Crewe vs Bristol Rovers Prediction & Tips | League Two | FootballTips.app

Crewe

Crewe

Home
Full Time
3 - 1
HT: 2 - 0
Saturday 3 October
Bristol Rovers

Bristol Rovers

Away
CreweTimelineBristol Rovers
1st Half
Lankester J. (Tabiner J.)
sports_soccer
1'
March J.
8'
James T.
8'
Stephenson J.
10'
Lankester J.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
21'
Kelly C.
30'
Lunt O.
38'
2nd Half
Gough K.Out: Smallwood R.
sync_alt
46'
Sanyaolu P.Out: Kilgour A.
sync_alt
46'
Purrington B.Out: Sparkes J.
sync_alt
46'
Forde S.Out: Russell-Denny R.
sync_alt
46'
Gibson J.Out: Tabiner J.
sync_alt
50'
Thomas C.Out: Lankester J.
sync_alt
62'
Gibson J. (March J.)
sports_soccer
66'
Quigley J.Out: Harrison E.
sync_alt
74'
Gough K.
77'
Thomas C.
79'
McNeill C.Out: Thibaut A.
sync_alt
81'
Mola C.
89'
Kamwa B. (Mola C.)
sports_soccer
90+2'
No statistics available for this match
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Model Confidence
12.94
X3.30
22.26

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #8 vs Away #3
Season: Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 1.88 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.80 PPG vs Away 0.70 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.25 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

40%
30%
30%
Crewe
Draw
Bristol Rovers
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.791.74+3.0%
Under 2.5 Goals2.002.36-15.1%
Crewe Alexandra Win2.902.47+17.4%
Draw3.423.39+1.0%
Bristol Rovers Win2.263.33-32.2%
BTTS - Yes1.621.71-5.1%
BTTS - No2.152.42-11.0%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Crewe were pegged back right before half-time against Rotherham in gameweek eight, settling for a point in Yorkshire. Saturday's hosts remain unbeaten in League Two but have now drawn their last six league matches heading into this game.

Bristol Rovers produced the perfect response to back-to-back defeats and shutouts when they faced Exeter City last time out, claiming all three points and a clean sheet. With five wins from their last seven in the league, Steve Evans' men sit third in the standings.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Crewe

Starting 11
-Tom Booth
GK6.91
-Kyle Ure
DL6.24
-Luke Offord
DC7.07
-Joshua Stephenson
DC7.08
-Lewis Billington
DR6.66
-Matús Holícek
DMC6.73
-Joe White
DMC6.43
-Jordan Gibson
AML6.79
-Joel Tabiner
AMC6.64
-Jack Lankester
AMR6.36
-Josh March
FW6.94

Bristol Rovers

Starting 11
-Brad Young
GK6.42
-Ciarán Kelly
DC6.94
-Alfie Kilgour
DC7.64
-Kofi Balmer
DC6.94
-Ben Purrington
DML6.85
-Clinton Mola
MC6.87
-Richard Smallwood
MC6.72
-Tom James
DMR7.23
-Shaq Forde
AMC6.73
-Ellis Harrison
AMC6.80
-Fabrizio Cavegn
FW6.85
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Statistical Comparison

CreweMetricBristol Rovers
7
Goals
12
5
Assists
6
6.6
Average Ratings
6.8
23.6
Average Age
27.6
182.3
Average Height (cm)
182.1
1
Shots pg
1.3
44%
Aerial Duel Success
55%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.1
Tackles pg
1.4

history Recent Form

CreweCrewe
1.5 GPG
W
D
D
D
W
Bristol RoversBristol Rovers
0.8 GPG
L
L
W
L
D

group Head to Head

PL7 Mar 2026
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Crewe Alexandra
PL19 Dec 2025
Crewe Alexandra
1-1
Bristol Rovers
PL12 Dec 2023
Crewe Alexandra
2-4
Bristol Rovers
PL1 May 2021
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Crewe Alexandra
PL19 Jan 2021
Crewe Alexandra
3-2
Bristol Rovers
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
80%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
80%
4 / 5 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
3 / 5 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
2 / 5 matches
Both Teams to Score
80%
4 / 5 matches
Crewe CS
20%
Clean Sheets
Bristol Rovers CS
0%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

7 Mar 2026
Bristol Rovers
2 - 1
Crewe Alexandra
19 Dec 2025
Crewe Alexandra
1 - 1
Bristol Rovers
12 Dec 2023
Crewe Alexandra
2 - 4
Bristol Rovers
1 May 2021
Bristol Rovers
0 - 1
Crewe Alexandra
19 Jan 2021
Crewe Alexandra
3 - 2
Bristol Rovers

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Crewe
1.50
Form (Overall)
Bristol Rovers
0.75

Crewe is +100% better in terms of Points Per Game

Crewe Alexandra
4 - 1
Aston Villa U21
Crewe Alexandra
1 - 1
Shrewsbury Town
Crewe Alexandra
1 - 1
York City
Crewe Alexandra
2 - 2
Walsall
Crewe Alexandra
1 - 0
Northampton Town
Gillingham
3 - 0
Bristol Rovers
Grimsby Town
2 - 0
Bristol Rovers
Crawley Town
0 - 2
Bristol Rovers
York City
3 - 2
Bristol Rovers
Notts County
1 - 1
Bristol Rovers

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