Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Chelsea

Chelsea

Home
Full Time
1 - 1
HT: 1 - 0
Saturday 21 February
Burnley

Burnley

Away
ChelseaTimelineBurnley
1st Half
Joao Pedro (Neto P.)
sports_soccer
4'
Mejbri H.
30'
Fofana W.
34'
2nd Half
Lucas PiresOut: Walker K.
sync_alt
46'
Ward-Prowse J.Out: Ugochukwu L.
sync_alt
57'
Fofana W.
72'
Adarabioyo T.Out: Palmer C.
sync_alt
75'
Bruun Larsen J.Out: Laurent J.
sync_alt
78'
Hato J.Out: Gusto M.
sync_alt
80'
Delap L.Out: Joao Pedro
sync_alt
80'
Tchaouna L.Out: Humphreys B.
sync_alt
83'
Barnes A.Out: Anthony J.
sync_alt
84'
Sarr M.Out: Neto P.
sync_alt
88'
Acheampong J.Out: James R.
sync_alt
89'
Sanchez R.
90'
Flemming Z. (Ward-Prowse J.)
sports_soccer
90+3'
Laurent J.
90+4'
Hato J.
90+5'

Top stats

1.99Expected goals (xG)0.84
66%Ball possession34%
12Total shots12
2Shots on target4
3Big chances1
9Corner kicks5
88% (533/605)Passes79% (240/302)
4Yellow cards2
1Red cards0

Shots

1.99Expected goals (xG)0.84
1.16xG on target (xGOT)1.12
12Total shots12
2Shots on target4
5Shots off target6
5Blocked shots2
6Shots inside the box9
6Shots outside the box3
0Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals1

Attack

3Big chances1
9Corner kicks5
25Touches in opposition box15
1Accurate through passes0
2Offsides4
11Free kicks13

Passes

88% (533/605)Passes79% (240/302)
50% (23/46)Long passes40% (17/43)
81% (155/191)Passes in final third72% (55/76)
11% (2/18)Crosses45% (5/11)
1.35Expected assists (xA)0.53
13Throw ins15

Defense

13Fouls11
62% (8/13)Tackles67% (6/9)
43Duels won36
13Clearances20
9Interceptions15
0Errors leading to shot3
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves1
1.12xGOT faced1.16
0.12Goals prevented0.16
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.22
X7.06
213.70

Recommended Bet

cancel
Home Win
Stake: Medium (8/10)
75
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #5 vs Away #19
Season: Home 1.69 PPG vs Away 0.69 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.40 PPG vs Away 1.15 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.69 GPG vs Away 1.23 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

97%
2%
1%
Chelsea
Draw
Burnley

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Chelsea

Starting 11
-Robert Sánchez
GK6.74
-Jorrel Hato
DL6.27
-Wesley Fofana
DC7.06
-Trevoh Chalobah
DC7.01
-Reece James
DR6.94
-Moisés Caicedo
DMC7.06
-Enzo Fernández
DMC7.02
-Pedro Neto
AML6.85
-Cole Palmer
AMC6.84
-Estêvão
AMR6.60
-João Pedro
FW7.09

Burnley

Starting 11
-Martin Dúbravka
GK6.84
-Joe Worrall
DC6.36
-Maxime Estève
DC6.55
-Josh Laurent
DC6.30
-Bashir Humphreys
DML6.71
-Lesley Ugochukwu
MC6.37
-Hannibal Mejbri
MC6.21
-Kyle Walker
DMR6.48
-Jaidon Anthony
AMC6.56
-Marcus Edwards
AMC6.39
-Zian Flemming
FW6.48
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Chelsea will take on Burnley at Stamford Bridge in the Premier League on February 21, 2026 GMT.

With Chelsea placed 5th in the standings with 44 points and Burnley positioned 19th with 18 points, the match holds significance for both teams seeking to secure points.

Chelsea has recorded a 50 percent win rate in their last 6 Premier League home matches, while Burnley has suffered defeats in 9 of their last 13 away games.

In the head-to-head encounters, Chelsea has emerged victorious in 13 of their last 20 matches against Burnley, showcasing a historical dominance over their opponents.

The match is expected to be a test of Burnley's resilience against Chelsea's home advantage.

Prediction: Chelsea to win by 3-1.

Chelsea might have dropped crucial points against Leeds in their hunt for Champions League football, but results have generally been good under Liam Rosenior.

The Blues are unbeaten in their last 12 meetings with Burnley (W9 D3) - last losing here back in August 2017.

Burnley look to still be heading for an immediate return to the Championship, but they're not going down without a fight - highlighted by their remarkable comeback win at Crystal Palace last week.

Despite their struggles against Chelsea, the Clarets have lost just two of their last six trips to Stamford Bridge (W1 D3).

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 26 matches
ChelseavsBurnley
1.81Goals / Match1.08
1.15Conceded / Match1.96
9Clean Sheets3
4.81Shots on Target / Match2.92
58.4%Possession %41.4%
86.8%Pass Accuracy %78.1%

radarTeam Profile

Chelsea
Burnley
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
62Attack19
shield
61Defense38
swap_horiz
72Possession30
gps_fixed
77Efficiency68
auto_fix_high
52Creativity16
gavel
33Discipline57

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

47Goals Scored28
30Goals Conceded51
9Clean Sheets3
80Big Chances37
41Big Chances Missed20
7Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

356Total Shots234
125Shots on Target76

swap_horizPassing & Possession

58.4%Avg Possession41.4%
13,973Total Passes9,869
86.8%Pass Accuracy78.1%

shieldDefending

420Tackles451
261Interceptions234
68Saves100
51.2%Duels Won47.4%

gavelDiscipline

288Fouls258
61Yellow Cards44
5Red Cards2
36Offsides40

analyticsOther

149Corners88
195Successful Dribbles120
5Errors Leading to Goal8
6.90Avg Rating6.65

Statistical Comparison

ChelseaMetricBurnley
47
Goals
26
30
Assists
19
6.6
Average Ratings
6.4
23.9
Average Age
27.3
183.5
Average Height (cm)
185.2
1
Shots pg
0.6
52%
Aerial Duel Success
46%
0.7
Dribbles pg
0.4
1.2
Tackles pg
1

League Standings Context

For Chelsea

PosTeamPWDLPts
4Manchester United26129545
5Chelsea26128644
6Liverpool26126842

For Burnley

PosTeamPWDLPts
18West Ham26661424
19Burnley26461618
20Wolverhampton27171910

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

53.6/ 103.9
Dangerous Attacks
40.0/ 88.1
37.0%
Shots on Target
33.0%
14.2
Total Shots
10.0
59.0%
Possession
44.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

2.0
Goals Scored / Match
1.2
1.2
Goals Conceded / Match
1.9

Head-to-Head Summary

4
Chelsea Wins
67%
2
Draws
33%
0
Burnley Wins
0%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketChelseaBurnley
Over 1.5 Goals
85%35/41
66%27/41
Over 2.5 Goals
71%29/41
44%18/41
Both Teams to Score
66%27/41
46%19/41
* Based on last 41 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Chelsea

EPL
Chelsea
2 - 2
Leeds United
EPL
Chelsea
3 - 2
West Ham
UCL
Chelsea
1 - 0
Pafos
EPL
Chelsea
2 - 0
Brentford
EFL
Chelsea
2 - 3
Arsenal
EPL
Chelsea
2 - 2
Bournemouth

Home Games: Chelsea

EPL
Chelsea
2 - 2
Leeds United
EPL
Chelsea
3 - 2
West Ham
UCL
Chelsea
1 - 0
Pafos
EPL
Chelsea
2 - 0
Brentford
EFL
Chelsea
2 - 3
Arsenal
EPL
Chelsea
2 - 2
Bournemouth

Last 6: Burnley

EPL
Crystal Palace
2 - 3
Burnley
EPL
Sunderland
3 - 0
Burnley
EPL
Liverpool
1 - 1
Burnley
EPL
Brighton
2 - 0
Burnley
EPL
Bournemouth
1 - 1
Burnley
EPL
Newcastle United
2 - 1
Burnley

Away Games: Burnley

EPL
Crystal Palace
2 - 3
Burnley
EPL
Sunderland
3 - 0
Burnley
EPL
Liverpool
1 - 1
Burnley
EPL
Brighton
2 - 0
Burnley
EPL
Bournemouth
1 - 1
Burnley
EPL
Newcastle United
2 - 1
Burnley

history Recent Form

ChelseaChelsea
1.7 GPG
D
W
W
W
W
BurnleyBurnley
0.7 GPG
W
L
L
D
D

group Head to Head

PL22 Nov 2025
Burnley
0-2
Chelsea
PL30 Mar 2024
Chelsea
2-2
Burnley
PL7 Oct 2023
Burnley
1-4
Chelsea
PL5 Mar 2022
Burnley
0-4
Chelsea
PL6 Nov 2021
Chelsea
1-1
Burnley
74%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
100%
19 / 19 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
14 / 19 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
8 / 19 matches
Both Teams to Score
58%
11 / 19 matches
Chelsea CS
42%
Clean Sheets
Burnley CS
0%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

22 Nov 2025
Burnley
0 - 2
Chelsea
30 Mar 2024
Chelsea
2 - 2
Burnley
7 Oct 2023
Burnley
1 - 4
Chelsea
5 Mar 2022
Burnley
0 - 4
Chelsea
6 Nov 2021
Chelsea
1 - 1
Burnley
31 Jan 2021
Chelsea
2 - 0
Burnley
31 Oct 2020
Burnley
0 - 3
Chelsea
11 Jan 2020
Chelsea
3 - 0
Burnley
26 Oct 2019
Burnley
2 - 4
Chelsea
22 Apr 2019
Chelsea
2 - 2
Burnley
28 Oct 2018
Burnley
0 - 4
Chelsea
19 Apr 2018
Burnley
1 - 2
Chelsea

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Chelsea
1.69
Form (Overall)
Burnley
0.69

Chelsea is +145% better in terms of Points Per Game

Chelsea
2 - 2
Leeds United
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1 - 3
Chelsea
Chelsea
3 - 2
West Ham United
Crystal Palace
1 - 3
Chelsea
Chelsea
2 - 0
Brentford
Crystal Palace
2 - 3
Burnley
Burnley
0 - 2
West Ham United
Sunderland
3 - 0
Burnley
Burnley
2 - 2
Tottenham Hotspur
Liverpool
1 - 1
Burnley

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