Derby vs Sheffield Wed Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app

Derby

Derby

Home
Full Time
2 - 1
HT: 2 - 1
Saturday 7 March
Sheffield Wed

Sheffield Wed

Away
DerbyTimelineSheffield Wed
1st Half
Brereton Diaz B. (Brewster R.)
sports_soccer
11'
Yates J. (Lowe J.)
sports_soccer
17'
Brereton Diaz B.
33'
Palmer L.
37'
Clarke M.Assist: Ward J.
sports_soccer
45'
2nd Half
Ozoh D.Out: Brewster R.
sync_alt
62'
Ndala J.Out: McNeill C.
sync_alt
74'
Banel J.Out: Szmodics S.
sync_alt
74'
Morris C.Out: Agyemang P.
sync_alt
75'
Thornton J.Out: Yates J.
sync_alt
82'
Fraulo O.Out: Clarke M.
sync_alt
89'
Ugbo I.Out: Fusire S.
sync_alt
89'

Top stats

2.47Expected goals (xG)0.73
55%Ball possession45%
13Total shots7
4Shots on target3
4Big chances1
6Corner kicks2
80% (326/408)Passes77% (247/322)
1Yellow cards1

Shots

2.47Expected goals (xG)0.73
1.48xG on target (xGOT)0.74
13Total shots7
4Shots on target3
6Shots off target3
3Blocked shots1
7Shots inside the box4
6Shots outside the box3
0Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals1

Attack

4Big chances1
6Corner kicks2
23Touches in opposition box12
1Accurate through passes0
1Offsides1
11Free kicks7

Passes

80% (326/408)Passes77% (247/322)
46% (26/56)Long passes33% (14/42)
72% (93/129)Passes in final third62% (62/100)
28% (5/18)Crosses17% (3/18)
1.16Expected assists (xA)0.61
18Throw ins23

Defense

7Fouls11
56% (9/16)Tackles56% (10/18)
47Duels won45
27Clearances16
12Interceptions11
1Errors leading to shot0
1Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves2
0.74xGOT faced1.48
-0.26Goals prevented-0.52
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.28
X5.58
211.40

Recommended Bet

check_circle
Home Win
Stake: Medium (8/10)
75
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #8 vs Away #24
Season: Home 1.46 PPG vs Away 0.31 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.35 PPG vs Away 0.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.33 GPG vs Away 0.71 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

94%
3%
3%
Derby
Draw
Sheffield Wed

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Derby

Starting 11
-Josh Vickers
GK6.53
-Derry John Murkin
DL7.20
-Matt Clarke
DC7.05
-Dion Sanderson
DC6.71
-Joe Ward
DR6.91
-Lewis Travis
DMC6.36
-Bobby Clark
DMC6.51
-Rhian Brewster
AML6.57
-Sam Szmodics
AMC6.66
-Ben Brereton
AMR6.57
-Patrick Agyemang
FW6.82

Sheffield Wed

Starting 11
-Pierce Charles
GK6.72
-Liam Palmer
DC6.30
-Gabriel Otegbayo
DC6.31
-Dominic Iorfa
DC6.66
-Tayo Adaramola
DML6.56
-Svante Ingelsson
MC6.31
-Jarvis Thornton
MC6.12
-Charlie McNeill
MC6.29
-Sean Fusire
DMR6.36
-Jamal Lowe
FW6.37
-Jerry Yates
FW6.20
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Derby County will face Sheffield Wednesday at Pride Park Stadium in the Championship on March 7, 2026 GMT.

Derby County has shown an even performance with a 50% win rate in their last six matches, while Sheffield Wednesday has struggled on the road, experiencing 12 losses in 18 away matches this season.

When looking at the goals statistics, Derby County has scored 2+ goals in 67% of their recent Championship fixtures, while Sheffield Wednesday has witnessed over 2.5 goals in 4 out of their last 6 league matches.

With both teams exhibiting contrasting forms in terms of scoring and conceding goals, the match at Pride Park Stadium could potentially see a lively and high-scoring affair.

Algorithm Prediction: Over 2.5 goals to be scored in the game.

Derby got their play-off push back on track in gameweek 35 as three second-half goals sealed an impressive comeback win at home against Blackburn. The Rams had lost back-to-back league games before that defeat, but have now moved into eighth place heading into Saturday's contest.

Sheffield Wednesday were no match for play-off contenders Southampton last weekend as the Owls were beaten 3-1 on home soil by Tonda Eckert's men. Saturday's visitors have already been relegated and have suffered 12 consecutive Championship defeats ahead of their trip to Pride Park.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 35 matches
DerbyvsSheffield Wed
1.49Goals / Match0.60
1.31Conceded / Match2.03
8Clean Sheets3
3.43Shots on Target / Match2.51
43.1%Possession %45.6%
74.5%Pass Accuracy %74.7%

radarTeam Profile

Derby
Sheffield Wed
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
37Attack4
shield
46Defense35
swap_horiz
26Possession34
gps_fixed
78Efficiency39
auto_fix_high
31Creativity11
gavel
39Discipline55

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

52Goals Scored21
46Goals Conceded71
8Clean Sheets3
73Big Chances38
41Big Chances Missed27
4Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

359Total Shots301
120Shots on Target88

swap_horizPassing & Possession

43.1%Avg Possession45.6%
11,578Total Passes12,790
74.5%Pass Accuracy74.7%

shieldDefending

510Tackles568
306Interceptions327
102Saves139
48.6%Duels Won47.1%

gavelDiscipline

424Fouls394
81Yellow Cards52
3Red Cards3
50Offsides46

analyticsOther

161Corners163
188Successful Dribbles235
3Errors Leading to Goal9
6.76Avg Rating6.61

Statistical Comparison

DerbyMetricSheffield Wed
49
Goals
21
32
Assists
11
6.5
Average Ratings
6.3
26.9
Average Age
25.1
182.1
Average Height (cm)
184.4
0.7
Shots pg
0.6
52%
Aerial Duel Success
43%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.4
1.2
Tackles pg
1.4

League Standings Context

For Derby

PosTeamPWDLPts
7Southampton3514111053
8Derby County351491251
9Watford3513121051

For Sheffield Wed

PosTeamPWDLPts
23Leicester City3510101534
24Sheffield Wednesday351826-7

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

40.6/ 87.7
Dangerous Attacks
35.0/ 85.8
33.0%
Shots on Target
30.0%
9.9
Total Shots
8.3
43.0%
Possession
45.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.4
Goals Scored / Match
0.6
1.4
Goals Conceded / Match
2.0

Head-to-Head Summary

1
Derby Wins
17%
2
Draws
33%
3
Sheffield Wed Wins
50%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketDerbySheffield Wed
Over 1.5 Goals
82%31/38
82%31/38
Over 2.5 Goals
53%20/38
55%21/38
Both Teams to Score
71%27/38
45%17/38
* Based on last 38 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Derby

CH
Derby County
3 - 1
Blackburn Rovers
CH
Derby County
2 - 0
Swansea City
CH
Derby County
1 - 2
Ipswich Town
CH
Derby County
1 - 1
West Bromwich
FA
Derby County
1 - 3
Leeds United
CH
Derby County
1 - 2
Wrexham FC

Home Games: Derby

CH
Derby County
3 - 1
Blackburn Rovers
CH
Derby County
2 - 0
Swansea City
CH
Derby County
1 - 2
Ipswich Town
CH
Derby County
1 - 1
West Bromwich
FA
Derby County
1 - 3
Leeds United
CH
Derby County
1 - 2
Wrexham FC

Last 6: Sheffield Wed

CH
Norwich City
2 - 0
Sheffield Wednesday
CH
Sheffield United
2 - 1
Sheffield Wednesday
CH
Swansea City
4 - 0
Sheffield Wednesday
CH
Blackburn Rovers
1 - 0
Sheffield Wednesday
CH
Bristol City
2 - 0
Sheffield Wednesday
CH
QPR
3 - 0
Sheffield Wednesday

Away Games: Sheffield Wed

CH
Norwich City
2 - 0
Sheffield Wednesday
CH
Sheffield United
2 - 1
Sheffield Wednesday
CH
Swansea City
4 - 0
Sheffield Wednesday
CH
Blackburn Rovers
1 - 0
Sheffield Wednesday
CH
Bristol City
2 - 0
Sheffield Wednesday
CH
QPR
3 - 0
Sheffield Wednesday

history Recent Form

DerbyDerby
1.5 GPG
W
L
L
W
L
Sheffield WedSheffield Wed
0.3 GPG
L
L
L
L
L

group Head to Head

PL15 Dec 2025
Sheffield Wednesday
0-3
Derby County
PL1 Jan 2025
Sheffield Wednesday
4-2
Derby County
PL1 Dec 2024
Derby County
1-2
Sheffield Wednesday
PL7 May 2023
Sheffield Wednesday
1-0
Derby County
PL3 Dec 2022
Derby County
0-0
Sheffield Wednesday
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
70%
19 / 27 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
13 / 27 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
6 / 27 matches
Both Teams to Score
44%
12 / 27 matches
Derby CS
44%
Clean Sheets
Sheffield Wed CS
26%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

15 Dec 2025
Sheffield Wednesday
0 - 3
Derby County
1 Jan 2025
Sheffield Wednesday
4 - 2
Derby County
1 Dec 2024
Derby County
1 - 2
Sheffield Wednesday
7 May 2023
Sheffield Wednesday
1 - 0
Derby County
3 Dec 2022
Derby County
0 - 0
Sheffield Wednesday
8 May 2021
Derby County
3 - 3
Sheffield Wednesday
1 Jan 2021
Sheffield Wednesday
1 - 0
Derby County
29 Feb 2020
Sheffield Wednesday
1 - 3
Derby County
11 Dec 2019
Derby County
1 - 1
Sheffield Wednesday
9 Mar 2019
Derby County
1 - 1
Sheffield Wednesday
24 Nov 2018
Sheffield Wednesday
1 - 2
Derby County
13 Feb 2018
Sheffield Wednesday
2 - 0
Derby County

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Derby
1.46
Form (Overall)
Sheffield Wed
0.31

Derby is +371% better in terms of Points Per Game

Derby County
3 - 1
Blackburn Rovers
Hull City
4 - 2
Derby County
Watford
2 - 0
Derby County
Derby County
2 - 0
Swansea City
Derby County
1 - 2
Ipswich Town
Sheffield Wednesday
1 - 3
Southampton
Norwich City
2 - 0
Sheffield Wednesday
Sheffield United
2 - 1
Sheffield Wednesday
Sheffield Wednesday
1 - 2
Millwall
Swansea City
4 - 0
Sheffield Wednesday

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