Chelsea vs Leeds Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Chelsea

Chelsea

Home
Full Time
2 - 2
HT: 1 - 0
Tuesday 10 February
Leeds

Leeds

Away
ChelseaTimelineLeeds
1st Half
Gusto M.
8'
Acheampong J.
15'
Gudmundsson G.
19'
Bornauw S.
22'
Joao Pedro (Palmer C.)
sports_soccer
24'
Justin J.
45'
2nd Half
Hato J.Out: Cucurella M.
sync_alt
46'
Okafor N.Out: Bornauw S.
sync_alt
55'
Palmer C.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
58'
Neto P.Out: Estêvão
sync_alt
64'
Palmer C.
67'
Nmecha L.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
67'
Okafor N. (Nmecha L.)
sports_soccer
73'
Fofana W.Out: Acheampong J.
sync_alt
79'
Delap L.Out: Andrey Santos
sync_alt
79'
James D.Out: Nmecha L.
sync_alt
82'
Longstaff S.Out: Aaronson B.
sync_alt
90+5'
Longstaff S.
90+6'

Top stats

3.65Expected goals (xG)1.35
66%Ball possession34%
19Total shots4
4Shots on target2
4Big chances2
4Corner kicks1
92% (587/640)Passes80% (266/332)
3Yellow cards4

Shots

3.65Expected goals (xG)1.35
1.90xG on target (xGOT)1.62
19Total shots4
4Shots on target2
8Shots off target0
7Blocked shots2
14Shots inside the box2
5Shots outside the box2
1Hit the woodwork0

Attack

4Big chances2
4Corner kicks1
34Touches in opposition box16
4Accurate through passes0
4Offsides1
13Free kicks9

Passes

92% (587/640)Passes80% (266/332)
52% (17/33)Long passes39% (20/51)
78% (122/157)Passes in final third61% (46/75)
35% (7/20)Crosses25% (1/4)
2.52Expected assists (xA)0.56
20Throw ins17

Defense

9Fouls13
50% (9/18)Tackles58% (7/12)
51Duels won41
21Clearances28
9Interceptions9
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

0Goalkeeper saves2
1.62xGOT faced1.90
-0.38Goals prevented-0.10
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.55
X4.46
26.16

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (9/10)
88
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #5 vs Away #16
Season: Home 1.72 PPG vs Away 1.16 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.70 PPG vs Away 1.55 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.67 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

91%
5%
4%
Chelsea
Draw
Leeds

Match Preview

Chelsea is set to take on Leeds United in a Premier League encounter at Stamford Bridge on February 10, 2026.

Chelsea currently occupies the 5th spot in the standings, while Leeds United is positioned 16th.

Chelsea has amassed 43 points, whereas Leeds United has accumulated 29 points.

In terms of recent performances, Chelsea has secured 6 victories in 12 home matches this season in the Premier League.

Conversely, Leeds United has suffered 7 losses in their 12 away matches in the league.

Looking at their head-to-head record, Chelsea has emerged victorious in 3 out of the last 6 matches against Leeds United in the Premier League.

With Chelsea aiming to continue their solid home form and Leeds United seeking to improve their away record, the upcoming match is poised to be a significant fixture for both teams.

Prediction: Chelsea to win with a probability of 52%.

Liam Rosenior has really made a difference in the Premier League for Chelsea after they swept aside Wolves, thanks to Cole Palmer's hat-trick, to make it 12 points from a possible 12 on Saturday.

The Blues have not won five top-flight games on the bounce since December 2024 but will be expected to do exactly that against a Leeds side who are winless on the road since September.

Leeds did their job against Nottingham Forest on Friday, only for West Ham to respond the following day and leave them still looking nervously over their shoulder with the gap to relegation still only six points.

The Yorkshire club have lost just twice since December but each of their four wins in that period have come at Elland Road and their last victory at Stamford Bridge was 27 years ago under David O'Leary.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Chelsea

Starting 11
-Robert Sánchez
GK6.78
-Marc Cucurella
DL6.91
-Wesley Fofana
DC7.10
-Trevoh Chalobah
DC7.01
-Malo Gusto
DR6.64
-Moisés Caicedo
DMC7.11
-Andrey Santos
DMC6.43
-Pedro Neto
AML6.88
-Enzo Fernández
AMC7.01
-Cole Palmer
AMR6.76
-João Pedro
FW7.07

Leeds

Starting 11
-Karl Darlow
GK6.44
-James Justin
DC6.60
-Pascal Struijk
DC6.80
-Joe Rodon
DC6.63
-Gabriel Gudmundsson
DML6.74
-Ilia Gruev
MC6.46
-Ethan Ampadu
MC6.80
-Brenden Aaronson
MC6.74
-Jayden Bogle
DMR6.46
-Dominic Calvert-Lewin
FW6.85
-Noah Okafor
FW6.58
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 25 matches
ChelseavsLeeds

radarTeam Profile

Chelsea
Leeds
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
60Attack42
shield
63Defense42
swap_horiz
72Possession42
gps_fixed
79Efficiency60
auto_fix_high
51Creativity30
gavel
34Discipline66

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

45Goals Scored34
28Goals Conceded43
9Clean Sheets4
75Big Chances62
38Big Chances Missed39
6Penalty Goals3

gps_fixedShooting

337Total Shots313
121Shots on Target101

swap_horizPassing & Possession

58.1%Avg Possession46.1%
13,329Total Passes10,143
86.6%Pass Accuracy80.2%

shieldDefending

406Tackles454
254Interceptions232
68Saves63
51.0%Duels Won49.9%

gavelDiscipline

279Fouls251
57Yellow Cards37
5Red Cards0
32Offsides40

analyticsOther

145Corners114
190Successful Dribbles149
4Errors Leading to Goal3
6.90Avg Rating6.74

Statistical Comparison

ChelseaMetricLeeds
45
Goals
34
29
Assists
18
6.6
Average Ratings
6.5
24.5
Average Age
26.8
182.8
Average Height (cm)
184.5
0.9
Shots pg
0.8
52%
Aerial Duel Success
48%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.4
Tackles pg
1.4

League Standings Context

For Chelsea

PosTeamPWDLPts
4Manchester United25128544
5Chelsea25127643
6Liverpool25116839

For Leeds

PosTeamPWDLPts
15Tottenham25781029
16Leeds United25781029
17Nottingham Forest25751326

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

53.8/ 102.9
Dangerous Attacks
45.1/ 92.8
37.0%
Shots on Target
33.0%
14.1
Total Shots
13.3
59.0%
Possession
48.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

2.0
Goals Scored / Match
1.4
1.2
Goals Conceded / Match
1.7

Head-to-Head Summary

4
Chelsea Wins
67%
0
Draws
0%
2
Leeds Wins
33%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketChelseaLeeds
Over 1.5 Goals
85%33/39
56%22/39
Over 2.5 Goals
69%27/39
41%16/39
Both Teams to Score
67%26/39
46%18/39
* Based on last 39 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Chelsea

EPL
Wolverhampton
1 - 3
Chelsea
EFL
Arsenal
1 - 0
Chelsea
EPL
Chelsea
3 - 2
West Ham
UCL
Napoli
2 - 3
Chelsea
EPL
Crystal Palace
1 - 3
Chelsea
UCL
Chelsea
1 - 0
Pafos

Home Games: Chelsea

EPL
Chelsea
3 - 2
West Ham
UCL
Chelsea
1 - 0
Pafos
EPL
Chelsea
2 - 0
Brentford
EFL
Chelsea
2 - 3
Arsenal
EPL
Chelsea
2 - 2
Bournemouth
EPL
Chelsea
1 - 2
Aston Villa

Last 6: Leeds

EPL
Leeds United
3 - 1
Nottingham Forest
EPL
Leeds United
0 - 4
Arsenal
EPL
Everton
1 - 1
Leeds United
EPL
Leeds United
1 - 0
Fulham
FA
Derby County
1 - 3
Leeds United
EPL
Newcastle United
4 - 3
Leeds United

Away Games: Leeds

EPL
Everton
1 - 1
Leeds United
FA
Derby County
1 - 3
Leeds United
EPL
Newcastle United
4 - 3
Leeds United
EPL
Liverpool
0 - 0
Leeds United
EPL
Sunderland
1 - 1
Leeds United
EPL
Brentford
1 - 1
Leeds United

history Recent Form

ChelseaChelsea
1.7 GPG
W
W
W
W
L
LeedsLeeds
1.2 GPG
W
L
D
W
L

group Head to Head

PL3 Dec 2025
Leeds United
3-1
Chelsea
PL28 Feb 2024
Chelsea
3-2
Leeds United
PL4 Mar 2023
Chelsea
1-0
Leeds United
PL21 Aug 2022
Leeds United
3-0
Chelsea
PL11 May 2022
Leeds United
0-3
Chelsea
78%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
78%
7 / 9 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
78%
7 / 9 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
56%
5 / 9 matches
Both Teams to Score
56%
5 / 9 matches
Chelsea CS
33%
Clean Sheets
Leeds CS
22%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

3 Dec 2025
Leeds United
3 - 1
Chelsea
28 Feb 2024
Chelsea
3 - 2
Leeds United
4 Mar 2023
Chelsea
1 - 0
Leeds United
21 Aug 2022
Leeds United
3 - 0
Chelsea
11 May 2022
Leeds United
0 - 3
Chelsea
11 Dec 2021
Chelsea
3 - 2
Leeds United
13 Mar 2021
Leeds United
0 - 0
Chelsea
5 Dec 2020
Chelsea
3 - 1
Leeds United
19 Dec 2012
Leeds United
1 - 5
Chelsea

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Chelsea
1.72
Form (Overall)
Leeds
1.16

Chelsea is +48% better in terms of Points Per Game

Wolverhampton Wanderers
1 - 3
Chelsea
Chelsea
3 - 2
West Ham United
Crystal Palace
1 - 3
Chelsea
Chelsea
2 - 0
Brentford
Fulham
2 - 1
Chelsea
Leeds United
3 - 1
Nottingham Forest
Leeds United
0 - 4
Arsenal
Everton
1 - 1
Leeds United
Leeds United
1 - 0
Fulham
Newcastle United
4 - 3
Leeds United

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