Croatia vs Spain Prediction & Tips | UEFA Nations League - League A | FootballTips.app
Croatia
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Spain
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Key Factors
donut_small Win Probabilities
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.40 | 1.69 | 1.49 | -17.1% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.84 | 2.45 | 3.03 | +15.9% |
| Croatia Win | 9.00 | 3.78 | 9.58 | +138.1% |
| Draw | 6.50 | 5.21 | 6.92 | +24.7% |
| Spain Win | 1.25 | 1.84 | 1.33 | -32.1% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.75 | 1.81 | 1.88 | -3.3% |
| BTTS - No | 2.00 | 2.23 | 2.14 | -10.5% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Croatia
Starting 11
Spain
Starting 11
Match Preview
Croatia host Spain in UEFA Nations League League A Group 3 at Stadion Poljud on 6 October 2026 GMT.
Croatia’s latest tournament match ended in a heavy 7-0 defeat to England, while Spain kept their strong run going with a 3-1 win over Czech Republic.
Spain also won the earlier group meeting 4-1, giving them a clear recent edge in this matchup.
Croatia have lost 3 of their last 5 UEFA Nations League matches, although 6 wins from their last 7 home matches show they remain difficult to dismiss at Stadion Poljud.
Spain have won 5 of their last 6 matches and have recorded 6 wins in their last 6 away matches across all leagues.
Prediction: Spain to win by 1-2.
Croatia were destroyed by England in front of their home crowd on Saturday evening, losing 7-0 to Thomas Tuchel's side after braces from Harry Kane and Bukayo Saka set the tone. The home side have lost three of their last four international matches, and now face the world champions.
Spain continued their flawless start to the Nations League campaign last time out, beating a 10-man Czechia side 3-1 on home soil. Luis De La Fuente's side are chasing an 11th consecutive international victory when they travel to Stadion Poljud.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 7 / 8 matchesradarTeam Profile
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Statistical Comparison
League Standings Context
For Croatia
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | England | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Croatia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
For Spain
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | England | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
Team Performance (Avg)
Head-to-Head Summary
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Croatia | Spain |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 82%14/17 | 100%17/17 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 71%12/17 | 88%15/17 |
| Both Teams to Score | 47%8/17 | 53%9/17 |
Past Matches
Home Games: Croatia
Away Games: Spain
history Recent Form
CroatiaSpaingroup Head to Head
Head-to-Head Detailed
Recent Matches
Current Form Comparison
Spain is +150% better in terms of Points Per Game
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