Denmark vs Portugal Prediction & Tips | UEFA Nations League - League A | FootballTips.app

Denmark

Denmark

Home
Full Time
2 - 4
HT: 1 - 2
Thursday 1 October
Portugal

Portugal

Away
DenmarkTimelinePortugal
1st Half
Cancelo J. (Ramos G.)
sports_soccer
13'
Damsgaard M. (Maehle J.)
sports_soccer
23'
Ramos G. (Fernandes B.)
sports_soccer
25'
2nd Half
Isaksen G.Out: Daghim A.
sync_alt
46'
Hojlund R. (Damsgaard M.)
sports_soccer
53'
Dalot D.Out: Cancelo J.
sync_alt
63'
TrincaoOut: Leao R.
sync_alt
63'
VitinhaAssist: Fernandes B.
sports_soccer
67'
Jesus J.
69'
Froholdt V.Out: Hjulmand M.
sync_alt
75'
Daramy M.
80'
Nartey N.Out: Maehle J.
sync_alt
81'
Joao FelixOut: Neto P.
sync_alt
82'
Neves J.Out: Ramos G.
sync_alt
82'
Neves R.
82'
Hogh K.Out: Damsgaard M.
sync_alt
85'
Joao Felix (Dalot D.)
sports_soccer
87'
Araujo T.Out: Fernandes B.
sync_alt
90+2'
No statistics available for this match
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Model Confidence
13.26
X3.67
22.06

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.80 PPG vs Away 2.30 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.55 PPG vs Away 2.20 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.75 GPG vs Away 1.33 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.75 conc vs Away 0.33 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

40%
25%
35%
Denmark
Draw
Portugal
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.701.90-10.5%
Under 2.5 Goals2.152.11+1.8%
Denmark Win3.402.49+36.3%
Draw3.703.98-7.1%
Portugal Win2.052.87-28.7%
BTTS - Yes1.571.83-14.1%
BTTS - No2.242.21+1.5%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Denmark put away Wales in a routine 2-0 home victory at Parken on Sunday, overcoming a 3-2 away defeat to Scandinavian rivals Norway in the Nations League opener. That result ended a three-match winless streak in international competition.

Portugal take on Denmark looking to extend their 100% record in League A, Group 4 of the Nations League. Jorge Jesus' side followed up their narrow home win against Wales with a 2-1 away victory against Norway in gameweek two.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Denmark

Starting 11
-Filip Jörgensen
GK6.91
-Joakim Mæhle
DL6.78
-Oliver Provstgaard
DC6.86
-Joachim Andersen
DC6.99
-Rasmus Kristensen
DR6.76
-Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
MC6.53
-Morten Hjulmand
MC6.92
-Mohamed Daramy
MC7.26
-Mikkel Damsgaard
FWL7.76
-Gustav Isaksen
FW7.12
-Rasmus Højlund
FWR6.56

Portugal

Starting 11
-Diogo Costa
GK7.00
-Nuno Mendes
DL7.22
-Renato Veiga
DC7.28
-Rúben Dias
DC6.90
-João Cancelo
DR6.80
-Vitinha
DMC6.52
-Rúben Neves
DMC6.74
-João Félix
AML8.00
-João Neves
AMC6.24
-Pedro Neto
AMR6.83
-Cristiano Ronaldo
FW6.37
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 2 matches
DenmarkvsPortugal
2.00Goals / Match1.50
1.50Conceded / Match0.50
1Clean Sheets1
5.50Shots on Target / Match4.50
56.5%Possession %50.0%
88.7%Pass Accuracy %87.0%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

4Goals Scored3
3Goals Conceded1
1Clean Sheets1
2Big Chances4
1Big Chances Missed3

gps_fixedShooting

33Total Shots35
11Shots on Target9

swap_horizPassing & Possession

56.5%Avg Possession50.0%
1,105Total Passes985
88.7%Pass Accuracy87.0%

shieldDefending

37Tackles29
16Interceptions24
7Saves5
56.0%Duels Won48.0%

gavelDiscipline

20Fouls24
4Yellow Cards6
7Offsides4

analyticsOther

9Corners12
13Successful Dribbles10
1Errors Leading to Goal0
7.51Avg Rating7.73

Statistical Comparison

DenmarkMetricPortugal
3
Goals
3
0
Assists
2
6.6
Average Ratings
6.7
26.5
Average Age
27.7
186.7
Average Height (cm)
181.5
1.5
Shots pg
1.6
54%
Aerial Duel Success
55%
2.2
Dribbles pg
1.7
1.9
Tackles pg
1.6

history Recent Form

DenmarkDenmark
1.8 GPG
W
L
D
D
W
PortugalPortugal
2.3 GPG
W
W
L
W
D

group Head to Head

PL23 Mar 2025
Portugal
5-2
Denmark
PL20 Mar 2025
Denmark
1-0
Portugal
PL8 Oct 2015
Portugal
1-0
Denmark
PL14 Oct 2014
Denmark
0-1
Portugal
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
25%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
25%
1 / 4 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
25%
1 / 4 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
1 / 4 matches
Both Teams to Score
25%
1 / 4 matches
Denmark CS
25%
Clean Sheets
Portugal CS
50%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

23 Mar 2025
Portugal
5 - 2
Denmark
20 Mar 2025
Denmark
1 - 0
Portugal
8 Oct 2015
Portugal
1 - 0
Denmark
14 Oct 2014
Denmark
0 - 1
Portugal

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Denmark
1.80
Form (Overall)
Portugal
2.30

Portugal is +28% better in terms of Points Per Game

Denmark
2 - 0
Wales
Norway
3 - 2
Denmark
Congo DR
0 - 0
Denmark
Czech Republic
2 - 2
Denmark
Denmark
4 - 0
FYR Macedonia
Norway
1 - 2
Portugal
Portugal
1 - 0
Wales
Portugal
0 - 1
Spain
Portugal
2 - 1
Croatia
Colombia
0 - 0
Portugal

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