Derby vs Oxford Utd Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app
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AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.93
X3.45
24.27
Recommended Bet
Home Win
Stake: High (10/10)
97
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #8 vs Away #23
Season: Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 1.05 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 1.45 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.38 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
73%
15%
13%
Derby
Draw
Oxford Utd
Match Preview
Derby's play-off dreams were dealt a killer blow in gameweek 42 as Southampton came from behind to beat John Eustace's side at St. Mary's Stadium. The Rams have dropped five points back from Hull City in sixth place after losing two of their last three league games.
Myles Peart-Harris and Mark Harris found the target against a struggling Watford side last weekend as Oxford United kept their name in the conversation in the relegation battle. Now unbeaten in three, Matt Bloomfield's side remain in the bottom three but are only two points behind 21st-placed West Brom as things stand.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Derby
Starting 11
-Richard O'Donnell
GK6.72
-Max Johnston
DL6.44
-Matt Clarke
DC7.15
-Dion Sanderson
DC6.66
-Joe Ward
DR6.91
-Lewis Travis
DMC6.49
-David Ozoh
DMC6.48
-Ben Osborn
AML
-Sam Szmodics
AMC6.74
-Jaydon Banel
AMR6.20
-Carlton Morris
FW6.95
Oxford Utd
Starting 11
-Jamie Cumming
GK6.52
-Brodie Spencer
DL6.73
-Ciaron Brown
DC7.14
-Michal Helik
DC7.00
-Sam Long
DR6.69
-Yunus Konak
DMC6.40
-Cameron Brannagan
DMC6.70
-Myles Peart-Harris
AML6.59
-Jamie Donley
AMC6.73
-Stanley Mills
AMR6.55
-Will Lankshear
FW6.41
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 42 matchesDerbyvsOxford Utd
radarTeam Profile
Derby
Oxford Utd
sports_soccer
38Attack23
shield
49Defense52
swap_horiz
28Possession14
gps_fixed
72Efficiency46
auto_fix_high
32Creativity14
gavel
39Discipline59
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
61Goals Scored41
53Goals Conceded54
11Clean Sheets8
94Big Chances64
56Big Chances Missed41
5Penalty Goals2
gps_fixedShooting
449Total Shots494
145Shots on Target141
swap_horizPassing & Possession
43.7%Avg Possession39.8%
13,979Total Passes12,773
74.4%Pass Accuracy70.4%
shieldDefending
619Tackles727
364Interceptions428
123Saves123
48.5%Duels Won50.2%
gavelDiscipline
516Fouls451
98Yellow Cards69
3Red Cards1
61Offsides76
analyticsOther
186Corners166
234Successful Dribbles189
4Errors Leading to Goal7
6.77Avg Rating6.74
Statistical Comparison
DerbyMetricOxford Utd
58
Goals
39
38
Assists
24
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
27.6
Average Age
24.6
180.7
Average Height (cm)
184.4
0.7
Shots pg
0.7
51%
Aerial Duel Success
50%
0.3
Dribbles pg
0.3
1.2
Tackles pg
1.4
history Recent Form
DerbyL
W
L
W
W
Oxford UtdW
D
D
L
D
group Head to Head
PL18 Oct 2025
1-0
PL11 Feb 2025
0-0
PL22 Oct 2024
1-1
PL29 Dec 2023
2-3
PL15 Aug 2023
1-2
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
57%
4 / 7 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
3 / 7 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
2 / 7 matches
Both Teams to Score
57%
4 / 7 matches
Derby CS
29%
Clean Sheets
Oxford Utd CS
29%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
18 Oct 2025
Oxford United
1 - 0
Derby County
11 Feb 2025
Derby County
0 - 0
Oxford United
22 Oct 2024
Oxford United
1 - 1
Derby County
29 Dec 2023
Oxford United
2 - 3
Derby County
15 Aug 2023
Derby County
1 - 2
Oxford United
11 Mar 2023
Oxford United
2 - 3
Derby County
30 Jul 2022
Derby County
1 - 0
Oxford United
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.50
Form (Overall)
1.05
Derby is +43% better in terms of Points Per Game
Southampton
2 - 1
Derby County
Derby County
2 - 0
Stoke City
Coventry City
3 - 2
Derby County
Derby County
1 - 0
Birmingham City
Portsmouth
0 - 1
Derby County
Oxford United
2 - 0
Watford
Portsmouth
2 - 2
Oxford United
Oxford United
1 - 1
Hull City
Southampton
2 - 0
Oxford United
Oxford United
1 - 1
Charlton Athletic
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.93
X3.45
24.27
Recommended Bet
Home Win
Stake: High (10/10)
97
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #8 vs Away #23
Season: Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 1.05 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 1.45 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.38 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG
Match Preview
Derby's play-off dreams were dealt a killer blow in gameweek 42 as Southampton came from behind to beat John Eustace's side at St. Mary's Stadium. The Rams have dropped five points back from Hull City in sixth place after losing two of their last three league games.
Myles Peart-Harris and Mark Harris found the target against a struggling Watford side last weekend as Oxford United kept their name in the conversation in the relegation battle. Now unbeaten in three, Matt Bloomfield's side remain in the bottom three but are only two points behind 21st-placed West Brom as things stand.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 42 matchesDerbyvsOxford Utd
radarTeam Profile
Derby
Oxford Utd
sports_soccer
38Attack23
shield
49Defense52
swap_horiz
28Possession14
gps_fixed
72Efficiency46
auto_fix_high
32Creativity14
gavel
39Discipline59
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
61Goals Scored41
53Goals Conceded54
11Clean Sheets8
94Big Chances64
56Big Chances Missed41
5Penalty Goals2
gps_fixedShooting
449Total Shots494
145Shots on Target141
swap_horizPassing & Possession
43.7%Avg Possession39.8%
13,979Total Passes12,773
74.4%Pass Accuracy70.4%
shieldDefending
619Tackles727
364Interceptions428
123Saves123
48.5%Duels Won50.2%
gavelDiscipline
516Fouls451
98Yellow Cards69
3Red Cards1
61Offsides76
analyticsOther
186Corners166
234Successful Dribbles189
4Errors Leading to Goal7
6.77Avg Rating6.74
history Recent Form
DerbyL
W
L
W
W
Oxford UtdW
D
D
L
D
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
57%
4 / 7 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
3 / 7 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
2 / 7 matches
Both Teams to Score
57%
4 / 7 matches
Derby CS
29%
Clean Sheets
Oxford Utd CS
29%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
18 Oct 2025
Oxford United
1 - 0
Derby County
11 Feb 2025
Derby County
0 - 0
Oxford United
22 Oct 2024
Oxford United
1 - 1
Derby County
29 Dec 2023
Oxford United
2 - 3
Derby County
15 Aug 2023
Derby County
1 - 2
Oxford United
11 Mar 2023
Oxford United
2 - 3
Derby County
30 Jul 2022
Derby County
1 - 0
Oxford United
donut_small Win Probabilities
73%
15%
13%
Derby
Draw
Oxford Utd
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Derby
Starting 11
-Richard O'Donnell
GK6.72
-Max Johnston
DL6.44
-Matt Clarke
DC7.15
-Dion Sanderson
DC6.66
-Joe Ward
DR6.91
-Lewis Travis
DMC6.49
-David Ozoh
DMC6.48
-Ben Osborn
AML
-Sam Szmodics
AMC6.74
-Jaydon Banel
AMR6.20
-Carlton Morris
FW6.95
Oxford Utd
Starting 11
-Jamie Cumming
GK6.52
-Brodie Spencer
DL6.73
-Ciaron Brown
DC7.14
-Michal Helik
DC7.00
-Sam Long
DR6.69
-Yunus Konak
DMC6.40
-Cameron Brannagan
DMC6.70
-Myles Peart-Harris
AML6.59
-Jamie Donley
AMC6.73
-Stanley Mills
AMR6.55
-Will Lankshear
FW6.41
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
Statistical Comparison
DerbyMetricOxford Utd
58
Goals
39
38
Assists
24
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
27.6
Average Age
24.6
180.7
Average Height (cm)
184.4
0.7
Shots pg
0.7
51%
Aerial Duel Success
50%
0.3
Dribbles pg
0.3
1.2
Tackles pg
1.4
group Head to Head
PL18 Oct 2025
1-0
PL11 Feb 2025
0-0
PL22 Oct 2024
1-1
PL29 Dec 2023
2-3
PL15 Aug 2023
1-2
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
Both Team Score
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.50
Form (Overall)
1.05
Derby is +43% better in terms of Points Per Game
Southampton
2 - 1
Derby County
Derby County
2 - 0
Stoke City
Coventry City
3 - 2
Derby County
Derby County
1 - 0
Birmingham City
Portsmouth
0 - 1
Derby County
Oxford United
2 - 0
Watford
Portsmouth
2 - 2
Oxford United
Oxford United
1 - 1
Hull City
Southampton
2 - 0
Oxford United
Oxford United
1 - 1
Charlton Athletic
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