Dortmund vs Hamburger SV Prediction & Tips | Bundesliga | FootballTips.app

Dortmund

Dortmund

Home
Full Time
3 - 2
HT: 0 - 2
Saturday 21 March
Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV

Away
DortmundTimelineHamburger SV
1st Half
Otele P. (Mikelbrencis W.)
sports_soccer
19'
Lokonga A. S. (Vieira F.)
sports_soccer
38'
Nmecha F. (Penalty missed)
close
45'
Remberg N.
45+4'
Adeyemi K.
45+4'
2nd Half
Guirassy S.Out: Adeyemi K.
sync_alt
46'
Bensebaini R.Out: Reggiani L.
sync_alt
46'
Silva F.Out: Svensson D.
sync_alt
58'
Chukwuemeka C.Out: Sabitzer M.
sync_alt
58'
Downs D.Out: Vieira F.
sync_alt
67'
Otele P.
68'
Balde F.Out: Otele P.
sync_alt
68'
Mikelbrencis W.
72'
Bensebaini R.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
73'
Guirassy S.
sports_soccer
78'
Stange O.Out: Konigsdorffer R.
sync_alt
79'
Bensebaini R.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
84'
Dompe J.Out: Mikelbrencis W.
sync_alt
90+1'
Philippe R.Out: Omari W.
sync_alt
90+1'
Ryerson J.
90+4'
Brandt J.Out: Nmecha F.
sync_alt
90+6'

Top stats

6.01Expected goals (xG)1.52
68%Ball possession32%
24Total shots4
8Shots on target4
10Big chances3
11Corner kicks3
87% (460/531)Passes71% (183/258)
2Yellow cards3

Shots

6.01Expected goals (xG)1.52
3.73xG on target (xGOT)1.95
24Total shots4
8Shots on target4
11Shots off target0
5Blocked shots0
20Shots inside the box3
4Shots outside the box1
1Hit the woodwork0

Attack

10Big chances3
11Corner kicks3
43Touches in opposition box4
1Accurate through passes1
1Offsides2
8Free kicks10

Passes

87% (460/531)Passes71% (183/258)
46% (22/48)Long passes40% (22/55)
83% (179/216)Passes in final third50% (15/30)
24% (9/37)Crosses0% (0/5)
2.87Expected assists (xA)1.11
25Throw ins20

Defense

10Fouls8
64% (9/14)Tackles62% (16/26)
48Duels won59
9Clearances60
6Interceptions8
2Errors leading to shot1
2Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves5
1.95xGOT faced3.73
-0.05Goals prevented0.73
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.42
X5.22
27.20

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (8/10)
78
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #2 vs Away #11
Season: Home 2.23 PPG vs Away 1.15 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 1.15 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.31 GPG vs Away 0.75 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

95%
3%
2%
Dortmund
Draw
Hamburger SV

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund made no mistakes against Augsburg in gameweek 26 as goals from Karim Adeyemi and Luca Reggiani sealed a 2-0 home win. Die Schwarzgelben have responded to a minor blip with back-to-back league wins, although they are nine points behind league leaders Bayern Munich.

Fabio Vieira's 39th-minute opener was cancelled out right before the break last weekend as Hamburg were held to a 1-1 draw by former 2. Bundesliga title rivals FC Köln. HSV have won just one of their last five league games as they travel to Signal Iduna Park.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Dortmund

Starting 11
-Gregor Kobel
GK6.78
-Waldemar Anton
DC7.16
-Nico Schlotterbeck
DC7.30
-Luca Reggiani
DC6.84
-Maximilian Beier
DML6.83
-Jobe Bellingham
MC6.52
-Felix Nmecha
MC6.87
-Julian Ryerson
DMR6.98
-Karim Adeyemi
AMC6.61
-Julian Brandt
AMC6.85
-Serhou Guirassy
FW7.02

Hamburger SV

Starting 11
-Daniel Heuer Fernandes
GK6.55
-Jordan Torunarigha
DC6.79
-Luka Vuskovic
DC7.32
-Warmed Omari
DC6.52
-Miro Muheim
DML6.90
-Nicolai Remberg
MC6.84
-Albert Sambi Lokonga
MC6.63
-William Mikelbrencis
DMR6.31
-Ransford Königsdörffer
FWL6.39
-Damion Downs
FW6.25
-Fábio Vieira
FWR6.72
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 26 matches
DortmundvsHamburger SV

radarTeam Profile

Dortmund
Hamburger SV
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
69Attack31
shield
63Defense44
swap_horiz
64Possession48
gps_fixed
86Efficiency58
auto_fix_high
63Creativity28
gavel
49Discipline29

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

55Goals Scored29
26Goals Conceded37
12Clean Sheets6
78Big Chances47
39Big Chances Missed32
4Penalty Goals3

gps_fixedShooting

341Total Shots322
125Shots on Target120

swap_horizPassing & Possession

53.3%Avg Possession46.7%
12,878Total Passes10,536
84.2%Pass Accuracy81.3%

shieldDefending

369Tackles376
217Interceptions219
67Saves77
50.1%Duels Won51.8%

gavelDiscipline

304Fouls312
46Yellow Cards57
2Red Cards6
34Offsides51

analyticsOther

143Corners95
208Successful Dribbles187
1Errors Leading to Goal6
6.97Avg Rating6.79

Statistical Comparison

DortmundMetricHamburger SV
54
Goals
29
41
Assists
19
6.7
Average Ratings
6.4
25.5
Average Age
25
187.7
Average Height (cm)
184.7
0.8
Shots pg
0.7
53%
Aerial Duel Success
52%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.4
1.1
Tackles pg
1.1

history Recent Form

DortmundDortmund
2.2 GPG
W
W
L
D
W
Hamburger SVHamburger SV
1.1 GPG
D
W
L
L
D

group Head to Head

PL8 Nov 2025
Hamburger SV
1-1
Borussia Dortmund
PL10 Feb 2018
Borussia Dortmund
2-0
Hamburger SV
PL20 Sept 2017
Hamburger SV
0-3
Borussia Dortmund
PL4 Apr 2017
Borussia Dortmund
3-0
Hamburger SV
PL5 Nov 2016
Hamburger SV
2-5
Borussia Dortmund
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
80%
20 / 25 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
15 / 25 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
8 / 25 matches
Both Teams to Score
44%
11 / 25 matches
Dortmund CS
36%
Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV CS
24%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

8 Nov 2025
Hamburger SV
1 - 1
Borussia Dortmund
10 Feb 2018
Borussia Dortmund
2 - 0
Hamburger SV
20 Sept 2017
Hamburger SV
0 - 3
Borussia Dortmund
4 Apr 2017
Borussia Dortmund
3 - 0
Hamburger SV
5 Nov 2016
Hamburger SV
2 - 5
Borussia Dortmund
17 Apr 2016
Borussia Dortmund
3 - 0
Hamburger SV
20 Nov 2015
Hamburger SV
3 - 1
Borussia Dortmund
7 Mar 2015
Hamburger SV
0 - 0
Borussia Dortmund
4 Oct 2014
Borussia Dortmund
0 - 1
Hamburger SV
22 Feb 2014
Hamburger SV
3 - 0
Borussia Dortmund
14 Sept 2013
Borussia Dortmund
6 - 2
Hamburger SV
9 Feb 2013
Borussia Dortmund
1 - 4
Hamburger SV

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Dortmund
2.23
Form (Overall)
Hamburger SV
1.15

Dortmund is +94% better in terms of Points Per Game

Borussia Dortmund
2 - 0
Augsburg
Köln
1 - 2
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
2 - 3
Bayern München
RB Leipzig
2 - 2
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
4 - 0
Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
1 - 1
Köln
Wolfsburg
1 - 2
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
0 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen
Hamburger SV
1 - 2
RB Leipzig
Mainz 05
1 - 1
Hamburger SV

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