Colombia vs Paraguay Prediction & Tips | Friendly International | FootballTips.app

Colombia
HomeFull Time
0 - 1
HT: 0 - 0
Saturday 3 October

Paraguay
AwayColombiaTimelineParaguay
1st Half
Caceres J.
42'
2nd Half
Campaz J.Out: Angulo A.
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46'
Viveros K.Out: Suarez L.
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46'
Benitez H. A. ()
sports_soccer
56'
Benitez A.Out: Caceres J.
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65'
Arce A.Out: Benitez H. A.
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65'
Velasquez S.Out: Lucumi J.
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71'
Orozco M.Out: Rios R.
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71'
Asprilla Y.
71'
Cubas A.
73'
Galarza M.Out: Cuenca Martinez H. F.
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75'
Puerta G.
80'
Munoz D.Out: Ocampo E.
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83'
Solis Romero J. E.Out: Puerta G.
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83'
MauricioOut: Almiron M.
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85'
Sosa R.Out: Enciso J.
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85'
Duran C.Out: Arias J.
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88'
Gomez G.
90+1'
No statistics available for this match
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AI Prediction
verified High Model Confidence
11.72
X3.49
25.03
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
Key Factors
Season: Home 1.80 PPG vs Away 1.70 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.60 PPG vs Away 1.55 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.29 GPG vs Away 1.29 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.86 conc vs Away 1.14 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
49%
Colombia Win
27%
Draw
24%
Paraguay Win
Colombia
Draw
Paraguay
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 2.10 | 2.02 | 2.26 | +4.1% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.67 | 1.98 | 1.80 | -15.8% |
| Colombia Win | 1.67 | 2.04 | 1.86 | -18.3% |
| Draw | 3.46 | 3.72 | 3.85 | -7.0% |
| Paraguay Win | 4.47 | 4.14 | 4.97 | +8.0% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.93 | 1.82 | 2.12 | +6.1% |
| BTTS - No | 1.73 | 2.22 | 1.90 | -22.1% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Colombia
Starting 11
24Luis Suárez
CF6.86
11Jhon Arias
RW7.33
26Andres Gomez
LW6.58
5Kevin Duvan Castaño Gil
CDM6.58
6Richard Rios Montoya
CDM6.50
14Gustavo Aldolfo Puerta Molano
CM6.69
2Daniel Muñoz
RB5.24
3Jhon Lucumí
CB6.77
4Álvaro Anyiver Angulo Mosquera
LB6.25
23Davinson Sánchez
CB7.02
25Álvaro Montero
GK6.67
Substitutes
-Óscar Andrés Perea Abonce
LW
-Camilo Andres Durán Marquez
CF
20Kevin Stiven Viveros Rodallega
CF6.29
21Jaminton Leandro Campaz
LW6.69
22Yaser Esneider Asprilla Martínez
RW6.82
-Daniel Arcila
CAM
-Jhon Solís
CM
16Matías Yuseth Orozco López
CDM6.78
-Juan Manuel Rengifo Duque
CAM
-Royer Caicedo
CB
17Samuel Velásquez Uribe
LB6.51
-Édier Ocampo Vidal
RB
-Kevin Orlando Andrade Murillo
CB
-Kevin Mier
GK
-Aldair Quintana
GK
Paraguay
Starting 11
10Miguel Almirón
RW6.93
21Robert Morales
CF6.55
8Diego Gómez
CM6.68
11Mauricio
CAM4.40
14Andrés Cubas
CDM6.50
19Julio Enciso
CAM6.74
3Omar Alderete
CB6.48
4Juan José Cáceres
RB6.74
15Gustavo Gómez
CB6.55
26Alexandro Maidana Mendieta
LB3.25
22Gastón Hernán Olveira Echeverría
GK6.50
Substitutes
7Ramón Sosa Acosta
LW3.25
9Antonio Sanabria
CF6.48
17Enso David Gonzalez Medina
LW6.50
18Alex Adrián Arce Barrios
CF3.25
24Gustavo Caballero
LW4.48
-Hugo Adrián Benítez Sánchez
CF
-Hugo Quintana
CM
20Mathías Adalberto Villasanti Rolón
CDM6.50
23Matías Galarza Fonda
CM6.50
13Alan Max Benítez Domínguez
RB6.50
5Clever Domingo Ferreira Ñamandu
CB6.50
6Júnior Alonso
CB6.67
25José María Canale Domínguez
CB3.25
-Santiago Gerardo Rojas López
GK
12Orlando Gill
GK6.45
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
history Recent Form
D
D
W
D
W
W
L
D
D
W
group Head to Head
PL26 Mar 2025
2-2
PL24 Jun 2024
2-1
PL21 Nov 2023
0-1
PL20 Nov 2022
2-0
PL16 Nov 2021
0-0
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
56%
5 / 9 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
3 / 9 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
11%
1 / 9 matches
Both Teams to Score
44%
4 / 9 matches
Colombia CS
56%
Clean Sheets
Paraguay CS
11%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
26 Mar 2025
Colombia
2 - 2
Paraguay
24 Jun 2024
Colombia
2 - 1
Paraguay
21 Nov 2023
Paraguay
0 - 1
Colombia
20 Nov 2022
Colombia
2 - 0
Paraguay
16 Nov 2021
Colombia
0 - 0
Paraguay
5 Sept 2021
Paraguay
1 - 1
Colombia
23 Jun 2019
Colombia
1 - 0
Paraguay
6 Oct 2017
Colombia
1 - 2
Paraguay
7 Oct 2016
Paraguay
0 - 1
Colombia
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.80
Form (Overall)
1.70
Colombia is +6% better in terms of Points Per Game
Mexico
1 - 1
Colombia
Switzerland
0 - 0
Colombia
Colombia
1 - 0
Ghana
Colombia
0 - 0
Portugal
Colombia
1 - 0
Congo DR
Bolivia
0 - 2
Paraguay
Paraguay
0 - 1
France
Germany
1 - 1
Paraguay
Paraguay
0 - 0
Australia
Turkey
0 - 1
Paraguay
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