Chiba vs Gamba Osaka Prediction & Tips | J1 League | FootballTips.app
Chiba
HomeFull Time
2 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Sunday 6 September
Gamba Osaka
AwayChibaTimelineGamba Osaka
1st Half
Yamura K.Assist: Ishio R.
sports_soccer
1'
2nd Half
Tsukui T.
sports_soccer
52'
Sugiyama N.
55'
Sumi K.Out: Suzuki T.
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59'
Hatsuse R.Out: Nakano S.
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59'
Fukuoka S.Out: Sasaki S.
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59'
Goya H.Out: Yamura K.
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61'
Goya H.
68'
Iida T.Out: Ishio R.
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78'
Taguchi T.Out: Kobayashi Y.
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78'
Tsubaki N.Out: Tsukui T.
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84'
EduardoOut: Matheus Indio
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84'
Tono T.Out: Meshino R.
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85'
Okamoto A.Out: Adams E.
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90+2'
Top stats
0.95Expected goals (xG)1.10
37%Ball possession63%
13Total shots19
5Shots on target1
1Big chances1
4Corner kicks3
73% (258/354)Passes82% (476/578)
2Yellow cards0
Shots
0.95Expected goals (xG)1.10
1.22xG on target (xGOT)0.07
13Total shots19
5Shots on target1
4Shots off target11
4Blocked shots7
7Shots inside the box12
6Shots outside the box6
0Hit the woodwork0
Attack
1Big chances1
4Corner kicks3
16Touches in opposition box27
1Accurate through passes0
3Offsides0
5Free kicks14
Passes
73% (258/354)Passes82% (476/578)
36% (20/56)Long passes44% (27/62)
67% (68/102)Passes in final third72% (119/165)
27% (3/11)Crosses23% (6/26)
0.53Expected assists (xA)0.66
23Throw ins24
Defense
14Fouls5
65% (17/26)Tackles50% (9/18)
50Duels won56
38Clearances20
10Interceptions11
3Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
1Goalkeeper saves3
0.07xGOT faced1.22
0.07Goals prevented-0.78
11Goal kicks3
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AI Prediction
verified Medium Confidence
13.22
X3.56
22.11
Recommended Bet
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Home Win
Odds: 3.25Stake: Medium (5/10)
52
Opp. Value
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Attack Quality: Home 33% on target vs Away 37% on target
Standings: Home GD -12 (0pts) vs Away GD -1 (6pts)
➡️ MID OPPORTUNITY (52)
donut_small Win Probabilities
34%
Chiba Win
25%
Draw
41%
Gamba Osaka Win
Chiba
Draw
Gamba Osaka
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.75 | 1.89 | 1.85 | -7.2% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.05 | 2.13 | 2.17 | -3.7% |
| Home Win | 3.25 | 2.93 | 3.55 | +10.8% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 4.06 | 3.55 | -19.9% |
| Away Win | 2.10 | 2.42 | 2.29 | -13.4% |
| BTTS - Yes | 2.15 | 1.82 | 2.33 | +18.2% |
| BTTS - No | 1.62 | 2.22 | 1.75 | -27.1% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Match Preview
JEF United Chiba line up against Gamba Osaka in J1 League action at Fukuda Denshi Arena on 2026-09-06 GMT.
JEF United Chiba have experienced difficulties at home recently, losing two of their previous three home fixtures across all competitions, while Gamba Osaka have earned three draws in their last four away games.
Looking at head to head statistics, JEF United Chiba have lost four of their last six meetings with Gamba Osaka.
Prediction: Gamba Osaka to win by 1-2
compareTeam Comparison
ChibavsGamba Osaka
League Standings Context
For Chiba
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Tokyo Verdy | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
For Gamba Osaka
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Kawasaki Frontale | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | Gamba Osaka | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
22.5/ 75.7
Dangerous Attacks
39.5/ 86.7
33.0%
Shots on Target
37.0%
8.0
Total Shots
11.3
48.0%
Possession
56.0%
Team Performance (Avg)
0.5
Goals Scored / Match
1.3
2.5
Goals Conceded / Match
1.5
Head-to-Head Summary
1
Chiba Wins
17%
1
Draws
17%
4
Gamba Osaka Wins
67%
Total H2H Matches: 6
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Chiba | Gamba Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 83%5/6 | 67%4/6 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 67%4/6 | 50%3/6 |
| Both Teams to Score | 33%2/6 | 67%4/6 |
* Based on last 6 matches
Past Matches
Last 6: Chiba
Jp1
JEF United Chiba
1 - 2
Fagiano Okayama
JpC
JEF United Chiba
0 - 0
Azul Claro Numazu
Jp1
JEF United Chiba
0 - 4
Machida Zelvia
Home Games: Chiba
Jp1
JEF United Chiba
1 - 2
Fagiano Okayama
JpC
JEF United Chiba
0 - 0
Azul Claro Numazu
Jp1
JEF United Chiba
0 - 4
Machida Zelvia
Last 6: Gamba Osaka
Jp1
V-Varen Nagasaki
2 - 2
Gamba Osaka
Jp1
Nagoya Grampus
3 - 1
Gamba Osaka
Jp1
Mito HollyHock
1 - 1
Gamba Osaka
ACL
Gangwon FC
0 - 0
Gamba Osaka
Away Games: Gamba Osaka
Jp1
V-Varen Nagasaki
2 - 2
Gamba Osaka
Jp1
Nagoya Grampus
3 - 1
Gamba Osaka
Jp1
Mito HollyHock
1 - 1
Gamba Osaka
ACL
Gangwon FC
0 - 0
Gamba Osaka
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