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Coventry vs Derby Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app

Coventry

Coventry

Home
Full Time
3 - 2
HT: 1 - 1
Friday 3 April
Derby

Derby

Away
CoventryTimelineDerby
1st Half
Onyeka F. (Esse R.)
sports_soccer
12'
Travis L.
29'
Brereton Diaz B. (Clarke M.)
sports_soccer
38'
2nd Half
Rudoni J.Out: Eccles J.
sync_alt
63'
Wright H.Out: Simms E.
sync_alt
63'
Mason-Clark E.Out: Esse R.
sync_alt
63'
Agyemang P.Out: Morris C.
sync_alt
65'
Rudoni J.
sports_soccer
68'
Fraulo O.Out: Banel J.
sync_alt
72'
Brereton Diaz B.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
77'
Rudoni J.Assist: van Ewijk M.
sports_soccer
80'
Agyemang P.
81'
Allen C.Out: Ozoh D.
sync_alt
86'
Torp V.Out: Grimes M.
sync_alt
90+1'

Top stats

1.57Expected goals (xG)2.27
50%Ball possession50%
13Total shots8
7Shots on target3
3Big chances3
6Corner kicks1
77% (313/407)Passes78% (311/397)
1Yellow cards2

Shots

1.57Expected goals (xG)2.27
2.30xG on target (xGOT)2.33
13Total shots8
7Shots on target3
2Shots off target3
4Blocked shots2
13Shots inside the box8
1Shots outside the box0
0Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals1

Attack

3Big chances3
6Corner kicks1
31Touches in opposition box26
0Accurate through passes0
0Offsides1
15Free kicks12

Passes

77% (313/407)Passes78% (311/397)
21% (11/52)Long passes31% (15/48)
68% (78/115)Passes in final third65% (69/106)
11% (2/18)Crosses15% (3/20)
0.46Expected assists (xA)1.38
15Throw ins28

Defense

12Fouls15
50% (8/16)Tackles53% (9/17)
55Duels won44
25Clearances21
8Interceptions5
1Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves4
2.33xGOT faced2.30
0.33Goals prevented-0.70
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.65
X4.06
25.16

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (8/10)
83
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #1 vs Away #8
Season: Home 2.05 PPG vs Away 1.54 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.25 PPG vs Away 2.40 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.11 GPG vs Away 1.53 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

77%
12%
11%
Coventry
Draw
Derby

Match Preview

Coventry made no mistake against a mid-table Swansea side before the international break, scoring three times in 11 first-half minutes to seal a comfortable away win. The Sky Blues have won seven of their last eight Championship matches and are nine points clear at the top of the table.

Derby, meanwhile, are fighting to keep their play-off dreams alive. John Eustace got one over on his former club, Birmingham, in the Rams' most recent league match after Rhian Brewster scored the only goal of the game. The visitors have won four of their last five, and are three points behind Southampton in sixth.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Coventry

Starting 11
-Carl Rushworth
GK6.74
-Jay Dasilva
DL6.85
-Joel Latibeaudiere
DC6.77
-Bobby Thomas
DC7.14
-Milan van Ewijk
DR6.93
-Frank Onyeka
DMC6.62
-Matt Grimes
DMC7.07
-Ephron Mason-Clark
AML6.96
-Josh Eccles
AMC6.50
-Tatsuhiro Sakamoto
AMR6.90
-Ellis Simms
FW6.61

Derby

Starting 11
-Richard O'Donnell
GK6.77
-Derry John Murkin
DL7.23
-Matt Clarke
DC7.14
-Dion Sanderson
DC6.69
-Joe Ward
DR6.94
-Lewis Travis
DMC6.48
-David Ozoh
DMC6.44
-Rhian Brewster
AML6.64
-Bobby Clark
AMC6.55
-Ben Brereton
AMR6.59
-Patrick Agyemang
FW6.81
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 39 matches
CoventryvsDerby

radarTeam Profile

Coventry
Derby
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
72Attack37
shield
53Defense49
swap_horiz
51Possession27
gps_fixed
71Efficiency72
auto_fix_high
42Creativity32
gavel
58Discipline39

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

81Goals Scored56
40Goals Conceded48
14Clean Sheets10
108Big Chances83
63Big Chances Missed50
5Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

652Total Shots413
224Shots on Target135

swap_horizPassing & Possession

54.0%Avg Possession43.5%
16,555Total Passes12,919
80.8%Pass Accuracy74.2%

shieldDefending

536Tackles569
280Interceptions338
112Saves116
50.3%Duels Won48.8%

gavelDiscipline

380Fouls469
65Yellow Cards92
3Red Cards3
93Offsides59

analyticsOther

211Corners178
237Successful Dribbles216
6Errors Leading to Goal4
6.94Avg Rating6.77

Statistical Comparison

CoventryMetricDerby
79
Goals
53
45
Assists
35
6.6
Average Ratings
6.5
26.4
Average Age
26.7
180.9
Average Height (cm)
183.6
1.1
Shots pg
0.7
51%
Aerial Duel Success
52%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.1
Tackles pg
1.2

history Recent Form

CoventryCoventry
2.0 GPG
W
L
W
W
W
DerbyDerby
1.5 GPG
W
W
L
W
W

group Head to Head

PL16 Aug 2025
Derby County
3-5
Coventry City
PL11 Mar 2025
Derby County
2-0
Coventry City
PL6 Nov 2024
Coventry City
1-2
Derby County
PL19 Mar 2022
Derby County
1-1
Coventry City
PL8 Jan 2022
Coventry City
1-0
Derby County
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
75%
12 / 16 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
6 / 16 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
13%
2 / 16 matches
Both Teams to Score
63%
10 / 16 matches
Coventry CS
19%
Clean Sheets
Derby CS
19%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

16 Aug 2025
Derby County
3 - 5
Coventry City
11 Mar 2025
Derby County
2 - 0
Coventry City
6 Nov 2024
Coventry City
1 - 2
Derby County
19 Mar 2022
Derby County
1 - 1
Coventry City
8 Jan 2022
Coventry City
1 - 0
Derby County
23 Oct 2021
Coventry City
1 - 1
Derby County
6 Mar 2021
Coventry City
1 - 0
Derby County
1 Dec 2020
Derby County
1 - 1
Coventry City
14 Jan 2012
Derby County
1 - 0
Coventry City
10 Sept 2011
Coventry City
2 - 0
Derby County
9 Apr 2011
Derby County
2 - 2
Coventry City
21 Aug 2010
Coventry City
2 - 1
Derby County

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Coventry
2.05
Form (Overall)
Derby
1.54

Coventry is +33% better in terms of Points Per Game

Swansea City
0 - 3
Coventry City
Coventry City
1 - 2
Southampton
Coventry City
3 - 0
Preston North End
Bristol City
0 - 2
Coventry City
Coventry City
2 - 1
Stoke City
Derby County
1 - 0
Birmingham City
Portsmouth
0 - 1
Derby County
Millwall
1 - 0
Derby County
Derby County
2 - 1
Sheffield Wednesday
Derby County
3 - 1
Blackburn Rovers

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