Over 1.5 Goals	91%20/22	109%24/22
Over 2.5 Goals	59%13/22	82%18/22
Both Teams to Score	45%10/22	50%11/22

* Based on last 22 matches

history Recent Form

Casa Pia

0.8 GPG

FC Porto

2.9 GPG

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

75%

6 / 8 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

63%

5 / 8 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

25%

2 / 8 matches

Both Teams to Score

38%

3 / 8 matches

Casa Pia CS

13%

Clean Sheets

FC Porto CS

63%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

24 Aug 2025

Porto

4 - 0

Casa Pia

12 Apr 2025

Casa Pia

0 - 1

Porto

2 Dec 2024

Porto

2 - 0

Casa Pia

21 Apr 2024

Casa Pia

1 - 2

Porto

9 Dec 2023

Porto

3 - 1

Casa Pia

14 May 2023

Porto

2 - 1

Casa Pia

7 Jan 2023

Casa Pia

0 - 0

Porto

5 Dec 2019

Casa Pia

0 - 3

Porto

donut_small Win Probabilities

90%

Casa Pia

Draw

FC Porto

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Casa Pia

Starting 11

-1Tiago Morais

5.71

90Cassiano Dias Moreira

ST6.62

3Domingos José Gabriel Bandeira

3.23

29Jérémy Livolant

CF7.15

72Gaizka Larrazabal Goikoetxea

RW6.76

74Renato Nhaga

6.31

4João Pedro Goulart Silva

2.87

5Abdu Conté

LB6.73

8Rafael Brito

4.17

43David Sousa Albino

6.80

1Patrick Gilmar Sequeira Mejías

GK5.70

Substitutes

7Kelian Nsona Wa Saka

4.96

10Dailon Rocha Livramento do Rosario

5.62

-1Oluwakorede David Osundina

5.88

-1Miguel Sousa

4.70

19Kevin Estiven Prieto Machado

3.30

80Lawrence Ofori

CM6.75

-1André Geraldes de Barros

6.06

24Iyad Mohamed

4.16

33Ricardo Batista

GK2.99

FC Porto

Starting 11

9Samu Omorodion

7.16

11Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa

6.68

8Victor Froholdt

6.97

10Gabri Veiga (Injured)

CAM6.64

13Pablo Rosario

CDM6.49

17Borja Sainz Eguskiza

7.00

3Thiago Silva

CB6.96

4Jakub Kiwior

CB7.38

5Jan Bednarek

CB6.82

99Diogo Costa

GK7.01

Substitutes

27Deniz Gül

5.15

-1Stephen Eustáquio

CDM2.94

7William Gomes Carvalho Santos

6.09

22Alan Varela

CDM6.59

77Oskar Pietuszewski

6.80

86Rodrigo Mora Carvalho

5.47

20Alberto Oliveira Baio

6.57

74Francisco Moura

LB5.76

-1Cláudio Ramos

GK0.35

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

35.6/ 82.1

Dangerous Attacks

53.4/ 104.3

35.0%

Shots on Target

37.0%

8.9

Total Shots

14.8

46.0%

Possession

57.0%

Head-to-Head Summary

Casa Pia Wins

Draws

FC Porto Wins

100%

Total H2H Matches: 6

Past Matches

Last 6: Casa Pia

Home Games: Casa Pia

Last 6: FC Porto

Away Games: FC Porto

group Head to Head

PL24 Aug 2025

4-0

PL12 Apr 2025

0-1

PL2 Dec 2024

2-0

PL21 Apr 2024

1-2

PL9 Dec 2023

3-1

63%

Over 2.5 Goals

38%

Both Team Score

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

0.79

Form (Overall)

2.89

FC Porto is +266% better in terms of Points Per Game

Casa Pia

3 - 3

AVS

Sporting CP

3 - 0

Casa Pia

Rio Ave FC

3 - 1

Casa Pia

0 - 0

Vitória Guimarães

CD Tondela

1 - 2

Casa Pia

Porto

3 - 0

Gil Vicente

Vitória Guimarães

0 - 1

Porto

Santa Clara

0 - 1

Porto

2 - 0

AVS

Alverca

0 - 3

Porto

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