Chester vs Merthyr Town Prediction & Tips | National League North | FootballTips.app
Chester
HomeFull Time
0 - 1
HT: 0 - 1
Tuesday 8 September
Merthyr Town
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Confidence
11.60
X3.71
24.56
Recommended Bet
cancel
Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.70Stake: Medium (7/10)
65
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #5 vs Away #14
Season: Home 2.00 PPG vs Away 1.29 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.45 PPG vs Away 1.05 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.00 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
56%
24%
21%
Chester
Draw
Merthyr Town
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.70 | 1.65 | — | +3.1% |
| Chester Win | 1.57 | 1.80 | 1.78 | -12.7% |
| Draw | 4.20 | 4.25 | 4.75 | -1.1% |
| Merthyr Town Win | 3.89 | 4.79 | 4.40 | -18.8% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.70 | 1.68 | — | +1.5% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 7 matchesChestervsMerthyr Town
1.14Goals / Match1.43
0.57Conceded / Match1.29
3Clean Sheets1
radarTeam Profile
Chester
Merthyr Town
sports_soccer
15Attack19
shield
49Defense19
swap_horiz
24Possession24
gps_fixed
50Efficiency50
auto_fix_high
14Creativity10
gavel
63Discipline62
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
8Goals Scored10
4Goals Conceded9
3Clean Sheets1
gavelDiscipline
12Yellow Cards7
0Red Cards1
history Recent Form
ChesterL
W
W
L
D
Merthyr TownL
W
D
L
D
group Head to Head
PL10 Mar 2026
1-2
PL4 Oct 2025
2-2
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
100%
2 / 2 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
2 / 2 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
1 / 2 matches
Both Teams to Score
100%
2 / 2 matches
Chester CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Merthyr Town CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
10 Mar 2026
Merthyr Town
1 - 2
Chester
4 Oct 2025
Chester
2 - 2
Merthyr Town
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
2.00
Form (Overall)
0.33
Chester is +506% better in terms of Points Per Game
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