Crvena zvezda vs Lille Prediction & Tips | Europa League - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Crvena zvezda

Crvena zvezda

Home
Full Time
0 - 2
HT: 0 - 1
Thursday 26 February
Lille

Lille

Away
Crvena zvezdaTimelineLille
1st Half
Giroud O.Assist: Andre B.
sports_soccer
4'
Tebo Uchenna F.
36'
2nd Half
Arnautovic M.Out: Enem J.
sync_alt
46'
Veljkovic M.Out: Tebo Uchenna F.
sync_alt
46'
Bouaddi A.
52'
Handel T.
68'
Elsnik T.Out: Handel T.
sync_alt
71'
Correia F.Out: Perrin G.
sync_alt
71'
Extra Time
Ngoy N.Out: Santos T.
sync_alt
94'
Mukau N.Out: Haraldsson H.
sync_alt
94'
Ngoy N. (Correia F.)
sports_soccer
99'
Owusu D.Out: Rodrigo
sync_alt
104'
Katai A.Out: Kostov V.
sync_alt
104'
Avdic A.Out: Tiknizyan N.
sync_alt
106'
Verdonk C.Out: Perraud R.
sync_alt
106'
Avdic A.
120+1'

Top stats

0.91Expected goals (xG)0.99
56%Ball possession44%
15Total shots16
3Shots on target8
0Big chances3
8Corner kicks8
81% (474/582)Passes76% (361/477)
3Yellow cards1

Shots

0.91Expected goals (xG)0.99
0.53xG on target (xGOT)1.60
15Total shots16
3Shots on target8
5Shots off target2
7Blocked shots6
8Shots inside the box9
7Shots outside the box7
0Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals1

Attack

0Big chances3
8Corner kicks8
30Touches in opposition box28
0Accurate through passes0
4Offsides2
13Free kicks17

Passes

81% (474/582)Passes76% (361/477)
56% (48/85)Long passes44% (36/82)
74% (109/148)Passes in final third63% (88/140)
14% (6/44)Crosses25% (5/20)
1.11Expected assists (xA)0.82
24Throw ins28

Defense

17Fouls13
74% (20/27)Tackles47% (7/15)
81Duels won74
37Clearances56
10Interceptions9
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

6Goalkeeper saves3
1.60xGOT faced0.53
-0.40Goals prevented0.53
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.75
X3.48
22.53

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (10/10)
98
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.60 PPG vs Away 0.80 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 3.00 PPG vs Away 1.35 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 3.25 GPG vs Away 0.40 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.25 conc vs Away 1.20 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

61%
18%
20%
Crvena zvezda
Draw
Lille

Match Preview

Crvena Zvezda will take on Lille in the Europa League at the Stadion Rajko Mitić on February 26, 2026.

Crvena Zvezda boasts an impressive 83% win rate in their last 6 matches and has won 50% of their last 4 Europa League home games.

Meanwhile, Lille has struggled with a 67% loss rate in their last 6 Europa League matches and has suffered 3 losses in their last 6 away matches in all leagues.

In their head-to-head history, Crvena Zvezda has emerged victorious in 2 out of their last 2 encounters against Lille.

Our algorithm predicts Crvena Zvezda to win with a probability of 49%.

Red Star Belgrade return to the Rajko Mitić with a narrow but precious 1-0 lead after a disciplined first-leg display in France. It was their first ever win on French soil in nine attempts, and it came at a time when Lille’s 2026 form had already begun to wobble. The Serbian champions followed that up with a 3-0 derby victory over Partizan, sharpening both belief and atmosphere ahead of a European night they hope will end a long wait for knockout success. Red Star have not won a major European knockout tie since September 2007, but they are unbeaten in their last four home knockout matches in Europe (W2 D2).

Lille insist the tie is far from settled. A weekend win over Angers steadied domestic nerves, yet the broader European record remains a concern. They have won only two of their 16 away major European knockout matches (D7 L7), and more tellingly, they have never progressed after losing the first leg of a European knockout tie. History, then, sits with the hosts, even if French clubs overall have fared well in Belgrade, winning four of six visits. Lille’s only trip here ended in a 1-0 defeat earlier this season.

Red Star’s home resilience, their recent defensive stability, and Lille’s historical struggles when trailing after a first leg all tilt the balance toward the Serbian side. Lille will likely control territory, but Red Star have shown they are comfortable protecting a single-goal edge.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Crvena zvezda

Starting 11
-Matheus
GK6.75
-Nayair Tiknizyan
DL6.93
-Milos Veljkovic
DC6.75
-Strahinja Erakovic
DC7.13
-Seol Young-Woo
DR6.87
-Rade Krunic
DMC7.10
-Timi Max Elsnik
DMC6.97
-Aleksandar Katai
AML6.24
-Vasilije Kostov
AMC6.51
-Douglas Owusu
AMR
-Marko Arnautovic
FW6.54

Lille

Starting 11
-Berke Özer
GK6.77
-Calvin Verdonk
DL6.77
-Aïssa Mandi
DC6.86
-Nathan Ngoy
DC6.85
-Tiago Santos
DR6.51
-Benjamin André
DMC7.03
-Ayyoub Bouaddi
DMC6.50
-Félix Correia
AML6.36
-Matias Fernandez-Pardo
AMC6.52
-Gaëtan Perrin
AMR5.97
-Olivier Giroud
FW6.39
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 9 matches
Crvena zvezdavsLille

radarTeam Profile

Crvena zvezda
Lille
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
30Attack48
shield
77Defense52
swap_horiz
47Possession68
gps_fixed
40Efficiency59
auto_fix_high
37Creativity43
gavel
37Discipline45

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

8Goals Scored12
6Goals Conceded10
5Clean Sheets3
21Big Chances24
14Big Chances Missed15
1Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

105Total Shots123
28Shots on Target42

swap_horizPassing & Possession

47.8%Avg Possession60.1%
3,922Total Passes4,915
80.7%Pass Accuracy85.6%

shieldDefending

136Tackles140
97Interceptions68
18Saves20
52.0%Duels Won52.4%

gavelDiscipline

111Fouls101
20Yellow Cards18
1Red Cards1
20Offsides17

analyticsOther

47Corners59
59Successful Dribbles56
2Errors Leading to Goal1
6.83Avg Rating6.91

Statistical Comparison

Crvena zvezdaMetricLille
8
Goals
12
7
Assists
9
6.6
Average Ratings
6.5
27.9
Average Age
27.2
184.4
Average Height (cm)
181.5
0.9
Shots pg
1.1
51%
Aerial Duel Success
53%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.7
1.3
Tackles pg
1.1

League Standings Context

For Crvena zvezda

PosTeamPWDLPts
14Viktoria Plzen835014
15Crvena Zvezda842214
16Celta Vigo841313

For Lille

PosTeamPWDLPts
17PAOK833212
18Lille840412
19Fenerbahçe833212

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

57.4/ 97.4
Dangerous Attacks
48.0/ 91.7
38.0%
Shots on Target
34.0%
16.8
Total Shots
12.0
59.0%
Possession
56.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

2.4
Goals Scored / Match
1.5
0.8
Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

Head-to-Head Summary

2
Crvena zvezda Wins
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Lille Wins
0%
Total H2H Matches: 2

Recent Form Stats

MarketCrvena zvezdaLille
Over 1.5 Goals
73%30/41
49%20/41
Over 2.5 Goals
56%23/41
34%14/41
Both Teams to Score
51%21/41
32%13/41
* Based on last 41 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Crvena zvezda

Rs1
Crvena Zvezda
3 - 0
Partizan
Rs1
Crvena Zvezda
5 - 0
FK Novi Pazar
UEL
Crvena Zvezda
1 - 1
Celta Vigo
Rs1
Crvena Zvezda
4 - 0
Mladost Lucani
Rs1
Crvena Zvezda
0 - 1
Vojvodina
Rs1
Crvena Zvezda
3 - 0
Cukaricki Belgrade

Home Games: Crvena zvezda

Rs1
Crvena Zvezda
3 - 0
Partizan
Rs1
Crvena Zvezda
5 - 0
FK Novi Pazar
UEL
Crvena Zvezda
1 - 1
Celta Vigo
Rs1
Crvena Zvezda
4 - 0
Mladost Lucani
Rs1
Crvena Zvezda
0 - 1
Vojvodina
Rs1
Crvena Zvezda
3 - 0
Cukaricki Belgrade

Last 6: Lille

Fr1
Angers
0 - 1
Lille
Fr1
Metz
0 - 0
Lille
Fr1
Lyon
1 - 0
Lille
UEL
Celta Vigo
2 - 1
Lille
Fr1
PSG
3 - 0
Lille
CdF
US Lusitanos (FRA)
0 - 1
Lille

Away Games: Lille

Fr1
Angers
0 - 1
Lille
Fr1
Metz
0 - 0
Lille
Fr1
Lyon
1 - 0
Lille
UEL
Celta Vigo
2 - 1
Lille
Fr1
PSG
3 - 0
Lille
CdF
US Lusitanos (FRA)
0 - 1
Lille

history Recent Form

Crvena zvezdaCrvena zvezda
2.6 GPG
W
W
W
W
W
LilleLille
0.8 GPG
W
D
D
L
L

group Head to Head

PL19 Feb 2026
Lille
0-1
Red Star Belgrade
PL6 Nov 2025
Red Star Belgrade
1-0
Lille
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
0%
0 / 2 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
0 / 2 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 2 matches
Both Teams to Score
0%
0 / 2 matches
Crvena zvezda CS
100%
Clean Sheets
Lille CS
0%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

19 Feb 2026
Lille
0 - 1
Red Star Belgrade
6 Nov 2025
Red Star Belgrade
1 - 0
Lille

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Crvena zvezda
2.60
Form (Overall)
Lille
0.80

Crvena zvezda is +225% better in terms of Points Per Game

Red Star Belgrade
3 - 0
Partizan
Železničar Pančevo
0 - 3
Red Star Belgrade
Red Star Belgrade
5 - 0
Novi Pazar
Čukarički
1 - 3
Red Star Belgrade
Red Star Belgrade
4 - 0
LFK Mladost Lučani
Angers SCO
0 - 1
Lille
Lille
1 - 1
Brest
Metz
0 - 0
Lille
Olympique Lyonnais
1 - 0
Lille
Lille
1 - 4
Strasbourg

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