Derby vs Stoke Prediction & Tips | Championship

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Derby

Home

Full Time

2 - 0

HT: 0 - 0

Monday 6 April

Stoke

Away

DerbyTimelineStoke

1st Half

Agina S.

Bae J.Out: Rigo T.

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35'

Banel J.Out: Agyemang P.

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41'

2nd Half

Gallagher S.Out: Cisse L.

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46'

Banel J.Assist: Morris C.

sports_soccer

54'

Baker L.Out: N'Zonzi S.

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63'

Manhoef M.Out: Agina S.

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63'

Travis L.

69'

Smit M.Out: Bae J.

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78'

Fraulo O.Out: Ozoh D.

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80'

Banel J.

85'

Morris C. (Clark B.)

sports_soccer

89'

Allen C.Out: Clark B.

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90+2'

Salvesen L.Out: Morris C.

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90+2'

Johnston M.Out: Brereton Diaz B.

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90+3'

Top stats

2.57Expected goals (xG)0.30

52%Ball possession48%

20Total shots7

3Shots on target0

7Big chances0

5Corner kicks3

79% (296/375)Passes75% (265/352)

2Yellow cards1

Shots

2.57Expected goals (xG)0.30

0.80xG on target (xGOT)0.00

20Total shots7

3Shots on target0

8Shots off target6

9Blocked shots1

16Shots inside the box5

4Shots outside the box2

2Hit the woodwork0

Attack

7Big chances0

5Corner kicks3

47Touches in opposition box17

1Accurate through passes0

0Offsides1

10Free kicks18

Passes

79% (296/375)Passes75% (265/352)

39% (19/49)Long passes30% (16/53)

69% (103/149)Passes in final third51% (48/94)

28% (5/18)Crosses33% (4/12)

2.06Expected assists (xA)0.51

18Throw ins21

Defense

18Fouls10

55% (6/11)Tackles70% (16/23)

47Duels won60

35Clearances40

12Interceptions6

0Errors leading to shot0

0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

0Goalkeeper saves1

0.00xGOT faced0.80

0.00Goals prevented-1.20

auto_awesome

AI Prediction

verified Low Confidence

11.87

X3.62

24.31

Recommended Bet

Draw

Stake: Low (5/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #8 vs Away #12

Season: Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 1.35 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.65 PPG vs Away 1.65 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 1.35 GPG vs Away 0.85 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

38%

24%

Derby

Draw

Stoke

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 40 matches

DerbyvsStoke

radarTeam Profile

Derby

Stoke

sports_soccer

37Attack31

shield

48Defense49

swap_horiz

27Possession45

gps_fixed

74Efficiency64

auto_fix_high

32Creativity27

gavel

39Discipline47

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

58Goals Scored48

51Goals Conceded43

10Clean Sheets13

86Big Chances72

51Big Chances Missed45

5Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

420Total Shots453

138Shots on Target162

swap_horizPassing & Possession

43.6%Avg Possession52.1%

13,314Total Passes16,052

74.3%Pass Accuracy79.0%

shieldDefending

588Tackles526

346Interceptions296

120Saves109

48.8%Duels Won49.4%

gavelDiscipline

484Fouls419

94Yellow Cards84

3Red Cards4

60Offsides112

analyticsOther

179Corners228

221Successful Dribbles232

4Errors Leading to Goal4

6.77Avg Rating6.79

history Recent Form

Derby

1.5 GPG

Stoke

1.4 GPG

group Head to Head

PL9 Aug 2025

3-1

PL3 May 2025

0-0

PL2 Nov 2024

2-1

PL22 Jul 2023

3-0

PL30 Dec 2021

1-2

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

46%

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

69%

9 / 13 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

62%

8 / 13 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

23%

3 / 13 matches

Both Teams to Score

46%

6 / 13 matches

Derby CS

38%

Clean Sheets

Stoke CS

38%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

9 Aug 2025

Stoke City

3 - 1

Derby County

3 May 2025

Derby County

0 - 0

Stoke City

2 Nov 2024

Stoke City

2 - 1

Derby County

22 Jul 2023

Derby County

3 - 0

Stoke City

30 Dec 2021

Stoke City

1 - 2

Derby County

18 Sept 2021

Derby County

2 - 1

Stoke City

20 Mar 2021

Stoke City

1 - 0

Derby County

12 Dec 2020

Derby County

0 - 0

Stoke City

31 Jan 2020

Derby County

4 - 0

Stoke City

17 Aug 2019

Stoke City

2 - 2

Derby County

13 Mar 2019

Derby County

0 - 0

Stoke City

28 Nov 2018

Stoke City

2 - 1

Derby County

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

1.50

Form (Overall)

1.35

Derby is +11% better in terms of Points Per Game

Coventry City

3 - 2

Derby County

1 - 0

Birmingham City

Portsmouth

0 - 1

Derby County

Millwall

1 - 0

Derby County

2 - 1

Sheffield Wednesday

Stoke City

2 - 0

Sheffield Wednesday

Preston North End

3 - 1

Stoke City

3 - 1

Watford

Stoke City

3 - 3

Ipswich Town

Swansea City

2 - 0

Stoke City

auto_awesome

AI Prediction

verified Low Confidence

11.87

X3.62

24.31