Cruz Azul vs Toluca Prediction & Tips | Liga MX - Apertura | FootballTips.app
Cruz Azul
HomeFull Time
3 - 3
HT: 2 - 0
Saturday 26 September
Toluca
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Confidence
12.51
X3.61
22.57
Recommended Bet
cancel
Home Win
Odds: 2.50Stake: Medium (7/10)
66
Opp. Value
Key Factors
Season: Home 1.67 PPG vs Away 2.11 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.80 PPG vs Away 2.10 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.80 GPG vs Away 1.25 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.80 conc vs Away 0.25 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
63%
20%
16%
Cruz Azul
Draw
Toluca
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.54 | 1.76 | 1.66 | -12.5% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.35 | 2.32 | 2.53 | +1.4% |
| Cruz Azul Win | 2.50 | 1.58 | 2.77 | +58.6% |
| Draw | 3.30 | 4.91 | 3.65 | -32.8% |
| Toluca Win | 2.48 | 6.18 | 2.74 | -59.9% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.44 | 1.76 | 1.56 | -18.0% |
| BTTS - No | 2.55 | 2.32 | 2.77 | +9.9% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 9 / 8 matchesCruz AzulvsToluca
1.78Goals / Match2.38
1.67Conceded / Match1.88
1Clean Sheets3
radarTeam Profile
Cruz Azul
Toluca
sports_soccer
78Attack35
shield
43Defense27
swap_horiz
65Possession24
gps_fixed
61Efficiency50
auto_fix_high
87Creativity0
gavel
55Discipline40
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
16Goals Scored19
15Goals Conceded15
1Clean Sheets3
1Penalty Goals2
gavelDiscipline
18Yellow Cards15
0Red Cards2
history Recent Form
Cruz AzulL
W
W
W
L
TolucaL
W
W
W
W
group Head to Head
PL7 Feb 2026
1-1
PL24 Aug 2025
1-0
PL20 Apr 2025
2-2
PL21 Jul 2024
1-1
PL28 Apr 2024
0-1
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
27 / 35 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
14 / 35 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
8 / 35 matches
Both Teams to Score
54%
19 / 35 matches
Cruz Azul CS
31%
Clean Sheets
Toluca CS
20%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
7 Feb 2026
Toluca
1 - 1
Cruz Azul
24 Aug 2025
Cruz Azul
1 - 0
Toluca
20 Apr 2025
Toluca
2 - 2
Cruz Azul
21 Jul 2024
Cruz Azul
1 - 1
Toluca
28 Apr 2024
Toluca
0 - 1
Cruz Azul
9 Jul 2023
Cruz Azul
0 - 2
Toluca
12 Feb 2023
Toluca
3 - 1
Cruz Azul
23 Dec 2022
Toluca
1 - 1
Cruz Azul
14 Aug 2022
Cruz Azul
2 - 3
Toluca
21 Feb 2022
Toluca
1 - 4
Cruz Azul
15 Aug 2021
Cruz Azul
4 - 0
Toluca
16 May 2021
Cruz Azul
3 - 1
Toluca
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.67
Form (Overall)
2.11
Toluca is +26% better in terms of Points Per Game
Monterrey
1 - 0
Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
4 - 3
América
Cruz Azul
1 - 0
Santos Laguna
Necaxa
1 - 3
Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
0 - 2
Atlas
Toluca
2 - 3
Santos Laguna
Puebla
0 - 1
Toluca
Toluca
5 - 2
Atlas
Toluca
4 - 0
Juárez
Querétaro
1 - 2
Toluca
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