Celta Vigo vs PAOK Prediction & Tips | Europa League - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

Home
Full Time
1 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Thursday 26 February
PAOK

PAOK

Away
Celta VigoTimelinePAOK
1st Half
Moriba I.
40'
2nd Half
Roman M.Out: Moriba I.
sync_alt
46'
Swedberg W.Assist: Aspas I.
sports_soccer
63'
Camara M.Out: Bianco A.
sync_alt
64'
Jutgla F.Out: Aspas I.
sync_alt
67'
Taylor G.Out: Chatsidis D.
sync_alt
74'
Lopez F.Out: Iglesias B.
sync_alt
77'
El Abdellaoui J.Out: Swedberg W.
sync_alt
77'
Jeremejeff A.Out: Giakoumakis G.
sync_alt
80'
Dominguez C.Out: Alonso M.
sync_alt
89'

Top stats

1.32Expected goals (xG)0.35
55%Ball possession45%
14Total shots4
3Shots on target0
2Big chances0
6Corner kicks2
92% (531/580)Passes84% (392/467)
1Yellow cards0

Shots

1.32Expected goals (xG)0.35
1.32xG on target (xGOT)0.00
14Total shots4
3Shots on target0
7Shots off target2
4Blocked shots2
10Shots inside the box3
4Shots outside the box1
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

2Big chances0
6Corner kicks2
33Touches in opposition box10
1Accurate through passes0
4Offsides0
9Free kicks9

Passes

92% (531/580)Passes84% (392/467)
71% (22/31)Long passes43% (24/56)
84% (107/128)Passes in final third51% (31/61)
20% (3/15)Crosses30% (3/10)
0.89Expected assists (xA)0.47
18Throw ins17

Defense

9Fouls9
87% (13/15)Tackles57% (12/21)
42Duels won39
15Clearances16
5Interceptions8
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

0Goalkeeper saves2
0.00xGOT faced1.32
0.00Goals prevented0.32
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
11.67
X3.88
25.28

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: Medium (6/10)
64
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.80 PPG vs Away 1.80 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.30 PPG vs Away 1.50 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.00 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.75 conc vs Away 1.25 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

37%
22%
40%
Celta Vigo
Draw
PAOK

Match Preview

Celta Vigo will face PAOK in the Europa League at Estadio de Balaídos on February 26, 2026.

Celta Vigo has been performing well in the Europa League, securing victories in 56% of their matches.

They have also claimed 4 wins in their last 6 home matches played across all leagues.

On the other hand, PAOK has also achieved a 56% win rate this season but has struggled with 3 losses in their last 6 away matches in the Europa League.

In their recent head-to-head meetings in the league, Celta Vigo has emerged victorious in 2 out of 2 matches against PAOK.

Our algorithm predicts a convincing 3-0 win for Celta Vigo.

Celta de Vigo return to Abanca Balaídos holding a narrow 2-1 advantage after a composed first-leg display in Thessaloniki. Iago Aspas opened the scoring before Williot Swedberg added a second, and although PAOK pulled one back late on, the Galicians left Greece with both the lead and the psychological edge.

Momentum appears to be building. Celta followed that European win with a 2-0 La Liga victory over Mallorca, moving into the domestic top six. Claudio Giráldez’s side have now won consecutive matches after previously enduring a five-game winless stretch, and their home form reinforces belief: five wins in their last six competitive outings at Balaídos.

History favours the hosts. Celta have progressed from nine of their ten previous UEFA knockout ties after winning the first leg and have won five successive matches against Greek clubs in Europe, scoring at least twice each time. PAOK, meanwhile, have never won an away European match in Spain (D2 L6), conceding 21 goals across those eight trips.

The Greek side remain in the tie thanks to a 77th-minute goal in the first leg, but they arrive without a win in three matches in all competitions. Their away record in this season’s Europa League is also concerning: just one victory in four league-phase road games, including a 3-1 defeat at this venue in October. Across those four away fixtures, 23 goals were scored, underlining volatility rather than control.

Celta have scored 2+ goals in seven of their last ten home matches in all competitions, though they have kept just one clean sheet in their last 13 European home games. PAOK, for their part, tend to come alive late — 12 of their 18 Europa League goals this season have arrived after half-time.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Celta Vigo

Starting 11
-Ionut Radu
GK6.20
-Marcos Alonso
DC6.74
-Javi Rodríguez
DC6.47
-Carl Starfelt
DC6.91
-Óscar Mingueza
DML6.61
-Ilaix Moriba
MC6.68
-Miguel Román
MC6.66
-Sergio Carreira
DMR6.35
-Williot Swedberg
FWL7.13
-Borja Iglesias
FW6.43
-Iago Aspas
FWR7.13

PAOK

Starting 11
-Antonis Tsiftsis
GK6.97
-Greg Taylor
DL5.96
-Giannis Michailidis
DC6.83
-Tomasz Kedziora
DC6.59
-Jonjoe Kenny
DR6.84
-Magomed Ozdoev
DMC6.34
-Mady Camara
DMC6.17
-Taison
AML6.60
-Christos Zafeiris
AMC6.00
-Dimitrios Chatsidis
AMR6.30
-Giorgos Giakoumakis
FW6.83
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 9 matches
Celta VigovsPAOK

radarTeam Profile

Celta Vigo
PAOK
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
53Attack67
shield
27Defense52
swap_horiz
53Possession50
gps_fixed
88Efficiency92
auto_fix_high
52Creativity60
gavel
35Discipline32

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

17Goals Scored18
12Goals Conceded16
1Clean Sheets3
23Big Chances31
15Big Chances Missed19
0Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

99Total Shots108
42Shots on Target48

swap_horizPassing & Possession

47.6%Avg Possession48.1%
4,245Total Passes3,793
85.4%Pass Accuracy83.4%

shieldDefending

127Tackles140
51Interceptions80
20Saves35
47.1%Duels Won50.0%

gavelDiscipline

120Fouls110
19Yellow Cards18
1Red Cards2
16Offsides17

analyticsOther

30Corners39
53Successful Dribbles57
1Errors Leading to Goal1
6.78Avg Rating6.83

Statistical Comparison

Celta VigoMetricPAOK
15
Goals
18
12
Assists
14
6.5
Average Ratings
6.6
27.7
Average Age
28.3
180.7
Average Height (cm)
180.3
0.9
Shots pg
1
45%
Aerial Duel Success
52%
0.3
Dribbles pg
0.3
1.2
Tackles pg
1.4

League Standings Context

For Celta Vigo

PosTeamPWDLPts
15Crvena Zvezda842214
16Celta Vigo841313
17PAOK833212

For PAOK

PosTeamPWDLPts
16Celta Vigo841313
17PAOK833212
18Lille840412

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

46.2/ 100.7
Dangerous Attacks
59.2/ 105.0
37.0%
Shots on Target
38.0%
12.0
Total Shots
13.7
52.0%
Possession
57.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.5
Goals Scored / Match
1.9
1.1
Goals Conceded / Match
0.9

Head-to-Head Summary

2
Celta Vigo Wins
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
PAOK Wins
0%
Total H2H Matches: 2

Recent Form Stats

MarketCelta VigoPAOK
Over 1.5 Goals
84%31/37
86%32/37
Over 2.5 Goals
49%18/37
59%22/37
Both Teams to Score
65%24/37
51%19/37
* Based on last 37 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Celta Vigo

Es1
Celta Vigo
2 - 0
Real Mallorca
Es1
Celta Vigo
1 - 2
Osasuna
UEL
Celta Vigo
2 - 1
Lille
Es1
Celta Vigo
3 - 0
Rayo Vallecano
Es1
Celta Vigo
4 - 1
Valencia
Es1
Celta Vigo
2 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Home Games: Celta Vigo

Es1
Celta Vigo
2 - 0
Real Mallorca
Es1
Celta Vigo
1 - 2
Osasuna
UEL
Celta Vigo
2 - 1
Lille
Es1
Celta Vigo
3 - 0
Rayo Vallecano
Es1
Celta Vigo
4 - 1
Valencia
Es1
Celta Vigo
2 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Last 6: PAOK

Gr1
AE Larisa
1 - 1
PAOK
Gr1
Aris Salonica
0 - 0
PAOK
GrC
Panathinaikos
0 - 1
PAOK
UEL
Lyon
4 - 2
PAOK
GrC
Olympiacos FC
0 - 2
PAOK
Gr1
Panetolikos
0 - 3
PAOK

Away Games: PAOK

Gr1
AE Larisa
1 - 1
PAOK
Gr1
Aris Salonica
0 - 0
PAOK
GrC
Panathinaikos
0 - 1
PAOK
UEL
Lyon
4 - 2
PAOK
GrC
Olympiacos FC
0 - 2
PAOK
Gr1
Panetolikos
0 - 3
PAOK

history Recent Form

Celta VigoCelta Vigo
1.8 GPG
W
D
L
D
L
PAOKPAOK
1.8 GPG
D
D
D
W
W

group Head to Head

PL19 Feb 2026
PAOK
1-2
Celta de Vigo
PL2 Oct 2025
Celta de Vigo
3-1
PAOK
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
100%
2 / 2 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
2 / 2 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
1 / 2 matches
Both Teams to Score
100%
2 / 2 matches
Celta Vigo CS
0%
Clean Sheets
PAOK CS
0%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

19 Feb 2026
PAOK
1 - 2
Celta de Vigo
2 Oct 2025
Celta de Vigo
3 - 1
PAOK

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Celta Vigo
1.80
Form (Overall)
PAOK
1.80

Both teams have equal form.

Celta de Vigo
2 - 0
RCD Mallorca
RCD Espanyol
2 - 2
Celta de Vigo
Celta de Vigo
1 - 2
CA Osasuna
Getafe CF
0 - 0
Celta de Vigo
Real Sociedad
3 - 1
Celta de Vigo
Larissa
1 - 1
PAOK
PAOK
0 - 0
AEK Athens
Aris
0 - 0
PAOK
PAOK
4 - 1
Panserraikos
PAOK
3 - 0
OFI

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