Derby vs West Brom Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app
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AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.93
X3.35
22.34
Recommended Bet
Away Win
Odds: 2.37Stake: Medium (6/10)
64
Opp. Value
Also recommended
add_circleOver 2.5 Goals
@1.90Opp 68%
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #21 vs Away #4
Season: Home 0.70 PPG vs Away 2.20 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.90 PPG vs Away 1.90 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.00 GPG vs Away 2.50 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
26%
22%
52%
Derby
Draw
West Brom
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.90 | 1.80 | — | +5.6% |
| Derby County Win | 2.90 | 3.79 | 3.08 | -23.5% |
| Draw | 3.40 | 4.53 | 3.61 | -25.0% |
| West Bromwich Albion Win | 2.37 | 1.94 | 2.51 | +22.2% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.67 | 1.74 | — | -4.1% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 5 matchesDerbyvsWest Brom
1.00Goals / Match1.60
2.00Conceded / Match1.20
1Clean Sheets1
3.20Shots on Target / Match4.40
43.8%Possession %54.4%
76.7%Pass Accuracy %86.6%
radarTeam Profile
Derby
West Brom
sports_soccer
17Attack38
shield
34Defense53
swap_horiz
31Possession68
gps_fixed
65Efficiency87
auto_fix_high
25Creativity45
gavel
25Discipline60
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
5Goals Scored8
10Goals Conceded6
1Clean Sheets1
5Big Chances8
2Big Chances Missed4
0Penalty Goals1
gps_fixedShooting
50Total Shots56
16Shots on Target22
swap_horizPassing & Possession
43.8%Avg Possession54.4%
1,831Total Passes2,701
76.7%Pass Accuracy86.6%
shieldDefending
70Tackles91
37Interceptions44
22Saves16
43.0%Duels Won53.3%
gavelDiscipline
75Fouls49
15Yellow Cards10
14Offsides15
analyticsOther
24Corners24
25Successful Dribbles37
6.94Avg Rating7.53
history Recent Form
DerbyL
W
L
D
L
West BromW
D
L
W
W
group Head to Head
PL23 Jan 2026
1-1
PL13 Sept 2025
0-1
PL12 Aug 2025
1-1
PL21 Apr 2025
1-3
PL26 Dec 2024
2-1
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
11 / 15 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
7 / 15 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
5 / 15 matches
Both Teams to Score
67%
10 / 15 matches
Derby CS
27%
Clean Sheets
West Brom CS
13%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
23 Jan 2026
Derby County
1 - 1
West Bromwich Albion
13 Sept 2025
West Bromwich Albion
0 - 1
Derby County
12 Aug 2025
West Bromwich Albion
1 - 1
Derby County
21 Apr 2025
West Bromwich Albion
1 - 3
Derby County
26 Dec 2024
Derby County
2 - 1
West Bromwich Albion
23 Aug 2022
Derby County
1 - 0
West Bromwich Albion
27 Dec 2021
Derby County
1 - 0
West Bromwich Albion
14 Sept 2021
West Bromwich Albion
0 - 0
Derby County
8 Jul 2020
West Bromwich Albion
2 - 0
Derby County
24 Aug 2019
Derby County
1 - 1
West Bromwich Albion
5 May 2019
Derby County
3 - 1
West Bromwich Albion
24 Oct 2018
West Bromwich Albion
1 - 4
Derby County
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
0.70
Form (Overall)
2.20
West Brom is +214% better in terms of Points Per Game
West Ham United
3 - 0
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Portsmouth
0 - 2
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0 - 3
Swansea City
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2 - 2
Cardiff City
Charlton Athletic
2 - 1
Derby County
West Bromwich Albion
1 - 0
Watford
West Bromwich Albion
1 - 1
Charlton Athletic
Middlesbrough
3 - 1
West Bromwich Albion
West Bromwich Albion
3 - 1
Burnley
Norwich City
1 - 2
West Bromwich Albion
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