Chesterfield vs Port Vale Prediction & Tips | EFL Trophy | FootballTips.app

Chesterfield
HomeFull Time
1 - 1
HT: 0 - 1
Pens: 4 - 3
Tuesday 22 September

Port Vale
AwayChesterfieldTimelinePort Vale
1st Half
Lawrence-Gabriel J.
18'
Hernandez O. (Byers G.)
sports_soccer
39'
2nd Half
Asamoah M.Out: Watters M.
sync_alt
46'
Whitney A.Out: Pond A.
sync_alt
46'
Duffy D.Out: Pearce T.
sync_alt
65'
Grigg W.Out: Bryden F.
sync_alt
65'
Marsh L.Out: Randall J.
sync_alt
65'
Kyle JohnOut: Lawrence-Gabriel J.
sync_alt
66'
Craig M.Out: Byers G.
sync_alt
66'
Marsh L. (Dyer K.)
sports_soccer
70'
Bussell C.Out: Hernandez O.
sync_alt
78'
Cook C.Out: Naylor T.
sync_alt
82'
McGowan A.Out: Craig M.
sync_alt
84'
McGowan A.
89'
Penalties
Hall G.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
1'
Grigg W.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
1'
Asamoah M. (Penalty missed)
close
2'
Marsh L.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
2'
Headley J.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
3'
Mandeville L.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
3'
Walters R.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
4'
Cook C. (Penalty missed)
close
4'
Humphreys C. (Penalty missed)
close
5'
Duffy D.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
5'
No statistics available for this match
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
12.16
X3.51
22.78
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
69
Best near-miss
Key Factors
Season: Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 0.80 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.00 PPG vs Away 0.85 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.20 GPG vs Away 0.50 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.60 conc vs Away 2.00 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
54%
Chesterfield Win
24%
Draw
22%
Port Vale Win
Chesterfield
Draw
Port Vale
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.54 | 1.90 | 1.68 | -19.1% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.26 | 2.11 | 2.47 | +7.3% |
| Chesterfield Win | 2.12 | 1.86 | 2.39 | +13.7% |
| Draw | 3.68 | 4.17 | 4.15 | -11.7% |
| Port Vale Win | 2.60 | 4.47 | 2.93 | -41.9% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.49 | 1.83 | 1.65 | -18.8% |
| BTTS - No | 2.30 | 2.20 | 2.54 | +4.6% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 9 / 7 matchesChesterfieldvsPort Vale
1.00Goals / Match0.43
0.89Conceded / Match1.29
3Clean Sheets2
radarTeam Profile
Chesterfield
Port Vale
sports_soccer
11Attack7
shield
38Defense49
swap_horiz
24Possession29
gps_fixed
50Efficiency36
auto_fix_high
9Creativity19
gavel
64Discipline38
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
9Goals Scored3
8Goals Conceded9
3Clean Sheets2
0Penalty Goals2
gavelDiscipline
15Yellow Cards15
history Recent Form
W
W
D
D
L
L
W
L
L
D
group Head to Head
PL25 Jan 2025
1-1
PL14 Sept 2024
1-0
PL30 Mar 2018
2-1
PL19 Aug 2017
2-0
PL8 Apr 2017
1-0
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
7 / 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
5 / 10 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
2 / 10 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
5 / 10 matches
Chesterfield CS
30%
Clean Sheets
Port Vale CS
20%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
25 Jan 2025
Chesterfield
1 - 1
Port Vale
14 Sept 2024
Port Vale
1 - 0
Chesterfield
30 Mar 2018
Port Vale
2 - 1
Chesterfield
19 Aug 2017
Chesterfield
2 - 0
Port Vale
8 Apr 2017
Chesterfield
1 - 0
Port Vale
30 Dec 2016
Port Vale
1 - 0
Chesterfield
2 Apr 2016
Chesterfield
4 - 2
Port Vale
21 Nov 2015
Port Vale
3 - 2
Chesterfield
10 Jan 2015
Chesterfield
3 - 0
Port Vale
30 Aug 2014
Port Vale
1 - 2
Chesterfield
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.50
Form (Overall)
0.80
Chesterfield is +87% better in terms of Points Per Game
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Crewe Alexandra
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