Crewe vs Aston Villa U21 Prediction & Tips | EFL Trophy | FootballTips.app
Crewe
HomeFull Time
4 - 1
HT: 2 - 0
Tuesday 22 September
Aston Villa U21
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Model Confidence
11.46
X4.34
24.96
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
Key Factors
Season: Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 1.20 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.00 PPG vs Away 1.28 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.33 GPG vs Away 2.25 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.00 conc vs Away 2.25 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
41%
26%
33%
Crewe
Draw
Aston Villa U21
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.36 | 1.71 | 1.49 | -20.5% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.75 | 2.41 | 3.02 | +14.3% |
| Crewe Alexandra Win | 1.41 | 2.44 | 1.59 | -42.2% |
| Draw | 4.70 | 3.89 | 5.29 | +20.7% |
| Aston Villa U21 Win | 4.90 | 4.74 | 5.52 | +3.5% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.48 | 1.75 | 1.60 | -15.5% |
| BTTS - No | 2.45 | 2.33 | 2.66 | +5.0% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 7 / 1 matchesCrewevsAston Villa U21
1.00Goals / Match2.00
0.71Conceded / Match3.00
3Clean Sheets0
3.86Shots on Target / Match5.00
50.0%Possession %54.0%
78.2%Pass Accuracy %88.5%
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
7Goals Scored2
5Goals Conceded3
3Clean Sheets0
12Big Chances5
8Big Chances Missed4
gps_fixedShooting
94Total Shots12
27Shots on Target5
swap_horizPassing & Possession
50.0%Avg Possession54.0%
2,767Total Passes511
78.2%Pass Accuracy88.5%
shieldDefending
109Tackles14
74Interceptions4
28Saves4
46.6%Duels Won50.0%
gavelDiscipline
97Fouls10
11Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
16Offsides2
analyticsOther
42Corners7
46Successful Dribbles12
2Errors Leading to Goal0
7.35Avg Rating6.63
history Recent Form
CreweD
D
D
D
D
Aston Villa U21D
D
W
L
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.50
Form (Overall)
1.20
Crewe is +25% better in terms of Points Per Game
Crewe Alexandra
1 - 1
Shrewsbury Town
Colchester United
1 - 1
Crewe Alexandra
Crewe Alexandra
1 - 1
York City
Crewe Alexandra
2 - 2
Walsall
Port Vale
0 - 0
Crewe Alexandra
Aston Villa U21
2 - 2
Middlesbrough U21
Fulham U21
3 - 3
Aston Villa U21
Aston Villa U21
0 - 2
Crystal Palace U21
Aston Villa U21
2 - 1
Brighton U21
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