Derby vs Blackburn Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app

Derby

Derby

Home
Full Time
3 - 1
HT: 0 - 1
Saturday 28 February
Blackburn

Blackburn

Away
DerbyTimelineBlackburn
1st Half
Szmodics S.
36'
Forshaw A.
36'
Travis L.
45'
Carter H. (Ribeiro Y.)
sports_soccer
45+1'
2nd Half
Clark B.
46'
Brereton Diaz B. (Murkin D.)
sports_soccer
55'
Montgomery K.Out: Forshaw A.
sync_alt
56'
Cashin E.
58'
Ribeiro Y.
60'
Brewster R.Out: Morris C.
sync_alt
62'
Pickering H.Out: Ribeiro Y.
sync_alt
69'
Jorgensen M.Out: Gudjohnsen A.
sync_alt
69'
Clarke M. ()
sports_soccer
74'
Carter H.
79'
Gardner-Hickman T.Out: Carter H.
sync_alt
80'
De Neve D.Out: Baradji M.
sync_alt
80'
Ozoh D.Out: Szmodics S.
sync_alt
80'
Brewster R. (Murkin D.)
sports_soccer
82'
Forsyth C.Out: Murkin D.
sync_alt
87'
Fraulo O.Out: Clarke M.
sync_alt
87'

Top stats

1.44Expected goals (xG)0.65
49%Ball possession51%
14Total shots11
6Shots on target3
4Big chances4
2Corner kicks3
73% (255/347)Passes75% (264/354)
3Yellow cards4

Shots

1.44Expected goals (xG)0.65
2.29xG on target (xGOT)0.52
14Total shots11
6Shots on target3
6Shots off target4
2Blocked shots4
8Shots inside the box9
6Shots outside the box2
0Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals1

Attack

4Big chances4
2Corner kicks3
21Touches in opposition box19
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides1
14Free kicks10

Passes

73% (255/347)Passes75% (264/354)
42% (26/62)Long passes38% (20/52)
61% (69/114)Passes in final third64% (70/109)
38% (5/13)Crosses27% (6/22)
0.83Expected assists (xA)0.54
31Throw ins18

Defense

10Fouls14
50% (6/12)Tackles52% (14/27)
53Duels won57
31Clearances25
7Interceptions8
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves3
0.52xGOT faced2.29
-0.48Goals prevented-0.71
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.17
X3.22
23.66

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (6/10)
62
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #12 vs Away #21
Season: Home 1.41 PPG vs Away 1.12 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.90 PPG vs Away 1.65 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.24 GPG vs Away 0.94 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

45%
33%
22%
Derby
Draw
Blackburn

Match Preview

Derby County and Blackburn Rovers are poised to collide at Pride Park Stadium in the English Championship on February 28, 2026.

Derby County currently occupies the 11th spot, with Blackburn Rovers trailing in 20th place.

Derby County has accumulated 48 points, surpassing Blackburn Rovers who sit at 38 points.

In their recent outings, Derby County has faced challenges, enduring 3 losses in their last 6 matches, while Blackburn Rovers have struggled, losing 50% of their previous 6 fixtures.

Examining their head-to-head history in the Championship, Derby County has suffered defeat in 4 out of their last 6 encounters against Blackburn Rovers.

As the teams prepare to clash, Derby County is predicted to triumph with a scoreline of 2-1 according to our model.

Derby conceded twice in the final 15 minutes of their game against play-off contenders Hull on Tuesday night as the Rams suffered a frustrating away defeat at the MKM Stadium. After three defeats in their last four league outings, the Rams have dropped to 11th in the standings.

Blackburn also head into this fixture looking to avenge a defeat after Rovers were beaten 2-1 on home soil by Bristol City in gameweek 34. Michael O'Neill's men remain in the thick of the relegation battle but have won three of their last five matches.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Derby

Starting 11
-Josh Vickers
GK6.56
-Derry John Murkin
DL6.85
-Craig Forsyth
DC6.75
-Matt Clarke
DC7.01
-Joe Ward
DR6.92
-Lewis Travis
DMC6.35
-David Ozoh
DMC6.49
-Rhian Brewster
AML6.54
-Sam Szmodics
AMC6.66
-Ben Brereton
AMR6.54
-Patrick Agyemang
FW6.82

Blackburn

Starting 11
-Balázs Tóth
GK6.56
-Eiran Cashin
DC7.56
-Sean McLoughlin
DC7.10
-Hayden Carter
DC6.73
-Harry Pickering
DML6.22
-Kristi Montgomery
MC6.23
-Moussa Baradji
MC6.58
-Ryan Alebiosu
DMR6.72
-Yuki Ohashi
AMC6.75
-Ryoya Morishita
AMC6.66
-Mathias Jørgensen
FW6.52
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 34 matches
DerbyvsBlackburn

radarTeam Profile

Derby
Blackburn
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
35Attack27
shield
46Defense56
swap_horiz
26Possession35
gps_fixed
76Efficiency45
auto_fix_high
30Creativity24
gavel
39Discipline50

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

49Goals Scored32
45Goals Conceded43
8Clean Sheets9
70Big Chances67
40Big Chances Missed43
4Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

345Total Shots399
114Shots on Target115

swap_horizPassing & Possession

42.9%Avg Possession49.6%
11,230Total Passes13,198
74.5%Pass Accuracy74.0%

shieldDefending

498Tackles605
300Interceptions331
100Saves79
48.7%Duels Won49.5%

gavelDiscipline

414Fouls381
78Yellow Cards72
3Red Cards1
49Offsides59

analyticsOther

159Corners188
183Successful Dribbles208
3Errors Leading to Goal2
6.75Avg Rating6.74

Statistical Comparison

DerbyMetricBlackburn
46
Goals
32
30
Assists
23
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
27.8
Average Age
26
183.3
Average Height (cm)
183.1
0.7
Shots pg
0.7
52%
Aerial Duel Success
47%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.4
1.2
Tackles pg
1.2

League Standings Context

For Derby

PosTeamPWDLPts
11Birmingham City3413101149
12Derby County341391248
13Stoke City341381347

For Blackburn

PosTeamPWDLPts
19Portsmouth331091439
20Blackburn Rovers341081638
21West Bromwich34981735

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

40.4/ 87.7
Dangerous Attacks
48.9/ 102.4
33.0%
Shots on Target
29.0%
9.8
Total Shots
11.7
43.0%
Possession
50.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.4
Goals Scored / Match
0.9
1.4
Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

Head-to-Head Summary

2
Derby Wins
33%
0
Draws
0%
4
Blackburn Wins
67%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketDerbyBlackburn
Over 1.5 Goals
81%30/37
70%26/37
Over 2.5 Goals
51%19/37
41%15/37
Both Teams to Score
70%26/37
46%17/37
* Based on last 37 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Derby

CH
Derby County
2 - 0
Swansea City
CH
Derby County
1 - 2
Ipswich Town
CH
Derby County
1 - 1
West Bromwich
FA
Derby County
1 - 3
Leeds United
CH
Derby County
1 - 2
Wrexham FC
CH
Derby County
1 - 0
Middlesbrough

Home Games: Derby

CH
Derby County
2 - 0
Swansea City
CH
Derby County
1 - 2
Ipswich Town
CH
Derby County
1 - 1
West Bromwich
FA
Derby County
1 - 3
Leeds United
CH
Derby County
1 - 2
Wrexham FC
CH
Derby County
1 - 0
Middlesbrough

Last 6: Blackburn

CH
QPR
1 - 3
Blackburn Rovers
CH
Norwich City
2 - 0
Blackburn Rovers
CH
Swansea City
3 - 1
Blackburn Rovers
CH
Ipswich Town
3 - 0
Blackburn Rovers
FA
Hull City
0 - 0
Blackburn Rovers
CH
Sheffield Wednesday
0 - 0
Blackburn Rovers

Away Games: Blackburn

CH
QPR
1 - 3
Blackburn Rovers
CH
Norwich City
2 - 0
Blackburn Rovers
CH
Swansea City
3 - 1
Blackburn Rovers
CH
Ipswich Town
3 - 0
Blackburn Rovers
FA
Hull City
0 - 0
Blackburn Rovers
CH
Sheffield Wednesday
0 - 0
Blackburn Rovers

history Recent Form

DerbyDerby
1.4 GPG
L
L
W
L
W
BlackburnBlackburn
1.1 GPG
L
W
W
L
W

group Head to Head

PL8 Nov 2025
Blackburn Rovers
1-2
Derby County
PL8 Mar 2025
Derby County
2-1
Blackburn Rovers
PL9 Aug 2024
Blackburn Rovers
4-2
Derby County
PL15 Mar 2022
Blackburn Rovers
3-1
Derby County
PL30 Oct 2021
Derby County
1-2
Blackburn Rovers
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
79%
19 / 24 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
13 / 24 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
5 / 24 matches
Both Teams to Score
54%
13 / 24 matches
Derby CS
21%
Clean Sheets
Blackburn CS
33%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

8 Nov 2025
Blackburn Rovers
1 - 2
Derby County
8 Mar 2025
Derby County
2 - 1
Blackburn Rovers
9 Aug 2024
Blackburn Rovers
4 - 2
Derby County
15 Mar 2022
Blackburn Rovers
3 - 1
Derby County
30 Oct 2021
Derby County
1 - 2
Blackburn Rovers
16 Apr 2021
Blackburn Rovers
2 - 1
Derby County
26 Sept 2020
Derby County
0 - 4
Blackburn Rovers
8 Mar 2020
Derby County
3 - 0
Blackburn Rovers
7 Dec 2019
Blackburn Rovers
1 - 0
Derby County
9 Apr 2019
Blackburn Rovers
2 - 0
Derby County
18 Sept 2018
Derby County
0 - 0
Blackburn Rovers
28 Feb 2017
Blackburn Rovers
1 - 0
Derby County

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Derby
1.41
Form (Overall)
Blackburn
1.12

Derby is +26% better in terms of Points Per Game

Hull City
4 - 2
Derby County
Watford
2 - 0
Derby County
Derby County
2 - 0
Swansea City
Derby County
1 - 2
Ipswich Town
Bristol City
0 - 5
Derby County
Blackburn Rovers
1 - 2
Bristol City
Blackburn Rovers
1 - 0
Preston North End
Queens Park Rangers
1 - 3
Blackburn Rovers
Norwich City
2 - 0
Blackburn Rovers
Blackburn Rovers
1 - 0
Sheffield Wednesday

Subscribe for Betting Tips

Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.

No spam, unsubscribe at any time.