Cheltenham vs Exeter Prediction & Tips | EFL Trophy | FootballTips.app
Cheltenham
HomeFull Time
2 - 2
HT: 1 - 0
Pens: 4 - 3
Tuesday 22 September
Exeter
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
12.42
X3.34
22.52
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
86
Best near-miss
Key Factors
Season: Home 1.20 PPG vs Away 0.90 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.80 PPG vs Away 0.65 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.80 GPG vs Away 0.25 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 2.40 conc vs Away 1.50 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
56%
22%
22%
Cheltenham
Draw
Exeter
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.60 | 1.90 | 1.70 | -15.6% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.27 | 2.12 | 2.42 | +7.3% |
| Cheltenham Town Win | 2.28 | 1.78 | 2.57 | +27.9% |
| Draw | 3.72 | 4.47 | 4.19 | -16.8% |
| Exeter City Win | 2.38 | 4.64 | 2.68 | -48.8% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.47 | 1.84 | 1.61 | -20.1% |
| BTTS - No | 2.40 | 2.19 | 2.63 | +9.6% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 7 matchesCheltenhamvsExeter
2.00Goals / Match0.57
1.57Conceded / Match0.71
0Clean Sheets3
4.14Shots on Target / Match3.00
44.6%Possession %42.7%
70.6%Pass Accuracy %66.5%
radarTeam Profile
Cheltenham
Exeter
sports_soccer
46Attack16
shield
30Defense72
swap_horiz
23Possession12
gps_fixed
90Efficiency25
auto_fix_high
35Creativity22
gavel
49Discipline55
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
14Goals Scored4
11Goals Conceded5
0Clean Sheets3
13Big Chances13
7Big Chances Missed12
2Penalty Goals0
gps_fixedShooting
71Total Shots76
29Shots on Target21
swap_horizPassing & Possession
44.6%Avg Possession42.7%
2,527Total Passes2,110
70.6%Pass Accuracy66.5%
shieldDefending
105Tackles119
56Interceptions61
14Saves20
46.2%Duels Won53.1%
gavelDiscipline
85Fouls85
15Yellow Cards12
18Offsides16
analyticsOther
33Corners32
37Successful Dribbles23
6.97Avg Rating7.34
history Recent Form
CheltenhamD
W
D
W
D
ExeterD
L
D
D
L
group Head to Head
PL13 Aug 2025
2-0
PL1 Apr 2024
1-2
PL16 Sept 2023
1-0
PL18 Mar 2023
3-1
PL20 Aug 2022
0-1
59%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
12 / 17 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
10 / 17 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
7 / 17 matches
Both Teams to Score
53%
9 / 17 matches
Cheltenham CS
24%
Clean Sheets
Exeter CS
29%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
13 Aug 2025
Cheltenham Town
2 - 0
Exeter City
1 Apr 2024
Cheltenham Town
1 - 2
Exeter City
16 Sept 2023
Exeter City
1 - 0
Cheltenham Town
18 Mar 2023
Cheltenham Town
3 - 1
Exeter City
20 Aug 2022
Exeter City
0 - 1
Cheltenham Town
9 Aug 2022
Cheltenham Town
0 - 7
Exeter City
5 Oct 2021
Cheltenham Town
2 - 2
Exeter City
13 Mar 2021
Exeter City
0 - 1
Cheltenham Town
5 Dec 2020
Cheltenham Town
5 - 3
Exeter City
16 Nov 2019
Exeter City
0 - 0
Cheltenham Town
3 Sept 2019
Exeter City
1 - 0
Cheltenham Town
6 Apr 2019
Cheltenham Town
1 - 1
Exeter City
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.20
Form (Overall)
0.90
Cheltenham is +33% better in terms of Points Per Game
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0 - 0
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1 - 1
Barnet
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2 - 1
Exeter City
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