Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza Prediction & Tips | Primera A - Apertura | FootballTips.app

Deportes Tolima

Deportes Tolima

Home
Full Time
2 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Thursday 19 March
Fortaleza

Fortaleza

Away
Deportes TolimaTimelineFortaleza
1st Half
Balanta J.
7'
Torres Patino J. P.Assist: Guzman S.
sports_soccer
33'
2nd Half
Mosquera J.Out: Arrieta C.
sync_alt
46'
Sandoval L.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
53'
Cuero S.Out: Navarro S.
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56'
Balanta Carabali K. A.Out: Velasquez J.
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56'
Ricardo E.Out: Rovira B.
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58'
Moreno Y.Out: Gonzalez J.
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58'
Mera J.
60'
Valencia J.Out: Parra Osorio A.
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70'
Martinez J.Out: Marulanda J.
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76'
Pulicastro F.Out: Rivas Torres R. D.
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76'
Pedrozo D.Out: Torres Patino J. P.
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81'
Vivas S.Out: Pico L.
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82'
Valencia J.
83'

Top stats

1.63Expected goals (xG)0.46
65%Ball possession35%
12Total shots10
5Shots on target1
1Big chances2
1Corner kicks3
86% (490/568)Passes81% (238/294)
2Yellow cards1

Shots

1.63Expected goals (xG)0.46
2.07xG on target (xGOT)0.53
12Total shots10
5Shots on target1
5Shots off target5
2Blocked shots4
4Shots inside the box4
8Shots outside the box5
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

1Big chances2
1Corner kicks3
8Touches in opposition box9
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides3
16Free kicks13

Passes

86% (490/568)Passes81% (238/294)
56% (35/62)Long passes52% (25/48)
68% (69/101)Passes in final third69% (56/81)
33% (1/3)Crosses44% (4/9)
0.33Expected assists (xA)0.40
17Throw ins17

Defense

13Fouls16
89% (17/19)Tackles100% (3/3)
42Duels won28
11Clearances9
10Interceptions13
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

0Goalkeeper saves3
0.53xGOT faced2.07
-0.47Goals prevented0.07
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.64
X3.26
24.96

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (6/10)
55
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.60 PPG vs Away 1.27 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.60 PPG vs Away 1.25 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.25 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.50 conc vs Away 2.00 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

58%
25%
17%
Deportes Tolima
Draw
Fortaleza

Match Preview

The Primera A match between Deportes Tolima and Fortaleza (COL) is set to take place at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro on March 20th, 2026.

Deportes Tolima has endured a tough spell with 3 losses in their recent 6 matches, while Fortaleza (COL) has similarly struggled, facing 3 defeats in their last 6 away games in various leagues.

Looking at their historical head-to-head encounters, Deportes Tolima has enjoyed success with 9 wins in 18 meetings against Fortaleza (COL).

Notably, Fortaleza (COL) has been involved in high-scoring affairs, witnessing over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 6 Primera A matches.

The upcoming game is expected to be action-packed, with goals likely to flow based on Fortaleza (COL)'s recent form.

Anticipate an entertaining encounter with goals in abundance.

Prediction: Over 2.5 goals.

League Standings Context

For Deportes Tolima

PosTeamPWDLPts
8Millonarios1252517
9Deportes Tolima1044216
10Deportivo Cali1143415

For Fortaleza

PosTeamPWDLPts
12Rionegro Águilas1043315
13Fortaleza (COL)1135314
14Ind Santa Fe1025311

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

31.6/ 87.4
Dangerous Attacks
33.5/ 102.2
39.0%
Shots on Target
34.0%
11.3
Total Shots
13.0
53.0%
Possession
55.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.1
Goals Scored / Match
1.2
0.7
Goals Conceded / Match
1.4

Head-to-Head Summary

2
Deportes Tolima Wins
33%
3
Draws
50%
1
Fortaleza Wins
17%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketDeportes TolimaFortaleza
Over 1.5 Goals
50%7/14
64%9/14
Over 2.5 Goals
21%3/14
36%5/14
Both Teams to Score
29%4/14
64%9/14
* Based on last 14 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Deportes Tolima

CLA
Deportes Tolima
2 - 0
O Higgins
Co1
Deportes Tolima
1 - 0
Atlético Nacional
CLA
Deportes Tolima
0 - 1
Deportivo Tachira
Co1
Deportes Tolima
2 - 1
Once Caldas
Co1
Deportes Tolima
0 - 1
Llaneros FC (COL)
Co1
Deportes Tolima
2 - 0
Alianza Petrolera

Home Games: Deportes Tolima

CLA
Deportes Tolima
2 - 0
O Higgins
Co1
Deportes Tolima
1 - 0
Atlético Nacional
CLA
Deportes Tolima
0 - 1
Deportivo Tachira
Co1
Deportes Tolima
2 - 1
Once Caldas
Co1
Deportes Tolima
0 - 1
Llaneros FC (COL)
Co1
Deportes Tolima
2 - 0
Alianza Petrolera

Last 6: Fortaleza

Co1
Junior Barranquilla
2 - 1
Fortaleza (COL)
Co1
Deportivo Cali
1 - 1
Fortaleza (COL)
Co1
Once Caldas
4 - 2
Fortaleza (COL)
Co1
Atlético Nacional
4 - 1
Fortaleza (COL)
Co1
Cúcuta Deportivo
1 - 1
Fortaleza (COL)
Co1
Deportivo Pereira
0 - 0
Fortaleza (COL)

Away Games: Fortaleza

Co1
Junior Barranquilla
2 - 1
Fortaleza (COL)
Co1
Deportivo Cali
1 - 1
Fortaleza (COL)
Co1
Once Caldas
4 - 2
Fortaleza (COL)
Co1
Atlético Nacional
4 - 1
Fortaleza (COL)
Co1
Cúcuta Deportivo
1 - 1
Fortaleza (COL)
Co1
Deportivo Pereira
0 - 0
Fortaleza (COL)

history Recent Form

Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima
1.6 GPG
D
W
L
W
D
FortalezaFortaleza
1.3 GPG
L
W
D
L
W

group Head to Head

PL8 Dec 2025
Deportes Tolima
1-0
Fortaleza CEIF
PL18 Nov 2025
Fortaleza CEIF
0-1
Deportes Tolima
PL1 Sept 2025
Deportes Tolima
1-1
Fortaleza CEIF
PL15 Mar 2025
Fortaleza CEIF
1-1
Deportes Tolima
PL20 Jul 2024
Fortaleza CEIF
1-1
Deportes Tolima
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
70%
7 / 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
20%
2 / 10 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 10 matches
Both Teams to Score
70%
7 / 10 matches
Deportes Tolima CS
30%
Clean Sheets
Fortaleza CS
10%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

8 Dec 2025
Deportes Tolima
1 - 0
Fortaleza CEIF
18 Nov 2025
Fortaleza CEIF
0 - 1
Deportes Tolima
1 Sept 2025
Deportes Tolima
1 - 1
Fortaleza CEIF
15 Mar 2025
Fortaleza CEIF
1 - 1
Deportes Tolima
20 Jul 2024
Fortaleza CEIF
1 - 1
Deportes Tolima
20 Jan 2024
Deportes Tolima
1 - 2
Fortaleza CEIF
14 Jul 2016
Deportes Tolima
0 - 0
Fortaleza CEIF
13 Feb 2016
Fortaleza CEIF
2 - 1
Deportes Tolima
6 Oct 2014
Fortaleza CEIF
1 - 1
Deportes Tolima
30 Mar 2014
Deportes Tolima
1 - 1
Fortaleza CEIF

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Deportes Tolima
1.60
Form (Overall)
Fortaleza
1.27

Deportes Tolima is +26% better in terms of Points Per Game

América de Cali
1 - 1
Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima
1 - 0
Atlético Nacional
Cúcuta Deportivo
3 - 2
Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima
2 - 1
Once Caldas
Atlético Bucaramanga
0 - 0
Deportes Tolima
Junior
2 - 1
Fortaleza CEIF
Fortaleza CEIF
2 - 1
Jaguares de Córdoba
Deportivo Cali
1 - 1
Fortaleza CEIF
Once Caldas
4 - 2
Fortaleza CEIF
Fortaleza CEIF
2 - 1
Boyacá Chicó

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