D. Concepcion vs A. Italiano Prediction & Tips | Liga de Primera | FootballTips.app
D. Concepcion
HomeFull Time
0 - 1
HT: 0 - 1
Saturday 5 September
A. Italiano
AwayD. ConcepcionTimelineA. Italiano
1st Half
Pinares C.Assist: Coelho D.
sports_soccer
17'
2nd Half
Montecinos J.Out: Martinez F.
sync_alt
46'
Jara A.Out: Fuentes N.
sync_alt
46'
Collao M.Out: Mateos F.
sync_alt
46'
Romero F.Out: Henriquez J.
sync_alt
56'
Sandoval M.Out: Guajardo P.
sync_alt
64'
Sandoval M.
68'
Escobar C.Out: Espinoza E.
sync_alt
69'
Davila Carvajal M.Out: Rodriguez Y.
sync_alt
69'
Grillo F.
74'
Montecinos J.
76'
Troyansky F.
77'
Ortiz M.Out: Troyansky F.
sync_alt
84'
Pizarro D.Out: Coelho D.
sync_alt
90+3'
Jara A.
90+5'
Top stats
1.78Expected goals (xG)0.32
67%Ball possession33%
21Total shots10
6Shots on target3
0Big chances0
10Corner kicks2
80% (378/475)Passes66% (161/243)
2Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
Shots
1.78Expected goals (xG)0.32
1.18xG on target (xGOT)0.50
21Total shots10
6Shots on target3
13Shots off target3
2Blocked shots4
15Shots inside the box3
6Shots outside the box7
1Hit the woodwork0
Attack
0Big chances0
10Corner kicks2
24Touches in opposition box11
0Accurate through passes0
2Offsides3
16Free kicks9
Passes
80% (378/475)Passes66% (161/243)
47% (37/79)Long passes38% (29/77)
59% (77/131)Passes in final third51% (46/91)
37% (10/27)Crosses33% (3/9)
1.49Expected assists (xA)0.27
25Throw ins15
Defense
9Fouls16
87% (13/15)Tackles54% (13/24)
48Duels won69
15Clearances27
6Interceptions11
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
3Goalkeeper saves6
0.50xGOT faced1.18
-0.50Goals prevented1.18
5Goal kicks13
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Confidence
11.92
X3.31
23.82
Recommended Bet
cancel
Home Win
Odds: 2.00Stake: Low (4/10)
40
Opp. Value
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Attack Quality: Home 28% on target vs Away 28% on target
Standings: Home GD +0 (30pts) vs Away GD -7 (22pts)
Sofascore Stats: Home superiority - Best: Defense (+15), Creativity (+7)
donut_small Win Probabilities
45%
D. Concepcion Win
29%
Draw
26%
A. Italiano Win
D. Concepcion
Draw
A. Italiano
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 2.00 | 2.04 | 2.11 | -1.9% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.80 | 1.96 | 1.90 | -8.3% |
| Home Win | 2.00 | 2.20 | 2.16 | -9.1% |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.45 | 3.57 | -4.2% |
| Away Win | 3.60 | 3.91 | 3.89 | -8.0% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.83 | 2.03 | 2.00 | -10.1% |
| BTTS - No | 1.83 | 1.97 | 2.00 | -6.9% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Match Preview
Deportes Concepción and Audax Italiano face off in the Chilean Primera Division at the Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo on September 5, 2026.
Deportes Concepción, sitting 8th in the standings with 30 points, host 13th placed Audax Italiano who currently have 22 points to their name.
Recent form favors Deportes Concepción, who have won 83 percent of their last six league matches, while Audax Italiano have struggled on the road, losing three of their last six away games in the Primera Division.
Historically, the head to head statistics present a different picture: Deportes Concepción have been defeated in seven of their last ten meetings with Audax Italiano.
Our algorithm prediction: Under 2.5 goals to be scored.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 21 matchesD. ConcepcionvsA. Italiano
1.14Goals / Match1.14
1.14Conceded / Match1.48
8Clean Sheets7
3.76Shots on Target / Match3.38
46.6%Possession %50.2%
78.1%Pass Accuracy %78.4%
radarTeam Profile
D. Concepcion
A. Italiano
sports_soccer
31Attack30
shield
69Defense54
swap_horiz
44Possession48
gps_fixed
46Efficiency51
auto_fix_high
33Creativity40
gavel
41Discipline35
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
24Goals Scored24
24Goals Conceded31
8Clean Sheets7
33Big Chances40
20Big Chances Missed25
8Penalty Goals4
gps_fixedShooting
288Total Shots251
79Shots on Target71
swap_horizPassing & Possession
46.6%Avg Possession50.2%
7,621Total Passes8,258
78.1%Pass Accuracy78.4%
shieldDefending
403Tackles317
193Interceptions206
66Saves60
52.3%Duels Won50.5%
gavelDiscipline
216Fouls197
43Yellow Cards51
4Red Cards5
25Offsides39
analyticsOther
90Corners83
163Successful Dribbles164
5Errors Leading to Goal6
6.80Avg Rating6.72
League Standings Context
For D. Concepcion
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Limache | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 30 |
| 8 | Deportes Concepción | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 30 |
| 9 | Coquimbo Unido | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 29 |
For A. Italiano
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Huachipato | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 24 |
| 13 | Audax Italiano | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 22 |
| 14 | Univ de Concepcion | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 22 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
33.1/ 93.0
Dangerous Attacks
34.8/ 96.6
28.0%
Shots on Target
28.0%
12.8
Total Shots
11.4
47.0%
Possession
50.0%
Team Performance (Avg)
1.1
Goals Scored / Match
1.1
1.1
Goals Conceded / Match
1.5
Head-to-Head Summary
1
D. Concepcion Wins
17%
0
Draws
0%
5
A. Italiano Wins
83%
Total H2H Matches: 6
Recent Form Stats
| Market | D. Concepcion | A. Italiano |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71%15/21 | 67%14/21 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 33%7/21 | 57%12/21 |
| Both Teams to Score | 33%7/21 | 48%10/21 |
* Based on last 21 matches
Past Matches
Last 6: D. Concepcion
Cl1
Deportes Concepción
1 - 1
Coquimbo Unido
Cl1
Deportes Concepción
1 - 0
Univ de Concepcion
Cl1
Deportes Concepción
3 - 0
Universidad Católica
Cl1
Deportes Concepción
2 - 0
O Higgins
Cl1
Deportes Concepción
3 - 2
Limache
Cl1
Deportes Concepción
2 - 0
Huachipato
Home Games: D. Concepcion
Cl1
Deportes Concepción
1 - 1
Coquimbo Unido
Cl1
Deportes Concepción
1 - 0
Univ de Concepcion
Cl1
Deportes Concepción
3 - 0
Universidad Católica
Cl1
Deportes Concepción
2 - 0
O Higgins
Cl1
Deportes Concepción
3 - 2
Limache
Cl1
Deportes Concepción
2 - 0
Huachipato
Last 6: A. Italiano
Cl1
Colo Colo
5 - 1
Audax Italiano
Cl1
Everton de Vina
1 - 1
Audax Italiano
Cl1
Univ de Concepcion
0 - 1
Audax Italiano
Cl1
Palestino
0 - 0
Audax Italiano
Cl1
Coquimbo Unido
3 - 0
Audax Italiano
Cl1
Huachipato
3 - 2
Audax Italiano
Away Games: A. Italiano
Cl1
Colo Colo
5 - 1
Audax Italiano
Cl1
Everton de Vina
1 - 1
Audax Italiano
Cl1
Univ de Concepcion
0 - 1
Audax Italiano
Cl1
Palestino
0 - 0
Audax Italiano
Cl1
Coquimbo Unido
3 - 0
Audax Italiano
Cl1
Huachipato
3 - 2
Audax Italiano
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