Como vs Lecce Prediction & Tips | Serie A

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Como

Home

Full Time

3 - 1

HT: 3 - 1

Saturday 28 February

Lecce

Away

ComoTimelineLecce

1st Half

Coulibaly L. (Banda L.)

sports_soccer

13'

Douvikas A. (Rodriguez J.)

sports_soccer

18'

Rodriguez J.Assist: Perrone M.

sports_soccer

35'

Kempf M. O. (Da Cunha L.)

sports_soccer

44'

2nd Half

Diego CarlosOut: Kempf M. O.

sync_alt

46'

Pierotti S.Out: Ndaba C.

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46'

Ngom O.Out: Gandelman O.

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59'

Stulic N.Out: Cheddira W.

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59'

Roberto S.Out: Perrone M.

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65'

Paz N.Out: Vojvoda M.

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65'

Banda L.

71'

Sottil R.Out: Banda L.

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73'

Morata A.Out: Douvikas A.

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77'

Jean G.Out: Tiago Gabriel

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84'

Diao A.Out: Rodriguez J.

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84'

Top stats

2.76Expected goals (xG)0.24

69%Ball possession31%

12Total shots5

7Shots on target2

5Big chances1

5Corner kicks1

87% (527/605)Passes73% (198/271)

0Yellow cards1

Shots

2.76Expected goals (xG)0.24

3.03xG on target (xGOT)0.64

12Total shots5

7Shots on target2

3Shots off target1

2Blocked shots2

12Shots inside the box1

0Shots outside the box4

0Hit the woodwork0

1Headed goals1

Attack

5Big chances1

5Corner kicks1

26Touches in opposition box7

3Accurate through passes0

1Offsides2

12Free kicks15

Passes

87% (527/605)Passes73% (198/271)

57% (26/46)Long passes40% (24/60)

72% (92/127)Passes in final third52% (44/84)

25% (4/16)Crosses9% (1/11)

2.11Expected assists (xA)0.22

27Throw ins21

Defense

15Fouls12

46% (6/13)Tackles79% (11/14)

48Duels won42

17Clearances21

9Interceptions13

0Errors leading to shot0

0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves3

0.64xGOT faced3.03

-0.36Goals prevented0.03

auto_awesome

AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

11.39

X4.69

28.83

Recommended Bet

Home Win

Stake: High (8/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #6 vs Away #18

Season: Home 1.73 PPG vs Away 0.92 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.60 PPG vs Away 1.45 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 1.62 GPG vs Away 0.67 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

95%

Como

Draw

Lecce

Match Preview

In a Serie A encounter, Calcio Como will host Lecce at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia on February 28, 2026 GMT.

Calcio Como, currently placed 6th with 45 points, comes into the game with 3 draws in their last 6 matches.

On the other hand, Lecce sits in 17th position with 24 points and has struggled on the road, losing 67% of their last 6 away matches in Serie A.

The head-to-head record heavily favors Calcio Como, winning 100% of their last 3 Serie A meetings against Lecce.

With the teams on opposite ends of the table, Calcio Como will look to continue their dominance in this matchup.

The prediction for this game is a 2-0 victory for Calcio Como.

Como's impressive 2-0 win over Juventus last weekend was their first win in five games. Ending three draws out of four.

Lecce 2-0 defeat to table toppers Inter Milan last weekend ended to straight victories in the league.

A 3-0 win in the reverse fixture in December means Como have won the last three head to head matches without conceding a goal.

Nine of Lecce's last ten away games has been under 2.5 goals.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Como

Starting 11

-Jean Butez

GK6.90

-Álex Valle

DL6.74

-Marc Oliver Kempf

DC6.74

-Jacobo Ramón

DC7.07

-Ivan Smolcic

DR6.58

-Lucas da Cunha

DMC6.80

-Máximo Perrone

DMC6.77

-Jesús Rodríguez

AML6.67

-Maxence Caqueret

AMC6.64

-Mërgim Vojvoda

AMR6.62

-Tasos Douvikas

FW6.66

Lecce

Starting 11

-Wladimiro Falcone

GK6.75

-Antonino Gallo

DL6.51

-Jamil Siebert

DC6.45

-Tiago Gabriel

DC6.90

-Danilo Veiga

DR6.66

-Lassana Coulibaly

MC6.59

-Ylber Ramadani

MC6.63

-Omri Gandelman

MC6.63

-Riccardo Sottil

FWL6.41

-Walid Cheddira

FW6.38

-Santiago Pierotti

FWR6.40

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 26 matches

ComovsLecce

radarTeam Profile

Como

Lecce

sports_soccer

56Attack9

shield

69Defense52

swap_horiz

75Possession29

gps_fixed

65Efficiency33

auto_fix_high

49Creativity10

gavel

31Discipline46

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

41Goals Scored17

19Goals Conceded33

13Clean Sheets8

70Big Chances29

45Big Chances Missed20

3Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

372Total Shots261

132Shots on Target63

swap_horizPassing & Possession

61.0%Avg Possession43.2%

13,812Total Passes8,794

87.3%Pass Accuracy75.8%

shieldDefending

416Tackles482

180Interceptions159

70Saves74

49.8%Duels Won48.9%

gavelDiscipline

359Fouls325

59Yellow Cards46

3Red Cards2

23Offsides27

analyticsOther

105Corners121

196Successful Dribbles143

5Errors Leading to Goal3

6.91Avg Rating6.71

Statistical Comparison

ComoMetricLecce

Goals

Assists

6.6

Average Ratings

6.4

25.3

Average Age

25.8

182.8

Average Height (cm)

187.5

0.9

Shots pg

0.7

55%

Aerial Duel Success

49%

0.4

Dribbles pg

0.4

Tackles pg

1.4

League Standings Context

For Como

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
5	Juventus	26	13	7	6	46
6	Calcio Como	26	12	9	5	45
7	Atalanta	26	12	9	5	45

For Lecce

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
16	Cremonese	26	5	9	12	24
17	Lecce	26	6	6	14	24
18	Fiorentina	26	5	9	12	24

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

45.5/ 101.3

Dangerous Attacks

38.7/ 90.4

37.0%

Shots on Target

24.0%

14.3

Total Shots

9.6

62.0%

Possession

42.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.7

Goals Scored / Match

0.7

Goals Conceded / Match

1.3

Head-to-Head Summary

Como Wins

50%

Draws

33%

Lecce Wins

17%

Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

Market	Como	Lecce
Over 1.5 Goals	77%23/30	57%17/30
Over 2.5 Goals	43%13/30	30%9/30
Both Teams to Score	43%13/30	27%8/30

* Based on last 30 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Como

Home Games: Como

Last 6: Lecce

Away Games: Lecce

history Recent Form

Como

1.7 GPG

Lecce

0.9 GPG

group Head to Head

PL27 Dec 2025

0-3

PL19 Apr 2025

0-3

PL30 Dec 2024

2-0

PL13 Aug 2023

1-0

PL5 Feb 2022

1-1

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

38%

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

88%

7 / 8 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

38%

3 / 8 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

13%

1 / 8 matches

Both Teams to Score

38%

3 / 8 matches

Como CS

38%

Clean Sheets

Lecce CS

25%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

27 Dec 2025

Lecce

0 - 3

Como

19 Apr 2025

Lecce

0 - 3

Como

30 Dec 2024

Como

2 - 0

Lecce

13 Aug 2023

Lecce

1 - 0

Como

5 Feb 2022

Como

1 - 1

Lecce

29 Aug 2021

Lecce

1 - 1

Como

18 Feb 2013

Lecce

2 - 0

Como

7 Oct 2012

Como

2 - 2

Lecce

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

1.73

Form (Overall)

0.92

Como is +88% better in terms of Points Per Game

Juventus

0 - 2

Como

AC Milan

1 - 1

Como

1 - 2

Fiorentina

Como

0 - 0

Atalanta

Como

6 - 0

Torino

Lecce

0 - 2

Inter Milan

Cagliari

0 - 2

Lecce

2 - 1

Udinese

Torino

1 - 0

Lecce

0 - 0

Lazio