Derby vs Sheffield Utd Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app

Derby

Derby

Home
Full Time
1 - 2
HT: 1 - 0
Saturday 2 May
Sheffield Utd

Sheffield Utd

Away
DerbyTimelineSheffield Utd
1st Half
Szmodics S.
sports_soccer
5'
Langas S.
18'
Clarke M.
26'
Burrows H.
45+2'
2nd Half
Tanganga J.
54'
Clark B.Out: Banel J.
sync_alt
60'
Cannon T. (Bamford P.)
sports_soccer
62'
Chong T.Out: Cannon T.
sync_alt
64'
Rothwell J.Out: Arblaster O.
sync_alt
64'
Hoever K.Out: Seriki F.
sync_alt
64'
Johnston M.Out: Brereton Diaz B.
sync_alt
68'
Peck S.Assist: Hamer G.
sports_soccer
69'
Ings D.Out: Hamer G.
sync_alt
72'
Fraulo O.Out: Forsyth C.
sync_alt
74'
Salvesen L.Out: Ozoh D.
sync_alt
75'
Riedewald J.Out: O'Hare C.
sync_alt
85'
Clark B.
89'
Chong T.
90+7'
Szmodics S.
90+7'

Top stats

2.11Expected goals (xG)1.85
51%Ball possession49%
17Total shots15
6Shots on target8
3Big chances4
6Corner kicks4
73% (271/372)Passes82% (307/376)
4Yellow cards3

Shots

2.11Expected goals (xG)1.85
1.35xG on target (xGOT)2.24
17Total shots15
6Shots on target8
5Shots off target5
6Blocked shots2
13Shots inside the box11
4Shots outside the box4
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

3Big chances4
6Corner kicks4
39Touches in opposition box29
1Accurate through passes0
2Offsides1
12Free kicks13

Passes

73% (271/372)Passes82% (307/376)
34% (26/77)Long passes35% (18/51)
62% (92/148)Passes in final third77% (125/162)
25% (5/20)Crosses27% (3/11)
1.26Expected assists (xA)1.50
22Throw ins14

Defense

13Fouls12
55% (6/11)Tackles73% (8/11)
49Duels won57
22Clearances49
11Interceptions8
0Errors leading to shot0
1Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

6Goalkeeper saves4
2.24xGOT faced1.35
0.24Goals prevented0.35
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.86
X3.91
24.00

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Low (5/10)
45
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #8 vs Away #15
Season: Home 1.53 PPG vs Away 1.27 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.80 PPG vs Away 1.05 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.36 GPG vs Away 1.18 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

47%
27%
25%
Derby
Draw
Sheffield Utd

Match Preview

Derby scored twice in the final 15 minutes of their clash with QPR last time out as the Rams kept their play-off dreams alive with a 3-2 comeback win in London. John Eustace's side have won six straight at Pride Park and are one point behind sixth-placed Wrexham heading into the final weekend.

Second-half goals from Gustavo Hamer and Patrick Bamford did little to affect the outcome in gameweek 45 as Sheffield United were beaten 3-2 at home by Preston. Chris Wilder's side have suffered back-to-back league defeats heading into the final day of the campaign.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Derby

Starting 11
-Jacob Widell Zetterström
GK6.67
-Craig Forsyth
DL6.54
-Matt Clarke
DC7.15
-Dion Sanderson
DC6.65
-Joe Ward
DR6.93
-Lewis Travis
DMC6.52
-David Ozoh
DMC6.52
-Jaydon Banel
AML6.43
-Sam Szmodics
AMC6.66
-Ben Brereton
AMR6.58
-Carlton Morris
FW6.95

Sheffield Utd

Starting 11
-Adam Davies
GK6.30
-Harrison Burrows
DL6.65
-Mark McGuinness
DC6.82
-Japhet Tanganga
DC7.07
-Femi Seriki
DR6.80
-Sydie Peck
DMC6.80
-Joe Rothwell
DMC6.10
-Gustavo Hamer
AML6.82
-Callum O'Hare
AMC6.71
-Tahith Chong
AMR6.23
-Patrick Bamford
FW6.79
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 45 matches
DerbyvsSheffield Utd

radarTeam Profile

Derby
Sheffield Utd
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
39Attack46
shield
50Defense45
swap_horiz
29Possession45
gps_fixed
72Efficiency59
auto_fix_high
33Creativity39
gavel
38Discipline50

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

66Goals Scored64
57Goals Conceded65
12Clean Sheets10
99Big Chances108
60Big Chances Missed67
5Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

487Total Shots600
158Shots on Target189

swap_horizPassing & Possession

44.3%Avg Possession52.4%
15,112Total Passes18,724
74.7%Pass Accuracy78.0%

shieldDefending

666Tackles694
389Interceptions407
139Saves123
48.6%Duels Won51.9%

gavelDiscipline

555Fouls464
108Yellow Cards79
3Red Cards6
67Offsides91

analyticsOther

203Corners301
252Successful Dribbles279
4Errors Leading to Goal8
6.78Avg Rating6.80

Statistical Comparison

DerbyMetricSheffield Utd
63
Goals
62
43
Assists
43
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
27.7
Average Age
27.2
182.7
Average Height (cm)
181.6
0.7
Shots pg
0.8
51%
Aerial Duel Success
54%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.4
1.1
Tackles pg
1.1

history Recent Form

DerbyDerby
1.5 GPG
W
L
W
L
W
Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd
1.3 GPG
L
L
W
W
L

group Head to Head

PL1 Nov 2025
Sheffield United
1-3
Derby County
PL1 Feb 2025
Derby County
0-1
Sheffield United
PL21 Sept 2024
Sheffield United
1-0
Derby County
PL29 Jul 2023
Derby County
1-3
Sheffield United
PL15 Jan 2022
Derby County
2-0
Sheffield United
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
65%
11 / 17 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
8 / 17 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
5 / 17 matches
Both Teams to Score
59%
10 / 17 matches
Derby CS
12%
Clean Sheets
Sheffield Utd CS
29%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

1 Nov 2025
Sheffield United
1 - 3
Derby County
1 Feb 2025
Derby County
0 - 1
Sheffield United
21 Sept 2024
Sheffield United
1 - 0
Derby County
29 Jul 2023
Derby County
1 - 3
Sheffield United
15 Jan 2022
Derby County
2 - 0
Sheffield United
25 Sept 2021
Sheffield United
1 - 0
Derby County
24 Aug 2021
Sheffield United
2 - 1
Derby County
26 Dec 2018
Sheffield United
3 - 1
Derby County
20 Oct 2018
Derby County
2 - 1
Sheffield United
1 Jan 2018
Derby County
1 - 1
Sheffield United
26 Aug 2017
Sheffield United
3 - 1
Derby County
26 Feb 2011
Sheffield United
0 - 1
Derby County

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Derby
1.53
Form (Overall)
Sheffield Utd
1.27

Derby is +20% better in terms of Points Per Game

Queens Park Rangers
2 - 3
Derby County
Norwich City
2 - 1
Derby County
Derby County
1 - 0
Oxford United
Southampton
2 - 1
Derby County
Derby County
2 - 0
Stoke City
Sheffield United
2 - 3
Preston North End
Sheffield United
1 - 3
Blackburn Rovers
Watford
0 - 2
Sheffield United
Sheffield United
2 - 1
Hull City
Bristol City
1 - 0
Sheffield United

Subscribe for Betting Tips

Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.

No spam, unsubscribe at any time.