Dep. Pasto vs Ind. Medellin Prediction & Tips | Copa Colombia - Second stage | FootballTips.app
Dep. Pasto
HomeFull Time
1 - 4
HT: 0 - 2
Thursday 10 September
Ind. Medellin
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
13.46
X2.99
22.04
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
Key Factors
Season: Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 2.00 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.00 PPG vs Away 2.40 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 0.00 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.00 conc vs Away 1.00 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
35%
26%
40%
Dep. Pasto
Draw
Ind. Medellin
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 2.09 | 2.25 | 2.27 | -7.3% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.65 | 1.80 | 1.79 | -8.2% |
| Deportivo Pasto Win | 3.45 | 2.90 | 3.81 | +19.1% |
| Draw | 3.05 | 3.86 | 3.37 | -21.0% |
| Independiente Medellín Win | 2.05 | 2.53 | 2.27 | -18.9% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.80 | 2.17 | 1.98 | -17.2% |
| BTTS - No | 1.84 | 1.85 | 2.02 | -0.6% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Dep. Pasto
Starting 11
16Mayer Andrés Gil Hurtado
LW6.50
29Santiago Córdoba Carvajal
CF6.48
8Enrique Carlos Serje Orozco
CDM6.44
10Diego Chávez
CM6.44
23Yeiler Andrés Goez
CM6.50
5Nicolás Gil Uribe
CB6.38
3Santiago Jiménez Mejía
RB6.50
27Hervin Goyes
LB6.38
33Juan Mateo Garavito Peláez
LB6.26
21Julián Alveiro Quiñónes García
CB6.50
Substitutes
99Jorge Leonardo Obregón Rojas
CF6.66
-Andrés Ibargüen
LW
18Joider Micolta Piedahita
LW6.37
32Matías Pisano
RW6.50
35Frank Martínez
15Harrinson Mancilla Mulato
CDM6.37
-Heiler Andres Moreno Valencia
3Joyce Esteban Ossa Rios
CB
12Geovanni Banguera Delgado
GK6.12
Ind. Medellin
Starting 11
-Jeison Medina Escobar
CF
11Yony González
RW12.87
20John Edwin Montaño Preciado
RW6.64
6Didier Andrés Moreno Asprilla
CDM13.06
10Daniel Felipe Cataño Torres
CAM9.62
-Agustín Martegani
CAM
3Joaquín Varela Romero
CB6.31
21Jhan Carlos Mena Hinestroza
6.26
26Esneyder Mena Perea
RB8.54
5Leonardo Javier Escorcia Barraza
6.26
25Eder Aleixo Chaux Ospina
GK6.50
Substitutes
-Carlos Alberto Lucumi González
CF
-Juan Córdoba
RW
14Baldomero Perlaza Perlaza
CM6.37
31Diego Fernando Moreno Quintero
CDM
-Keiner David Klinger Vasquez
-Kevin Andrés Mantilla Camargo
CB
-Alfonso Simarra Valdez
CB
30Hayen Santiago Palacios Sánchez
RB4.17
1Salvador Ichazo Fernández
GK12.24
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 29 / 25 matchesDep. PastovsInd. Medellin
1.24Goals / Match1.52
1.48Conceded / Match1.20
7Clean Sheets7
3.59Shots on Target / Match5.16
52.1%Possession %52.8%
82.5%Pass Accuracy %82.8%
radarTeam Profile
Dep. Pasto
Ind. Medellin
sports_soccer
27Attack40
shield
36Defense35
swap_horiz
48Possession49
gps_fixed
65Efficiency69
auto_fix_high
35Creativity40
gavel
12Discipline20
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
36Goals Scored38
43Goals Conceded30
7Clean Sheets7
21Big Chances21
4Big Chances Missed6
4Penalty Goals3
gps_fixedShooting
344Total Shots375
104Shots on Target129
swap_horizPassing & Possession
52.1%Avg Possession52.8%
10,951Total Passes9,539
82.5%Pass Accuracy82.8%
shieldDefending
355Tackles272
206Interceptions145
89Saves59
52.6%Duels Won53.6%
gavelDiscipline
339Fouls282
91Yellow Cards67
14Red Cards7
53Offsides26
analyticsOther
121Corners128
156Successful Dribbles134
3Errors Leading to Goal0
6.73Avg Rating6.80
history Recent Form
Dep. PastoD
W
D
W
W
Ind. MedellinW
W
L
W
W
group Head to Head
PL25 Jul 2026
3-2
PL18 Jan 2026
1-0
PL19 Aug 2025
1-2
PL4 Mar 2025
1-0
PL9 Sept 2024
1-0
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
45%
15 / 33 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
11 / 33 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
7 / 33 matches
Both Teams to Score
36%
12 / 33 matches
Dep. Pasto CS
36%
Clean Sheets
Ind. Medellin CS
45%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
25 Jul 2026
Independiente Medellín
3 - 2
Deportivo Pasto
18 Jan 2026
Deportivo Pasto
1 - 0
Independiente Medellín
19 Aug 2025
Deportivo Pasto
1 - 2
Independiente Medellín
4 Mar 2025
Independiente Medellín
1 - 0
Deportivo Pasto
9 Sept 2024
Deportivo Pasto
1 - 0
Independiente Medellín
1 Mar 2024
Independiente Medellín
1 - 0
Deportivo Pasto
26 Oct 2023
Deportivo Pasto
0 - 0
Independiente Medellín
18 Aug 2023
Deportivo Pasto
3 - 1
Independiente Medellín
10 Aug 2023
Independiente Medellín
3 - 1
Deportivo Pasto
14 May 2023
Independiente Medellín
1 - 0
Deportivo Pasto
30 Nov 2022
Deportivo Pasto
0 - 0
Independiente Medellín
6 Nov 2022
Independiente Medellín
0 - 0
Deportivo Pasto
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.50
Form (Overall)
2.00
Ind. Medellin is +33% better in terms of Points Per Game
Cúcuta Deportivo
2 - 2
Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pasto
1 - 2
Deportivo Pereira
La Equidad
1 - 1
Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pasto
0 - 1
Llaneros
Deportivo Pasto
0 - 2
Deportivo Cali
Deportivo Pereira
0 - 3
Independiente Medellín
Independiente Medellín
2 - 1
Llaneros
Independiente Medellín
0 - 1
Cúcuta Deportivo
Deportes Tolima
2 - 3
Independiente Medellín
Independiente Medellín
1 - 0
Deportivo Cali
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