Chelsea vs PSG Prediction & Tips | Champions League - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Chelsea

Chelsea

Home
Full Time
0 - 3
HT: 0 - 2
Tuesday 17 March
PSG

PSG

Away
ChelseaTimelinePSG
1st Half
Kvaratskhelia K. ()
sports_soccer
6'
Barcola B. (Hakimi A.)
sports_soccer
14'
2nd Half
Mayulu S.Out: Neves J.
sync_alt
46'
Acheampong J.Out: Sarr M.
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46'
Doue D.Out: Barcola B.
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59'
Delap L.Out: Joao Pedro
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59'
Garnacho A.Out: Palmer C.
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59'
Lavia R.Out: Fernandez E.
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60'
Mayulu S.
sports_soccer
62'
Ramos G.Out: Dembele O.
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66'
Hernandez L.Out: Mendes N.
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66'
Adarabioyo T.Out: Cucurella M.
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71'
Lee Kang-InOut: Kvaratskhelia K.
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73'

Top stats

1.03Expected goals (xG)1.09
46%Ball possession54%
18Total shots8
9Shots on target5
2Big chances2
9Corner kicks3
85% (388/456)Passes87% (482/551)

Shots

1.03Expected goals (xG)1.09
2.23xG on target (xGOT)1.71
18Total shots8
9Shots on target5
3Shots off target3
6Blocked shots0
10Shots inside the box7
8Shots outside the box1
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

2Big chances2
9Corner kicks3
28Touches in opposition box15
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides1
10Free kicks8

Passes

85% (388/456)Passes87% (482/551)
39% (14/36)Long passes45% (29/65)
76% (115/152)Passes in final third81% (77/95)
12% (2/17)Crosses0% (0/4)
1.23Expected assists (xA)0.48
19Throw ins11

Defense

8Fouls10
73% (8/11)Tackles45% (9/20)
44Duels won38
4Clearances29
13Interceptions9
1Errors leading to shot0
1Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves9
1.71xGOT faced2.23
-1.29Goals prevented2.23
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.11
X4.40
23.06

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: High (10/10)
95
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.40 PPG vs Away 2.00 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.00 PPG vs Away 1.65 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.00 GPG vs Away 1.75 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.33 conc vs Away 1.50 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

2%
2%
96%
Chelsea
Draw
PSG

Match Preview

Chelsea and PSG are gearing up to face off in a pivotal Champions League match at Stamford Bridge on March 17, 2026.

Chelsea, with 5 wins in 9 league matches and a perfect record of 4 wins in their last 4 home fixtures in the Champions League, will take on PSG, who have secured an impressive 25 victories in 38 matches and boast a 60% win rate in their last 5 Champions League away games.

In their recent encounters in the Champions League, Chelsea has struggled against PSG, failing to secure a win in 50% of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

As the two European giants prepare to battle it out on the pitch, fans can expect a competitive match with both teams eager to claim victory.

With both sides showcasing their strengths and aiming to advance in the tournament, this clash promises to be an intriguing spectacle.

The Head to Head stats hint at a closely contested game, adding an element of uncertainty to the outcome.

Our algorithm predicts a draw between Chelsea and PSG in what is expected to be a hard-fought match.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 39 / 11 matches
ChelseavsPSG

radarTeam Profile

Chelsea
PSG
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
18Attack100
shield
18Defense38
swap_horiz
24Possession97
gps_fixed
50Efficiency73
auto_fix_high
5Creativity80
gavel
53Discipline69

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

56Goals Scored31
67Goals Conceded17
8Clean Sheets2
6Penalty Goals1

gavelDiscipline

72Yellow Cards8
4Red Cards2

League Standings Context

For Chelsea

PosTeamPWDLPts
5Barcelona851216
6Chelsea851216
7Sporting CP851216

For PSG

PosTeamPWDLPts
10Inter850315
11PSG842214
12Newcastle United842214

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

53.3/ 104.5
Dangerous Attacks
61.8/ 116.8
36.0%
Shots on Target
40.0%
14.2
Total Shots
17.2
59.0%
Possession
68.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

2.0
Goals Scored / Match
2.5
1.3
Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

Head-to-Head Summary

1
Chelsea Wins
17%
2
Draws
33%
3
PSG Wins
50%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketChelseaPSG
Over 1.5 Goals
85%40/47
183%86/47
Over 2.5 Goals
70%33/47
147%69/47
Both Teams to Score
68%32/47
126%59/47
* Based on last 47 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Chelsea

EPL
Chelsea
0 - 1
Newcastle United
EPL
Chelsea
1 - 1
Burnley
EPL
Chelsea
2 - 2
Leeds United
EPL
Chelsea
3 - 2
West Ham
UCL
Chelsea
1 - 0
Pafos
EPL
Chelsea
2 - 0
Brentford

Home Games: Chelsea

EPL
Chelsea
0 - 1
Newcastle United
EPL
Chelsea
1 - 1
Burnley
EPL
Chelsea
2 - 2
Leeds United
EPL
Chelsea
3 - 2
West Ham
UCL
Chelsea
1 - 0
Pafos
EPL
Chelsea
2 - 0
Brentford

Last 6: PSG

Fr1
Le Havre
0 - 1
PSG
UCL
Monaco
2 - 3
PSG
Fr1
Rennes
3 - 1
PSG
Fr1
Strasbourg
1 - 2
PSG
Fr1
Auxerre
0 - 1
PSG
UCL
Sporting CP
2 - 1
PSG

Away Games: PSG

Fr1
Le Havre
0 - 1
PSG
UCL
Monaco
2 - 3
PSG
Fr1
Rennes
3 - 1
PSG
Fr1
Strasbourg
1 - 2
PSG
Fr1
Auxerre
0 - 1
PSG
UCL
Sporting CP
2 - 1
PSG

history Recent Form

ChelseaChelsea
1.4 GPG
L
W
L
D
D
PSGPSG
2.0 GPG
L
W
W
L
W

group Head to Head

PL11 Mar 2026
PSG
5-2
Chelsea
PL13 Jul 2025
Chelsea
3-0
PSG
PL9 Mar 2016
Chelsea
1-2
PSG
PL16 Feb 2016
PSG
2-1
Chelsea
PL11 Mar 2015
Chelsea
2-2
PSG
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
75%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
100%
8 / 8 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
75%
6 / 8 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
3 / 8 matches
Both Teams to Score
75%
6 / 8 matches
Chelsea CS
25%
Clean Sheets
PSG CS
0%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

11 Mar 2026
PSG
5 - 2
Chelsea
13 Jul 2025
Chelsea
3 - 0
PSG
9 Mar 2016
Chelsea
1 - 2
PSG
16 Feb 2016
PSG
2 - 1
Chelsea
11 Mar 2015
Chelsea
2 - 2
PSG
17 Feb 2015
PSG
1 - 1
Chelsea
8 Apr 2014
Chelsea
2 - 0
PSG
2 Apr 2014
PSG
3 - 1
Chelsea

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Chelsea
1.40
Form (Overall)
PSG
2.00

PSG is +43% better in terms of Points Per Game

Chelsea
0 - 1
Newcastle United
Aston Villa
1 - 4
Chelsea
Arsenal
2 - 1
Chelsea
Chelsea
1 - 1
Burnley
Chelsea
2 - 2
Leeds United
PSG
1 - 3
Monaco
Le Havre
0 - 1
PSG
PSG
3 - 0
Metz
Rennes
3 - 1
PSG
PSG
5 - 0
Olympique Marseille

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