Cheltenham vs MK Dons Prediction & Tips | League Two | FootballTips.app

Cheltenham

Cheltenham

Home
Full Time
2 - 3
HT: 1 - 2
Saturday 7 February
MK Dons

MK Dons

Away
CheltenhamTimelineMK Dons
1st Half
Offord L.
19'
Nelson C. (Kelly L.)
sports_soccer
32'
Paterson C.
sports_soccer
37'
Bickerstaff J.
sports_soccer
45+2'
2nd Half
Hepburn-Murphy R.Out: Collins A.
sync_alt
60'
Jones G.Out: Nemane A.
sync_alt
60'
Mellish J.Out: Tomlinson J.
sync_alt
61'
Ekpiteta M. ()
sports_soccer
64'
Martin J.Out: Jude-Boyd A.
sync_alt
72'
Miller G.Out: Davison J.
sync_alt
72'
Ashfield H.Out: Bickerstaff J.
sync_alt
73'
Deeming C.Out: Young L.
sync_alt
73'
Gilbey A.
81'
Nurse G.Out: Thomas J.
sync_alt
81'
Sanders J.Out: Ekpiteta M.
sync_alt
84'
Mellish J.
85'
Hutchinson I. (Deeming C.)
sports_soccer
87'
Kelly L.
89'
Nurse G.
90+5'

Top stats

0.68Expected goals (xG)3.27
56%Ball possession44%
14Total shots17
2Shots on target8
1Big chances5
7Corner kicks8
68% (219/323)Passes52% (128/247)
1Yellow cards4

Shots

0.68Expected goals (xG)3.27
0.50xG on target (xGOT)4.53
14Total shots17
2Shots on target8
6Shots off target4
6Blocked shots5
6Shots inside the box14
8Shots outside the box3
0Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals1

Attack

1Big chances5
7Corner kicks8
12Touches in opposition box25
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides2
12Free kicks4

Passes

68% (219/323)Passes52% (128/247)
41% (30/74)Long passes24% (20/82)
61% (59/97)Passes in final third39% (39/100)
13% (3/23)Crosses24% (6/25)
0.55Expected assists (xA)1.25
39Throw ins31

Defense

4Fouls12
33% (5/15)Tackles72% (13/18)
73Duels won56
44Clearances37
7Interceptions13
0Errors leading to shot1
1Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

6Goalkeeper saves0
4.53xGOT faced0.50
1.53Goals prevented-1.50
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
14.47
X3.45
21.75

Recommended Bet

check_circle
Away Win
Stake: Medium (7/10)
65
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #18 vs Away #6
Season: Home 1.07 PPG vs Away 1.76 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.45 PPG vs Away 2.20 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.00 GPG vs Away 1.93 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

20%
19%
61%
Cheltenham
Draw
MK Dons

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Cheltenham

Starting 11
2Arkelle Jude-Boyd
6.52
7Cole Deeming
6.43
8Luke Young
7.04
11Jordan Thomas
6.88
23George Nurse
LB6.42
26Ben Stevenson
CM6.80
27Jonathan Tomkinson
CB6.84
-1James Wilson
CB6.59
6Robbie Cundy
CB6.41
20Jake Bickerstaff
6.11
1Joe Day
GK6.82
Substitutes
10Josh Davison
ST5.88
10George Miller
CF6.14
28Tommy Backwell
0.95
-1George Harmon
LB1.96
16Josh Martin
4.16
-Mamadou Diallo
24Sam Sherring
CB6.90

MK Dons

Starting 11
10Aaron Collins
CF6.80
22Jon Mellish
CB6.66
6Liam Kelly
CM6.88
8Alex Gilbey
CM6.97
15Luke Offord
CB6.82
26Ben Wiles
CM6.92
2Gethin Jones
RB6.70
-1Callum Paterson
CF7.20
-1Marvin Ekpiteta
CB5.97
25Curtis Nelson
CB7.33
1Craig MacGillivray
GK6.73
Substitutes
-1Scott Hogan
CF5.12
-1Connor Lemonheigh-Evans
CAM5.33
29Rushian Hepburn-Murphy
ST6.78
-1Aaron Evans Nemane
6.02
28Jay Matete
6.61
14Joe Tomlinson
LB5.65
-1Connal Trueman
GK0.43
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

history Recent Form

CheltenhamCheltenham
1.1 GPG
L
L
L
W
L
MK DonsMK Dons
1.8 GPG
D
W
W
W
D

group Head to Head

PL16 Aug 2025
Milton Keynes Dons
5-0
Cheltenham Town
PL22 Mar 2025
Cheltenham Town
0-1
Milton Keynes Dons
PL16 Nov 2024
Milton Keynes Dons
3-2
Cheltenham Town
PL15 Apr 2023
Milton Keynes Dons
2-2
Cheltenham Town
PL29 Oct 2022
Cheltenham Town
0-0
Milton Keynes Dons
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
83%
10 / 12 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
8 / 12 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
6 / 12 matches
Both Teams to Score
67%
8 / 12 matches
Cheltenham CS
8%
Clean Sheets
MK Dons CS
33%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

16 Aug 2025
Milton Keynes Dons
5 - 0
Cheltenham Town
22 Mar 2025
Cheltenham Town
0 - 1
Milton Keynes Dons
16 Nov 2024
Milton Keynes Dons
3 - 2
Cheltenham Town
15 Apr 2023
Milton Keynes Dons
2 - 2
Cheltenham Town
29 Oct 2022
Cheltenham Town
0 - 0
Milton Keynes Dons
30 Aug 2022
Milton Keynes Dons
1 - 2
Cheltenham Town
8 Mar 2022
Milton Keynes Dons
3 - 1
Cheltenham Town
4 Sept 2021
Cheltenham Town
1 - 1
Milton Keynes Dons
26 Dec 2018
Cheltenham Town
3 - 1
Milton Keynes Dons
6 Oct 2018
Milton Keynes Dons
3 - 0
Cheltenham Town
11 Aug 2012
Cheltenham Town
1 - 1
Milton Keynes Dons
9 Aug 2011
Cheltenham Town
1 - 4
Milton Keynes Dons

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Cheltenham
1.07
Form (Overall)
MK Dons
1.76

MK Dons is +64% better in terms of Points Per Game

Accrington Stanley
3 - 1
Cheltenham Town
Cheltenham Town
0 - 2
Grimsby Town
Oldham Athletic
2 - 1
Cheltenham Town
Cheltenham Town
3 - 0
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
4 - 1
Cheltenham Town
Grimsby Town
2 - 2
Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons
1 - 0
Bristol Rovers
Milton Keynes Dons
5 - 1
Shrewsbury Town
Accrington Stanley
0 - 2
Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons
2 - 2
Chesterfield

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