Cheltenham vs Grimsby Prediction & Tips | League Two | FootballTips.app

Cheltenham

Cheltenham

Home
Full Time
2 - 2
HT: 2 - 0
Saturday 5 September
Grimsby

Grimsby

Away
CheltenhamTimelineGrimsby
1st Half
McCann C. (Evans J.)
sports_soccer
12'
Tomkinson J.
28'
Weimann A.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
41'
2nd Half
Cook A.Out: Vernam C.
sync_alt
46'
Shelton M.Out: Doyle C.
sync_alt
46'
Shelton M. (Rodgers H.)
sports_soccer
47'
Willcox F.Out: Evans J.
sync_alt
64'
Bickerstaff J.Out: Weimann A.
sync_alt
64'
Cartwright F.Out: Finch S.
sync_alt
69'
Reynolds R.Out: Morgan I.
sync_alt
69'
Nurse G.Out: Shipley J.
sync_alt
72'
Green K.
79'
Green K. (Sweeney J.)
sports_soccer
82'
Otchere K.Out: McWilliams S.
sync_alt
86'
Wilson J.Out: Tomlinson J.
sync_alt
86'
Cotterill S.
90+5'

Top stats

1.24Expected goals (xG)1.41
42%Ball possession58%
8Total shots12
4Shots on target5
2Big chances3
3Corner kicks7
70% (239/341)Passes77% (368/475)
1Yellow cards1

Shots

1.24Expected goals (xG)1.41
1.42xG on target (xGOT)1.78
8Total shots12
4Shots on target5
4Shots off target4
0Blocked shots3
4Shots inside the box9
4Shots outside the box3
0Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals1

Attack

2Big chances3
3Corner kicks7
16Touches in opposition box27
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides1
10Free kicks8

Passes

70% (239/341)Passes77% (368/475)
25% (16/65)Long passes51% (44/86)
56% (48/85)Passes in final third61% (88/144)
11% (2/18)Crosses32% (7/22)
0.36Expected assists (xA)1.22
32Throw ins28

Defense

8Fouls10
29% (4/14)Tackles50% (4/8)
53Duels won52
28Clearances31
7Interceptions10
0Errors leading to shot2
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves2
1.78xGOT faced1.42
-0.22Goals prevented-0.58
11Goal kicks5
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Confidence
13.42
X3.54
21.96

Recommended Bet

cancel
Home Win
Odds: 3.55Stake: Medium (6/10)
56
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #6 vs Away #12
Season: Home 1.30 PPG vs Away 1.40 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.78 PPG vs Away 1.33 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.57 GPG vs Away 1.40 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

39%
25%
36%
Cheltenham
Draw
Grimsby
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.691.90-10.9%
Cheltenham Town Win3.552.58+37.3%
Draw3.703.96-6.5%
Grimsby Town Win2.002.77-27.9%
BTTS - Yes1.621.78-9.1%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Cheltenham Town overcame an early deficit against National League champions York City last time out as Charlie McCann's late strike swung a five-goal thriller. The hosts sit seventh in the standings with just one defeat in their first four games this season.

Grimsby were forced to settle for a point for the third game running on Tuesday night after throwing away a 2-0 lead away from home against Accrington Stanley. The Mariners are unbeaten in the league this season but have collected just six points from a possible 12.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Cheltenham

Starting 11
-Wyll Stanway
GK6.30
-Joe Tomlinson
DL6.57
-Robbie Cundy
DC7.45
-Pierce Sweeney
DC6.62
-Jonathan Tomkinson
DR6.60
-Ben Stevenson
DMC6.36
-Jordan Shipley
ML6.08
-Shaun McWilliams
MC6.56
-Charlie McCann
MC7.14
-Jake Evans
MR7.63
-Andreas Weimann
FW6.62

Grimsby

Starting 11
-Sebastian Auton
GK6.20
-Jayden Sweeney
DL7.38
-Maldini Kacurri
DC7.11
-Cameron McJannet
DC7.26
-Harvey Rodgers
DR7.02
-Géza Turi
DMC7.09
-Charles Vernam
ML6.96
-Kieran Green
MC7.01
-Finlay Cartwright
MC
-Sonny Finch
MR6.12
-Andy Cook
FW7.31
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 4 matches
CheltenhamvsGrimsby
2.00Goals / Match1.25
1.75Conceded / Match1.00
0Clean Sheets2
5.00Shots on Target / Match4.25
44.3%Possession %53.3%
68.1%Pass Accuracy %70.4%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

8Goals Scored5
7Goals Conceded4
0Clean Sheets2
6Big Chances12
3Big Chances Missed9

gps_fixedShooting

43Total Shots65
20Shots on Target17

swap_horizPassing & Possession

44.3%Avg Possession53.3%
1,404Total Passes1,512
68.1%Pass Accuracy70.4%

shieldDefending

58Tackles67
33Interceptions31
8Saves8
45.0%Duels Won53.1%

gavelDiscipline

52Fouls55
8Yellow Cards5
7Offsides11

analyticsOther

18Corners28
22Successful Dribbles28
6.83Avg Rating7.37

Statistical Comparison

CheltenhamMetricGrimsby
8
Goals
4
5
Assists
4
6.6
Average Ratings
6.7
27
Average Age
25.1
181.2
Average Height (cm)
181.5
1.2
Shots pg
1.5
46%
Aerial Duel Success
53%
0.7
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.2
Tackles pg
1.4

history Recent Form

CheltenhamCheltenham
1.3 GPG
W
D
L
W
GrimsbyGrimsby
1.4 GPG
D
D
D
W

group Head to Head

PL24 Jan 2026
Cheltenham Town
0-2
Grimsby Town
PL27 Sept 2025
Grimsby Town
7-1
Cheltenham Town
PL1 Mar 2025
Cheltenham Town
1-1
Grimsby Town
PL17 Aug 2024
Grimsby Town
3-2
Cheltenham Town
PL5 Apr 2021
Grimsby Town
1-1
Cheltenham Town
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
73%
11 / 15 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
7 / 15 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
5 / 15 matches
Both Teams to Score
67%
10 / 15 matches
Cheltenham CS
20%
Clean Sheets
Grimsby CS
20%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

24 Jan 2026
Cheltenham Town
0 - 2
Grimsby Town
27 Sept 2025
Grimsby Town
7 - 1
Cheltenham Town
1 Mar 2025
Cheltenham Town
1 - 1
Grimsby Town
17 Aug 2024
Grimsby Town
3 - 2
Cheltenham Town
5 Apr 2021
Grimsby Town
1 - 1
Cheltenham Town
13 Oct 2020
Cheltenham Town
1 - 3
Grimsby Town
26 Nov 2019
Grimsby Town
0 - 0
Cheltenham Town
16 Feb 2019
Grimsby Town
1 - 0
Cheltenham Town
8 Dec 2018
Cheltenham Town
2 - 1
Grimsby Town
3 Feb 2018
Grimsby Town
1 - 1
Cheltenham Town
17 Oct 2017
Cheltenham Town
2 - 3
Grimsby Town
17 Apr 2017
Cheltenham Town
2 - 1
Grimsby Town

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Cheltenham
1.30
Form (Overall)
Grimsby
1.40

Grimsby is +8% better in terms of Points Per Game

Cheltenham Town
3 - 2
York City
Barnet
2 - 2
Cheltenham Town
Swindon Town
2 - 1
Cheltenham Town
Cheltenham Town
2 - 1
Rotherham United
Accrington Stanley
2 - 2
Grimsby Town
Grimsby Town
2 - 2
Fleetwood Town
Walsall
0 - 0
Grimsby Town
Grimsby Town
1 - 0
Exeter City

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