Croatia vs England Prediction & Tips | UEFA Nations League - League A | FootballTips.app
Croatia
HomeFull Time
0 - 7
HT: 0 - 4
Saturday 3 October
England
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Model Confidence
13.86
X3.87
21.83
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
Key Factors
Season: Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 2.20 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 1.80 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.33 GPG vs Away 3.00 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.33 conc vs Away 1.40 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
36%
26%
38%
Croatia
Draw
England
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.83 | 1.72 | 1.86 | +6.2% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.13 | 2.38 | 2.16 | -10.6% |
| Croatia Win | 3.68 | 2.79 | 4.00 | +32.0% |
| Draw | 3.78 | 3.86 | 4.10 | -2.1% |
| England Win | 1.82 | 2.62 | 1.98 | -30.4% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.67 | 1.71 | 1.78 | -2.5% |
| BTTS - No | 2.15 | 2.40 | 2.29 | -10.5% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
history Recent Form
CroatiaL
W
L
W
W
EnglandW
L
W
L
W
group Head to Head
PL17 Jun 2026
4-2
PL13 Jun 2021
1-0
PL18 Nov 2018
2-1
PL12 Oct 2018
0-0
PL11 Jul 2018
2-1
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
3 / 5 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
3 / 5 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
1 / 5 matches
Both Teams to Score
60%
3 / 5 matches
Croatia CS
20%
Clean Sheets
England CS
40%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
17 Jun 2026
England
4 - 2
Croatia
13 Jun 2021
England
1 - 0
Croatia
18 Nov 2018
England
2 - 1
Croatia
12 Oct 2018
Croatia
0 - 0
England
11 Jul 2018
Croatia
2 - 1
England
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.50
Form (Overall)
2.20
England is +47% better in terms of Points Per Game
Spain
4 - 1
Croatia
Czech Republic
1 - 2
Croatia
Portugal
2 - 1
Croatia
Croatia
2 - 1
Ghana
Panama
0 - 1
Croatia
Czech Republic
0 - 2
England
England
2 - 3
Spain
France
4 - 6
England
England
1 - 2
Argentina
Norway
1 - 2
England
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