Chelsea vs Leeds Prediction & Tips | FA Cup | FootballTips.app

Chelsea

Chelsea

Home
Full Time
1 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Sunday 26 April
Leeds

Leeds

Away
ChelseaTimelineLeeds
1st Half
Fernandez E.Assist: Neto P.
sports_soccer
23'
2nd Half
Rodon J.Out: Justin J.
sync_alt
46'
Stach A.Out: Bijol J.
sync_alt
46'
Caicedo M.
60'
Andrey SantosOut: Lavia R.
sync_alt
66'
Palmer C.Out: Garnacho A.
sync_alt
71'
Nmecha L.Out: Tanaka A.
sync_alt
74'
Gnonto W.Out: Okafor N.
sync_alt
74'
Struijk P.
76'
Palmer C.
77'
Ampadu E.
78'
Nmecha L.
84'
Longstaff S.Out: Aaronson B.
sync_alt
86'
Bogle J.
90+4'
Neto P.
90+4'
Delap L.Out: Joao Pedro
sync_alt
90+8'

Top stats

0.33Expected goals (xG)0.89
54%Ball possession46%
7Total shots10
2Shots on target3
2Big chances2
6Corner kicks4
86% (424/494)Passes81% (324/401)
3Yellow cards4

Shots

0.33Expected goals (xG)0.89
0.71xG on target (xGOT)1.04
7Total shots10
2Shots on target3
2Shots off target5
3Blocked shots2
5Shots inside the box4
2Shots outside the box6
1Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals0

Attack

2Big chances2
6Corner kicks4
23Touches in opposition box12
2Accurate through passes1
2Offsides0
13Free kicks14

Passes

86% (424/494)Passes81% (324/401)
30% (15/50)Long passes36% (16/45)
74% (80/108)Passes in final third60% (50/83)
8% (1/13)Crosses14% (3/21)
1.07Expected assists (xA)0.63
9Throw ins20

Defense

14Fouls13
52% (11/21)Tackles55% (11/20)
59Duels won58
35Clearances24
10Interceptions6
1Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves1
1.04xGOT faced0.71
1.04Goals prevented-0.29
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.05
X3.59
23.59

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (8/10)
82
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 0.90 PPG vs Away 1.40 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.00 PPG vs Away 1.90 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.40 GPG vs Away 1.40 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.60 conc vs Away 1.20 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

55%
16%
29%
Chelsea
Draw
Leeds

Match Preview

Chelsea FC begin a turbulent post-Liam Rosenior era at Wembley, with interim boss Calum McFarlane stepping in after a disastrous run of seven defeats in eight matches, including six successive games without a goal. Despite that collapse, Chelsea have cruised into the semi-finals, scoring freely against lower-league opposition in earlier rounds, but have struggled badly against top-flight teams in recent months.

Leeds United arrive in far stronger form, unbeaten in seven games and steadily moving clear of the relegation zone under Daniel Farke. The Whites have already avoided defeat in both league meetings with Chelsea this season and have shown greater stability at both ends of the pitch.

While Chelsea’s quality on paper remains strong, their attacking drought and internal instability contrast sharply with Leeds’ momentum and organisation. This sets up a finely balanced semi-final, with Leeds arguably carrying the better form into Wembley.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Chelsea

Starting 11
-Robert Sánchez
GK
-Marc Cucurella
DL
-Jorrel Hato
DC
-Trevoh Chalobah
DC
-Malo Gusto
DR
-Roméo Lavia
DMC
-Moisés Caicedo
DMC
-Pedro Neto
AML
-Enzo Fernández
AMC
-Cole Palmer
AMR
-João Pedro
FW

Leeds

Starting 11
-Lucas Perri
GK
-Joe Rodon
DC
-Jaka Bijol
DC
-Pascal Struijk
DC
-Gabriel Gudmundsson
ML
-Ao Tanaka
MC
-Ethan Ampadu
MC
-Jayden Bogle
MR
-Brenden Aaronson
AMC
-Noah Okafor
FW
-Dominic Calvert-Lewin
FW
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 34 matches
ChelseavsLeeds

radarTeam Profile

Chelsea
Leeds
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
54Attack39
shield
52Defense47
swap_horiz
72Possession40
gps_fixed
66Efficiency56
auto_fix_high
46Creativity26
gavel
34Discipline61

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

53Goals Scored44
45Goals Conceded51
9Clean Sheets7
96Big Chances82
53Big Chances Missed54
7Penalty Goals5

gps_fixedShooting

465Total Shots429
151Shots on Target135

swap_horizPassing & Possession

58.1%Avg Possession45.7%
18,477Total Passes13,518
87.3%Pass Accuracy79.7%

shieldDefending

532Tackles593
331Interceptions309
96Saves86
50.8%Duels Won49.2%

gavelDiscipline

368Fouls356
79Yellow Cards54
7Red Cards1
53Offsides53

analyticsOther

209Corners150
246Successful Dribbles191
8Errors Leading to Goal3
6.86Avg Rating6.77

Statistical Comparison

ChelseaMetricLeeds
18
Goals
9
24.3
Average Age
26.5
182.2
Average Height (cm)
185.4

history Recent Form

ChelseaChelsea
0.9 GPG
L
L
L
L
L
LeedsLeeds
1.4 GPG
D
W
W
D
D

group Head to Head

PL10 Feb 2026
Chelsea
2-2
Leeds United
PL3 Dec 2025
Leeds United
3-1
Chelsea
PL28 Feb 2024
Chelsea
3-2
Leeds United
PL4 Mar 2023
Chelsea
1-0
Leeds United
PL21 Aug 2022
Leeds United
3-0
Chelsea
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
80%
8 / 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
80%
8 / 10 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
60%
6 / 10 matches
Both Teams to Score
60%
6 / 10 matches
Chelsea CS
30%
Clean Sheets
Leeds CS
20%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

10 Feb 2026
Chelsea
2 - 2
Leeds United
3 Dec 2025
Leeds United
3 - 1
Chelsea
28 Feb 2024
Chelsea
3 - 2
Leeds United
4 Mar 2023
Chelsea
1 - 0
Leeds United
21 Aug 2022
Leeds United
3 - 0
Chelsea
11 May 2022
Leeds United
0 - 3
Chelsea
11 Dec 2021
Chelsea
3 - 2
Leeds United
13 Mar 2021
Leeds United
0 - 0
Chelsea
5 Dec 2020
Chelsea
3 - 1
Leeds United
19 Dec 2012
Leeds United
1 - 5
Chelsea

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Chelsea
0.90
Form (Overall)
Leeds
1.40

Leeds is +56% better in terms of Points Per Game

Brighton & Hove Albion
3 - 0
Chelsea
Chelsea
0 - 1
Manchester United
Chelsea
0 - 3
Manchester City
Everton
3 - 0
Chelsea
Chelsea
0 - 1
Newcastle United
AFC Bournemouth
2 - 2
Leeds United
Leeds United
3 - 0
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Manchester United
1 - 2
Leeds United
Leeds United
0 - 0
Brentford
Crystal Palace
0 - 0
Leeds United

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