Como vs Parma Prediction & Tips | Serie A | FootballTips.app

Como

Como

Home
9h
16:30
Serie A
Parma

Parma

Away

Who wins?

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AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
11.22
X6.45
214.00

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
66
Best near-miss

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #6 vs Away #16
Season: Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 0.90 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.47 PPG vs Away 0.40 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.50 GPG vs Away 0.00 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

70%
15%
15%
Como
Draw
Parma
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.672.03-17.8%
Under 2.5 Goals2.201.97+11.7%
Como Win1.211.43-15.5%
Draw6.506.55-0.8%
Parma Win12.009.23+30.0%
BTTS - Yes2.382.36+0.8%
BTTS - No1.552.21-29.7%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

The hosts look to leverage their technical quality and home advantage under Fàbregas to control the tempo and secure vital points.

The visitors travel with the intent of exploiting defensive stability through a three-man backline and striking quickly on transitions.

The critical tactical battle will take place in the middle of the pitch, where the central pairing of da Cunha and Milla meets the physical presence of Fabbian, Keita, and Ordóñez.

Nico Paz and Fabbian stand out as the creative fulcrums between the lines, tasked with supplying their respective frontlines.

Analyzing recent head-to-head records across the top two divisions, the momentum favors the hosts, highlighted by their past encounters: Como's 1-0 win on May 17, 2026, the 0-0 draw on October 25, 2025, Como's 1-0 victory on May 3, 2025, and the 1-1 draws on October 19, 2024 and February 24, 2024.

Considering the home support and the historical trend of remaining unbeaten against Parma in their recent encounters, Como enter the fixture as favorites in a tightly contested match.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Como

Starting 11
-Jean Butez
GK6.67
-Álex Valle
DL6.81
-Trevoh Chalobah
DC7.14
-Jacobo Ramón
DC6.86
-Yan Couto
DR6.82
-Lucas da Cunha
DMC6.76
-Luis Milla
DMC7.01
-Martin Baturina
AML7.00
-Nico Paz
AMC7.51
-Assane Diao
AMR7.76
-Tasos Douvikas
FW7.25

Parma

Starting 11
-Edoardo Corvi
GK6.51
-Diego Carlos
DC5.93
-Mariano Troilo
DC6.46
-Enrico Delprato
DC6.39
-Emanuele Valeri
DML6.63
-Giovanni Fabbian
MC6.06
-Mandela Keita
MC6.22
-Christian Ordóñez
MC6.54
-Sascha Britschgi
DMR6.26
-David Romero
FW6.16
-El Bilal Touré
FW6.29
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 38 matches
ComovsParma
1.71Goals / Match0.74
0.76Conceded / Match1.21
19Clean Sheets13
5.11Shots on Target / Match2.74
61.6%Possession %44.0%
87.4%Pass Accuracy %80.7%

radarTeam Profile

Como
Parma
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
58Attack15
shield
69Defense49
swap_horiz
76Possession37
gps_fixed
69Efficiency36
auto_fix_high
50Creativity10
gavel
38Discipline50

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

65Goals Scored28
29Goals Conceded46
19Clean Sheets13
99Big Chances55
59Big Chances Missed37
5Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

549Total Shots407
194Shots on Target104

swap_horizPassing & Possession

61.6%Avg Possession44.0%
20,031Total Passes13,742
87.4%Pass Accuracy80.7%

shieldDefending

624Tackles530
263Interceptions260
88Saves115
50.4%Duels Won50.1%

gavelDiscipline

510Fouls413
80Yellow Cards63
3Red Cards5
43Offsides50

analyticsOther

170Corners146
289Successful Dribbles199
6Errors Leading to Goal6
6.92Avg Rating6.75

Statistical Comparison

ComoMetricParma
7
Goals
1
5
Assists
0
6.7
Average Ratings
6.2
24.9
Average Age
24.5
181.5
Average Height (cm)
183.3
1.7
Shots pg
0.9
46%
Aerial Duel Success
41%
0.8
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.5
Tackles pg
1.3

history Recent Form

ComoComo
2.1 GPG
W
W
D
ParmaParma
0.9 GPG
D
L
L

group Head to Head

PL17 May 2026
Como
1-0
Parma
PL25 Oct 2025
Parma
0-0
Como
PL3 May 2025
Parma
0-1
Como
PL19 Oct 2024
Como
1-1
Parma
PL24 Feb 2024
Como
1-1
Parma
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
60%
6 / 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
20%
2 / 10 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
10%
1 / 10 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
5 / 10 matches
Como CS
40%
Clean Sheets
Parma CS
20%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

17 May 2026
Como
1 - 0
Parma
25 Oct 2025
Parma
0 - 0
Como
3 May 2025
Parma
0 - 1
Como
19 Oct 2024
Como
1 - 1
Parma
24 Feb 2024
Como
1 - 1
Parma
20 Oct 2023
Parma
2 - 1
Como
18 Mar 2023
Como
2 - 0
Parma
29 Oct 2022
Parma
1 - 0
Como
6 Apr 2022
Parma
4 - 3
Como
28 Nov 2021
Como
1 - 1
Parma

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Como
2.10
Form (Overall)
Parma
0.90

Como is +133% better in terms of Points Per Game

Genoa
1 - 4
Como
Napoli
1 - 2
Como
Udinese
1 - 1
Como
Parma
1 - 1
Monza
Juventus
2 - 0
Parma
Parma
0 - 1
Cagliari

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