Chelsea vs Nottingham Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Chelsea

Chelsea

Home
Full Time
1 - 3
HT: 0 - 2
Monday 4 May
Nottingham

Nottingham

Away
ChelseaTimelineNottingham
1st Half
Awoniyi T. (Bakwa D.)
sports_soccer
2'
Morato
10'
Gusto M.
14'
Igor Jesus(Penalty)
sports_soccer
15'
Williams N.Out: Abbott Z.
sync_alt
45+5'
Delap L.Out: Derry J.
sync_alt
45+9'
Palmer C. (Penalty missed)
close
45+10'
2nd Half
Colwill L.Out: Adarabioyo T.
sync_alt
46'
Milenkovic N.Out: Cunha
sync_alt
46'
Anderson E.Out: Dominguez N.
sync_alt
46'
Gibbs-White M.Out: Igor Jesus
sync_alt
46'
Awoniyi T. (Gibbs-White M.)
sports_soccer
52'
Andrey SantosOut: Lavia R.
sync_alt
58'
Wood Ch.Out: Gibbs-White M.
sync_alt
66'
Jorgensen F.Out: Sanchez R.
sync_alt
66'
Caicedo M.
78'
Delap L.
78'
Hutchinson O.Out: Bakwa D.
sync_alt
80'
Joao Pedro (Cucurella M.)
sports_soccer
90+3'

Top stats

1.93Expected goals (xG)2.07
67%Ball possession33%
21Total shots6
5Shots on target4
2Big chances3
10Corner kicks1
91% (590/649)Passes80% (259/325)
3Yellow cards1

Shots

1.93Expected goals (xG)2.07
1.56xG on target (xGOT)2.64
21Total shots6
5Shots on target4
8Shots off target1
8Blocked shots1
12Shots inside the box6
9Shots outside the box0
1Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals1

Attack

2Big chances3
10Corner kicks1
38Touches in opposition box17
1Accurate through passes0
1Offsides2
10Free kicks12

Passes

91% (590/649)Passes80% (259/325)
52% (16/31)Long passes32% (15/47)
85% (180/213)Passes in final third71% (42/59)
29% (10/34)Crosses25% (1/4)
1.24Expected assists (xA)0.93
19Throw ins10

Defense

12Fouls10
43% (6/14)Tackles50% (11/22)
41Duels won47
9Clearances25
6Interceptions9
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves4
2.64xGOT faced1.56
-0.36Goals prevented0.56
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.70
X4.13
24.97

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (7/10)
68
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #9 vs Away #16
Season: Home 1.41 PPG vs Away 1.15 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.00 PPG vs Away 2.40 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.35 GPG vs Away 1.35 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

58%
18%
24%
Chelsea
Draw
Nottingham

Match Preview

Four straight defeats mean Chelsea's Champions League hopes are virtually over, but they're now in a real battle to secure any form of European football.

The Blues have lost their last three Premier League home games and haven't won a top-flight match at Stamford Bridge since beating West Ham in January.

Nottingham Forest have hit form at just the right time with two victories on the bounce and a six-game unbeaten run moving them five points clear of the relegation zone.

But with Tottenham and West Ham playing before their trip to Stamford Bridge, Forest could find themselves just two points above the drop by the time they get underway if results go against them.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Chelsea

Starting 11
-Robert Sánchez
GK6.65
-Marc Cucurella
DL6.78
-Wesley Fofana
DC6.90
-Trevoh Chalobah
DC6.92
-Malo Gusto
DR6.59
-Moisés Caicedo
DMC6.83
-Roméo Lavia
DMC6.14
-Pedro Neto
AML6.74
-Enzo Fernández
AMC6.93
-Cole Palmer
AMR6.78
-João Pedro
FW7.07

Nottingham

Starting 11
-Matz Sels
GK6.58
-Neco Williams
DL6.98
-Morato
DC6.40
-Nikola Milenkovic
DC6.61
-Ola Aina
DR6.86
-Ibrahim Sangaré
DMC6.69
-Elliot Anderson
DMC7.18
-Omari Hutchinson
AML6.61
-Morgan Gibbs-White
AMC6.82
-Igor Jesus
AMR6.60
-Chris Wood
FW6.52
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 34 matches
ChelseavsNottingham

radarTeam Profile

Chelsea
Nottingham
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
54Attack33
shield
52Defense49
swap_horiz
72Possession51
gps_fixed
66Efficiency58
auto_fix_high
46Creativity30
gavel
34Discipline59

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

53Goals Scored41
45Goals Conceded45
9Clean Sheets9
96Big Chances56
53Big Chances Missed32
7Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

465Total Shots427
151Shots on Target137

swap_horizPassing & Possession

58.1%Avg Possession47.1%
18,477Total Passes13,897
87.3%Pass Accuracy82.2%

shieldDefending

532Tackles570
331Interceptions265
96Saves92
50.8%Duels Won49.7%

gavelDiscipline

368Fouls365
79Yellow Cards55
7Red Cards1
53Offsides54

analyticsOther

209Corners183
246Successful Dribbles251
8Errors Leading to Goal8
6.86Avg Rating6.80

Statistical Comparison

ChelseaMetricNottingham
52
Goals
40
35
Assists
28
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
24.7
Average Age
27.1
182.9
Average Height (cm)
184.4
0.9
Shots pg
0.8
51%
Aerial Duel Success
48%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.1
Tackles pg
1.2

history Recent Form

ChelseaChelsea
1.4 GPG
L
L
L
L
L
NottinghamNottingham
1.1 GPG
W
W
D
W
D

group Head to Head

PL18 Oct 2025
Nottingham Forest
0-3
Chelsea
PL25 May 2025
Nottingham Forest
0-1
Chelsea
PL6 Oct 2024
Chelsea
1-1
Nottingham Forest
PL11 May 2024
Nottingham Forest
2-3
Chelsea
PL2 Sept 2023
Chelsea
0-1
Nottingham Forest
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
80%
8 / 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
4 / 10 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
3 / 10 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
5 / 10 matches
Chelsea CS
40%
Clean Sheets
Nottingham CS
10%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

18 Oct 2025
Nottingham Forest
0 - 3
Chelsea
25 May 2025
Nottingham Forest
0 - 1
Chelsea
6 Oct 2024
Chelsea
1 - 1
Nottingham Forest
11 May 2024
Nottingham Forest
2 - 3
Chelsea
2 Sept 2023
Chelsea
0 - 1
Nottingham Forest
13 May 2023
Chelsea
2 - 2
Nottingham Forest
1 Jan 2023
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Chelsea
5 Jan 2020
Chelsea
2 - 0
Nottingham Forest
5 Jan 2019
Chelsea
2 - 0
Nottingham Forest
20 Sept 2017
Chelsea
5 - 1
Nottingham Forest

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Chelsea
1.41
Form (Overall)
Nottingham
1.15

Chelsea is +23% better in terms of Points Per Game

Brighton & Hove Albion
3 - 0
Chelsea
Chelsea
0 - 1
Manchester United
Chelsea
0 - 3
Manchester City
Everton
3 - 0
Chelsea
Chelsea
0 - 1
Newcastle United
Sunderland
0 - 5
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
4 - 1
Burnley
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Aston Villa
Tottenham Hotspur
0 - 3
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
0 - 0
Fulham

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Chelsea vs Nottingham Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app