Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Tips | Bundesliga | FootballTips.app

Dortmund

Dortmund

Home
Full Time
2 - 3
HT: 1 - 0
Saturday 28 February
Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

Away
DortmundTimelineBayern Munich
1st Half
Schlotterbeck N.
20'
Schlotterbeck N. (Svensson D.)
sports_soccer
26'
Bensebaini R.Out: Can E.
sync_alt
45+5'
2nd Half
Kane H. (Gnabry S.)
sports_soccer
54'
Musiala J.Out: Gnabry S.
sync_alt
62'
Guirassy S.Out: Silva F.
sync_alt
67'
Kane H.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
70'
Brandt J.Out: Adeyemi K.
sync_alt
75'
Inacio S.Out: Beier M.
sync_alt
75'
Bellingham J.Out: Nmecha F.
sync_alt
75'
Svensson D. (Sabitzer M.)
sports_soccer
83'
Kimmich J. ()
sports_soccer
87'
Bischof T.Out: Laimer K.
sync_alt
90'
Kim Min-JaeOut: Olise M.
sync_alt
90+2'
Goretzka L.Out: Kimmich J.
sync_alt
90+2'

Top stats

1.04Expected goals (xG)2.05
33%Ball possession67%
10Total shots14
2Shots on target6
2Big chances3
5Corner kicks2
72% (206/286)Passes87% (513/591)
1Yellow cards0

Shots

1.04Expected goals (xG)2.05
1.71xG on target (xGOT)2.55
10Total shots14
2Shots on target6
3Shots off target4
5Blocked shots4
8Shots inside the box9
2Shots outside the box5
0Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals0

Attack

2Big chances3
5Corner kicks2
28Touches in opposition box28
0Accurate through passes1
3Offsides1
10Free kicks15

Passes

72% (206/286)Passes87% (513/591)
49% (28/57)Long passes55% (38/69)
64% (65/102)Passes in final third71% (118/166)
36% (5/14)Crosses15% (2/13)
1.50Expected assists (xA)1.60
16Throw ins19

Defense

15Fouls10
67% (14/21)Tackles53% (10/19)
45Duels won58
33Clearances21
16Interceptions14
1Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves0
2.55xGOT faced1.71
-0.45Goals prevented-0.29
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
14.66
X4.85
21.64

Recommended Bet

check_circle
Away Win
Stake: High (9/10)
88
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #2 vs Away #1
Season: Home 2.26 PPG vs Away 2.61 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.40 PPG vs Away 2.40 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.36 GPG vs Away 3.36 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

11%
10%
79%
Dortmund
Draw
Bayern Munich

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Dortmund

Starting 11
-Gregor Kobel
GK6.78
-Ramy Bensebaini
DC6.98
-Nico Schlotterbeck
DC7.30
-Waldemar Anton
DC7.23
-Daniel Svensson
DML6.85
-Jobe Bellingham
MC6.49
-Felix Nmecha
MC6.89
-Yan Couto
DMR6.82
-Maximilian Beier
AMC6.83
-Julian Brandt
AMC6.90
-Serhou Guirassy
FW7.10

Bayern Munich

Starting 11
-Jonas Urbig
GK6.62
-Konrad Laimer
DL6.98
-Jonathan Tah
DC7.04
-Dayot Upamecano
DC6.82
-Josip Stanisic
DR7.06
-Joshua Kimmich
DMC7.18
-Aleksandar Pavlovic
DMC6.83
-Luis Díaz
AML7.75
-Jamal Musiala
AMC6.49
-Michael Olise
AMR7.98
-Harry Kane
FW8.32
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

At SIGNAL IDUNA PARK on February 28, 2026, a Bundesliga clash awaits as Borussia Dortmund takes on Bayern Munich.

In the current standings, Borussia Dortmund holds the 2nd position with 52 points, trailing behind Bayern Munich who leads with 60 points.

Borussia Dortmund has been dominant at home, securing 9 wins in 11 matches in the league, while Bayern Munich boasts an impressive record of 19 wins in 23 league matches.

Looking at their past encounters, Borussia Dortmund has suffered 3 losses in the last 6 head-to-head matches against Bayern Munich.

Derby Name: Der Klassiker Prediction: Bayern Munich to triumph with a final score of 2-3.

Borussia Dortmund face a make-or-break situation heading into gameweek 24 after Fabio Silva's 95th-minute goal was only enough to salvage a point away from home against RB Leipzig. Die Schwarzgelben are unbeaten in 16 Bundesliga outings, but are eight points behind their visitors at the top.

Bayern Munich conceded twice in the final 13 minutes of their game against Eintracht Frankfurt last weekend but were still able to take home all three points, largely thanks to Harry Kane's brace. The hosts are now eight points clear at the top after three straight league wins.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 23 matches
DortmundvsBayern Munich
2.13Goals / Match3.70
0.96Conceded / Match0.91
11Clean Sheets9
4.91Shots on Target / Match8.91
53.6%Possession %66.6%
84.1%Pass Accuracy %90.2%

radarTeam Profile

Dortmund
Bayern Munich
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
67Attack100
shield
63Defense53
swap_horiz
64Possession93
gps_fixed
88Efficiency96
auto_fix_high
61Creativity79
gavel
46Discipline65

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

49Goals Scored85
22Goals Conceded21
11Clean Sheets9
65Big Chances114
31Big Chances Missed60
4Penalty Goals9

gps_fixedShooting

302Total Shots440
113Shots on Target205

swap_horizPassing & Possession

53.6%Avg Possession66.6%
11,408Total Passes16,096
84.1%Pass Accuracy90.2%

shieldDefending

321Tackles283
183Interceptions183
57Saves35
50.1%Duels Won48.2%

gavelDiscipline

269Fouls211
44Yellow Cards41
2Red Cards0
29Offsides57

analyticsOther

122Corners146
186Successful Dribbles219
1Errors Leading to Goal8
6.97Avg Rating7.13

Statistical Comparison

DortmundMetricBayern Munich
48
Goals
82
36
Assists
65
6.7
Average Ratings
6.8
26
Average Age
26.5
186
Average Height (cm)
185
0.8
Shots pg
1.1
53%
Aerial Duel Success
51%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.8
1.2
Tackles pg
1

League Standings Context

For Dortmund

PosTeamPWDLPts
1Bayern Munich23193160
2Borussia Dortmund23157152
3Hoffenheim23144546

For Bayern Munich

PosTeamPWDLPts
1Bayern Munich23193160
2Borussia Dortmund23157152

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

56.6/ 110.5
Dangerous Attacks
65.9/ 128.1
37.0%
Shots on Target
47.0%
12.7
Total Shots
18.2
54.0%
Possession
65.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

2.0
Goals Scored / Match
3.4
1.3
Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

Head-to-Head Summary

1
Dortmund Wins
17%
2
Draws
33%
3
Bayern Munich Wins
50%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketDortmundBayern Munich
Over 1.5 Goals
86%31/36
97%35/36
Over 2.5 Goals
56%20/36
92%33/36
Both Teams to Score
53%19/36
64%23/36
* Based on last 36 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Dortmund

UCL
Borussia Dortmund
2 - 0
Atalanta
De1
Borussia Dortmund
4 - 0
Mainz
De1
Borussia Dortmund
3 - 2
Heidenheim
UCL
Borussia Dortmund
0 - 2
Inter
De1
Borussia Dortmund
3 - 2
St Pauli
De1
Borussia Dortmund
3 - 0
Werder Bremen

Home Games: Dortmund

UCL
Borussia Dortmund
2 - 0
Atalanta
De1
Borussia Dortmund
4 - 0
Mainz
De1
Borussia Dortmund
3 - 2
Heidenheim
UCL
Borussia Dortmund
0 - 2
Inter
De1
Borussia Dortmund
3 - 2
St Pauli
De1
Borussia Dortmund
3 - 0
Werder Bremen

Last 6: Bayern Munich

De1
Werder Bremen
0 - 3
Bayern Munich
De1
Hamburger SV
2 - 2
Bayern Munich
UCL
PSV Eindhoven
1 - 2
Bayern Munich
De1
RB Leipzig
1 - 5
Bayern Munich
De1
Köln
1 - 3
Bayern Munich
De1
Heidenheim
0 - 4
Bayern Munich

Away Games: Bayern Munich

De1
Werder Bremen
0 - 3
Bayern Munich
De1
Hamburger SV
2 - 2
Bayern Munich
UCL
PSV Eindhoven
1 - 2
Bayern Munich
De1
RB Leipzig
1 - 5
Bayern Munich
De1
Köln
1 - 3
Bayern Munich
De1
Heidenheim
0 - 4
Bayern Munich

history Recent Form

DortmundDortmund
2.3 GPG
D
W
W
W
W
Bayern MunichBayern Munich
2.6 GPG
W
W
W
D
L

group Head to Head

PL18 Oct 2025
Bayern München
2-1
Borussia Dortmund
PL12 Apr 2025
Bayern München
2-2
Borussia Dortmund
PL30 Nov 2024
Borussia Dortmund
1-1
Bayern München
PL30 Mar 2024
Bayern München
0-2
Borussia Dortmund
PL4 Nov 2023
Borussia Dortmund
0-4
Bayern München
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
84%
46 / 55 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
34 / 55 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
49%
27 / 55 matches
Both Teams to Score
58%
32 / 55 matches
Dortmund CS
20%
Clean Sheets
Bayern Munich CS
27%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

18 Oct 2025
Bayern München
2 - 1
Borussia Dortmund
12 Apr 2025
Bayern München
2 - 2
Borussia Dortmund
30 Nov 2024
Borussia Dortmund
1 - 1
Bayern München
30 Mar 2024
Bayern München
0 - 2
Borussia Dortmund
4 Nov 2023
Borussia Dortmund
0 - 4
Bayern München
1 Apr 2023
Bayern München
4 - 2
Borussia Dortmund
8 Oct 2022
Borussia Dortmund
2 - 2
Bayern München
23 Apr 2022
Bayern München
3 - 1
Borussia Dortmund
4 Dec 2021
Borussia Dortmund
2 - 3
Bayern München
17 Aug 2021
Borussia Dortmund
1 - 3
Bayern München
6 Mar 2021
Bayern München
4 - 2
Borussia Dortmund
7 Nov 2020
Borussia Dortmund
2 - 3
Bayern München

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Dortmund
2.26
Form (Overall)
Bayern Munich
2.61

Bayern Munich is +15% better in terms of Points Per Game

RB Leipzig
2 - 2
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
4 - 0
Mainz 05
Wolfsburg
1 - 2
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
3 - 2
Heidenheim
Union Berlin
0 - 3
Borussia Dortmund
Bayern München
3 - 2
Eintracht Frankfurt
Werder Bremen
0 - 3
Bayern München
Bayern München
5 - 1
Hoffenheim
Hamburger SV
2 - 2
Bayern München
Bayern München
1 - 2
Augsburg

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