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Chelsea vs Brighton Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Chelsea

Chelsea

Home
Full Time
4 - 3
HT: 3 - 1
Sunday 30 August
Brighton

Brighton

Away
ChelseaTimelineBrighton
1st Half
Lavia R.
sports_soccer
4'
Neto P. (Rogers M.)
sports_soccer
14'
Joao Pedro (Hato J.)
sports_soccer
32'
Yalcouye M.
sports_soccer
35'
2nd Half
Fofana W.
55'
Joao Pedro
sports_soccer
63'
James R.Out: Lavia R.
sync_alt
68'
Acheampong J.Out: Fofana W.
sync_alt
68'
Caicedo M.Out: Neto P.
sync_alt
68'
Dunk L.
70'
Chavarria P.Out: Colwill L.
sync_alt
72'
Osman I.Out: Yalcouye M.
sync_alt
74'
Palmer C.Assist: Joao Pedro
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74'
David P.Out: Kostoulas C.
sync_alt
80'
CostinhaOut: Wieffer M.
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80'
Barco V.Out: Caicedo M.
sync_alt
82'
Boscagli O.
89'
Costinha
90+1'
Gross P.
sports_soccer
90+6'

Top stats

2.93Expected goals (xG)1.40
26%Ball possession74%
17Total shots15
6Shots on target6
6Big chances5
4Corner kicks7
68% (155/227)Passes88% (567/647)
1Yellow cards3

Shots

2.93Expected goals (xG)1.40
2.60xG on target (xGOT)2.61
17Total shots15
6Shots on target6
5Shots off target8
6Blocked shots1
15Shots inside the box13
2Shots outside the box2
0Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals1

Attack

6Big chances5
4Corner kicks7
29Touches in opposition box27
0Accurate through passes1
0Offsides0
12Free kicks6

Passes

68% (155/227)Passes88% (567/647)
37% (18/49)Long passes55% (36/65)
60% (54/90)Passes in final third69% (128/186)
33% (3/9)Crosses23% (7/31)
1.63Expected assists (xA)0.75
13Throw ins25

Defense

6Fouls12
67% (8/12)Tackles78% (7/9)
46Duels won36
38Clearances14
9Interceptions5
0Errors leading to shot3
0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves1
2.61xGOT faced2.60
0.61Goals prevented-1.40
16Goal kicks8
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.90
X3.97
23.98

Recommended Bet

check_circle
Home Win
Stake: Medium (7/10)
72
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #10 vs Away #5
Season: Home 1.70 PPG vs Away 1.90 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 3.00 PPG vs Away 3.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.67 GPG vs Away 0.33 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

51%
26%
23%
Chelsea
Draw
Brighton

Match Preview

Chelsea have made a promising start to the season with two wins and five goals scored in the league and cup.

The Blues are far from the finished article, but their attack – Morgan Rogers, Cole Palmer and Joao Pedro – is going to take some stopping this season.

Brighton will head to Stamford Bridge to face a host of their former players on a high after consecutive 4-0 wins in the space of just five days - the second coming in the Conference League.

The Seagulls have a decent record at Chelsea in recent years, losing just two of their last six trips (W2 D2).

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Chelsea

Starting 11
-Robert Sánchez
GK5.92
-Levi Colwill
DC5.89
-Maxence Lacroix
DC8.09
-Josh Acheampong
DC7.13
-Jorrel Hato
DML6.70
-Moisés Caicedo
MC
-Reece James
MC6.74
-Malo Gusto
DMR6.60
-Morgan Rogers
FWL8.20
-João Pedro
FW8.08
-Cole Palmer
FWR9.09

Brighton

Starting 11
-Bart Verbruggen
GK6.65
-Ferdi Kadioglu
DL
-Olivier Boscagli
DC7.36
-Luka Vuskovic
DC7.18
-Mats Wieffer
DR7.86
-Pascal Groß
DMC7.44
-Yasin Ayari
DMC6.28
-Maxim De Cuyper
AML8.49
-Jack Hinshelwood
AMC8.92
-Diego Gómez
AMR8.03
-Georginio Rutter
FW7.70
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 38 / 5 matches
ChelseavsBrighton
1.53Goals / Match1.80
1.37Conceded / Match1.40
9Clean Sheets2
57.7%Possession %52.2%
87.2%Pass Accuracy %80.2%

radarTeam Profile

Chelsea
Brighton
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
51Attack34
shield
50Defense56
swap_horiz
71Possession63
gps_fixed
66Efficiency56
auto_fix_high
45Creativity38
gavel
30Discipline78

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

58Goals Scored9
52Goals Conceded7
9Clean Sheets2
7Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

509Total Shots50

swap_horizPassing & Possession

57.7%Avg Possession52.2%
20,535Total Passes2,375
87.2%Pass Accuracy80.2%

shieldDefending

371Interceptions211
106Saves14
50.9%Duels Won49.2%

gavelDiscipline

420Fouls44
94Yellow Cards5
8Red Cards0
58Offsides8

analyticsOther

226Corners24
273Successful Dribbles53

Statistical Comparison

ChelseaMetricBrighton
3
Goals
3
3
Assists
2
6.9
Average Ratings
7.1
23.8
Average Age
24.8
185.5
Average Height (cm)
183
2.2
Shots pg
2.3
42%
Aerial Duel Success
70%
2.2
Dribbles pg
1
2.7
Tackles pg
2.6

history Recent Form

ChelseaChelsea
1.7 GPG
W
BrightonBrighton
1.9 GPG
W

group Head to Head

PL21 Apr 2026
Brighton & Hove Albion
3-0
Chelsea
PL27 Sept 2025
Chelsea
1-3
Brighton & Hove Albion
PL14 Feb 2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
3-0
Chelsea
PL8 Feb 2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1
Chelsea
PL28 Sept 2024
Chelsea
4-2
Brighton & Hove Albion
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
90%
19 / 21 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
14 / 21 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
7 / 21 matches
Both Teams to Score
62%
13 / 21 matches
Chelsea CS
29%
Clean Sheets
Brighton CS
14%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

21 Apr 2026
Brighton & Hove Albion
3 - 0
Chelsea
27 Sept 2025
Chelsea
1 - 3
Brighton & Hove Albion
14 Feb 2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
3 - 0
Chelsea
8 Feb 2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 1
Chelsea
28 Sept 2024
Chelsea
4 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion
15 May 2024
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 - 2
Chelsea
3 Dec 2023
Chelsea
3 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion
27 Sept 2023
Chelsea
1 - 0
Brighton & Hove Albion
23 Jul 2023
Chelsea
4 - 3
Brighton & Hove Albion
15 Apr 2023
Chelsea
1 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion
29 Oct 2022
Brighton & Hove Albion
4 - 1
Chelsea
18 Jan 2022
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 - 1
Chelsea

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Chelsea
1.70
Form (Overall)
Brighton
1.90

Brighton is +12% better in terms of Points Per Game

Fulham
2 - 3
Chelsea
Brighton & Hove Albion
4 - 0
Aston Villa

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