Crystal Palace vs Burnley Prediction & Tips | Premier League

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Crystal Palace

Home

Full Time

2 - 3

HT: 2 - 3

Wednesday 11 February

Burnley

Away

Crystal PalaceTimelineBurnley

1st Half

Larsen J. S. (Wharton A.)

sports_soccer

17'

Larsen J. S. (Lerma J.)

sports_soccer

33'

Richards C.

35'

Lerma J.

36'

Mejbri H. (Edwards M.)

sports_soccer

40'

Anthony J. (Ugochukwu L.)

sports_soccer

44'

Lerma J.Assist: Own goal

sports_soccer

45+2'

2nd Half

Riad C.Out: Lerma J.

sync_alt

46'

Johnson B.Out: Guessand E.

sync_alt

58'

Pino Y.Out: Kamada D.

sync_alt

72'

Hughes W.Out: Munoz D.

sync_alt

72'

Bruun Larsen J.Out: Edwards M.

sync_alt

73'

Foster L.Out: Flemming Z.

sync_alt

73'

Mejbri H.

74'

Uche C.Out: Wharton A.

sync_alt

83'

Ward-Prowse J.Out: Mejbri H.

sync_alt

83'

FlorentinoOut: Ugochukwu L.

sync_alt

87'

Top stats

1.87Expected goals (xG)0.52

65%Ball possession35%

21Total shots8

3Shots on target3

3Big chances1

8Corner kicks2

81% (460/567)Passes66% (206/312)

2Yellow cards1

Shots

1.87Expected goals (xG)0.52

1.67xG on target (xGOT)1.51

21Total shots8

3Shots on target3

7Shots off target4

11Blocked shots1

15Shots inside the box4

6Shots outside the box4

1Hit the woodwork0

1Headed goals0

Attack

3Big chances1

8Corner kicks2

39Touches in opposition box20

2Accurate through passes0

1Offsides1

8Free kicks11

Passes

81% (460/567)Passes66% (206/312)

40% (22/55)Long passes25% (17/67)

70% (116/165)Passes in final third51% (47/93)

39% (9/23)Crosses23% (3/13)

2.28Expected assists (xA)0.33

17Throw ins15

Defense

11Fouls8

60% (9/15)Tackles50% (8/16)

53Duels won53

26Clearances36

8Interceptions7

1Errors leading to shot0

1Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves1

1.51xGOT faced1.67

-0.49Goals prevented-0.33

auto_awesome

AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

11.53

X4.31

26.77

Recommended Bet

Home Win

Stake: High (8/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #13 vs Away #19

Season: Home 1.28 PPG vs Away 0.60 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.25 PPG vs Away 0.45 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 0.92 GPG vs Away 1.08 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

80%

11%

Crystal Palace

Draw

Burnley

Match Preview

Crystal Palace will meet Burnley in a Premier League encounter at Selhurst Park on February 11, 2026.

Crystal Palace currently occupies the 13th spot, while Burnley finds themselves in the 19th position in the standings.

Crystal Palace has accumulated 32 points, while Burnley has 15 points to their name.

Noteworthy statistics show that Crystal Palace has recorded 3 draws in their last 6 home matches across all leagues.

On the other hand, Burnley has faced defeat in 17 out of their last 28 matches.

Looking at their head-to-head history, Crystal Palace has emerged victorious in 3 out of the last 6 matches against Burnley in the league.

With both teams aiming to secure points for different reasons - Crystal Palace to maintain their mid-table position and Burnley to stave off relegation, the upcoming match presents a significant opportunity for both sides.

Our model prediction indicates a draw between Crystal Palace and Burnley with a probability of 43%.

Crystal Palace finally lifted the mood after claiming a crucial 1-0 victory at the home of their great rivals Brighton - their first win for almost two months.

The Eagles are now nine points clear of the relegation zone and now have the chance to end any fears of going down with this the first of two games at home to the bottom two.

Burnley took another step towards relegation after the West Ham defeat leaves them without a victory since October and 11 points from safety with just 13 games left.

The Clarets have won just five points on the road all season and it's hard to see anything other than another loss here for Scott Parker's side.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Crystal Palace

Starting 11

-Dean Henderson

GK6.64

-Jefferson Lerma

DC6.55

-Maxence Lacroix

DC7.03

-Chris Richards

DC7.00

-Tyrick Mitchell

DML6.77

-Will Hughes

MC6.40

-Adam Wharton

MC6.80

-Daniel Muñoz

DMR7.10

-Ismaïla Sarr

AMC6.73

-Yéremy Pino

AMC6.68

-Jørgen Strand Larsen

FW6.21

Burnley

Starting 11

-Martin Dúbravka

GK6.87

-Lucas Pires

DL6.52

-Maxime Estève

DC6.52

-Bashir Humphreys

DC6.68

-Kyle Walker

DR6.49

-Lesley Ugochukwu

MC6.35

-Florentino

MC6.52

-James Ward-Prowse

-Jaidon Anthony

AMC6.50

-Marcus Edwards

AMC6.36

-Zian Flemming

FW6.47

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 25 matches

Crystal PalacevsBurnley

radarTeam Profile

Crystal Palace

Burnley

sports_soccer

33Attack17

shield

65Defense39

swap_horiz

30Possession31

gps_fixed

54Efficiency65

auto_fix_high

22Creativity15

gavel

55Discipline56

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

26Goals Scored25

29Goals Conceded49

9Clean Sheets3

67Big Chances36

46Big Chances Missed19

5Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

286Total Shots226

97Shots on Target73

swap_horizPassing & Possession

43.7%Avg Possession41.6%

9,539Total Passes9,553

77.4%Pass Accuracy78.5%

shieldDefending

479Tackles435

222Interceptions227

66Saves99

49.7%Duels Won47.2%

gavelDiscipline

253Fouls250

50Yellow Cards43

1Red Cards2

50Offsides39

analyticsOther

101Corners86

111Successful Dribbles115

4Errors Leading to Goal8

6.83Avg Rating6.64

Statistical Comparison

Crystal PalaceMetricBurnley

Goals

Assists

6.5

Average Ratings

6.4

26.5

Average Age

27.2

183.4

Average Height (cm)

183.8

1.2

Shots pg

0.6

48%

Aerial Duel Success

46%

0.3

Dribbles pg

0.4

1.7

Tackles pg

1.4

League Standings Context

For Crystal Palace

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
12	Fulham	25	10	4	11	34
13	Crystal Palace	25	8	8	9	32
14	Brighton	25	7	10	8	31

For Burnley

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
18	West Ham	26	6	6	14	24
19	Burnley	25	3	6	16	15
20	Wolverhampton	25	1	5	19	8

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

45.7/ 88.0

Dangerous Attacks

39.6/ 87.7

34.0%

Shots on Target

35.0%

12.9

Total Shots

9.6

47.0%

Possession

43.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.2

Goals Scored / Match

1.2

1.1

Goals Conceded / Match

1.9

Head-to-Head Summary

Crystal Palace Wins

50%

Draws

33%

Burnley Wins

17%

Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

Market	Crystal Palace	Burnley
Over 1.5 Goals	70%26/37	68%25/37
Over 2.5 Goals	46%17/37	43%16/37
Both Teams to Score	49%18/37	46%17/37

* Based on last 37 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Crystal Palace

Home Games: Crystal Palace

Last 6: Burnley

Away Games: Burnley

history Recent Form

Crystal Palace

1.3 GPG

Burnley

0.6 GPG

group Head to Head

PL3 Dec 2025

0-1

PL24 Feb 2024

3-0

PL4 Nov 2023

0-2

PL26 Feb 2022

1-1

PL20 Nov 2021

3-3

32%

Over 2.5 Goals

32%

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

60%

15 / 25 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

32%

8 / 25 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

24%

6 / 25 matches

Both Teams to Score

32%

8 / 25 matches

Crystal Palace CS

40%

Clean Sheets

Burnley CS

40%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

3 Dec 2025

Burnley

0 - 1

Crystal Palace

24 Feb 2024

Crystal Palace

3 - 0

Burnley

4 Nov 2023

Burnley

0 - 2

Crystal Palace

26 Feb 2022

Crystal Palace

1 - 1

Burnley

20 Nov 2021

Burnley

3 - 3

Crystal Palace

13 Feb 2021

Crystal Palace

0 - 3

Burnley

23 Nov 2020

Burnley

1 - 0

Crystal Palace

29 Jun 2020

Crystal Palace

0 - 1

Burnley

30 Nov 2019

Burnley

0 - 2

Crystal Palace

2 Mar 2019

Burnley

1 - 3

Crystal Palace

1 Dec 2018

Crystal Palace

2 - 0

Burnley

13 Jan 2018

Crystal Palace

1 - 0

Burnley

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

1.28

Form (Overall)

0.60

Crystal Palace is +113% better in terms of Points Per Game

Brighton & Hove Albion

0 - 1

Crystal Palace

Nottingham Forest

1 - 1

Crystal Palace

1 - 3

Chelsea

Sunderland

2 - 1

Crystal Palace

0 - 0

Aston Villa

Burnley

0 - 2

West Ham United

Sunderland

3 - 0

Burnley

2 - 2

Tottenham Hotspur

Liverpool

1 - 1

Burnley

2 - 2

Manchester United