Dortmund vs Paderborn Prediction & Tips | Bundesliga | FootballTips.app

Dortmund
HomeFull Time
3 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Saturday 12 September

Paderborn
AwayDortmundTimelinePaderborn
1st Half
Silva F.Assist: Guirassy S.
sports_soccer
5'
Ulrich L.
39'
2nd Half
Sabitzer M.Out: Nwaneri E.
sync_alt
64'
Nmecha F.Out: Veerman J.
sync_alt
64'
Chukwuemeka C.Out: Silva F.
sync_alt
64'
Bellingham J.
66'
Lippmann C.Out: Curda L.
sync_alt
67'
Batista Meier O.Out: Vidovic G.
sync_alt
67'
Tigges S.Out: Marino S.
sync_alt
67'
Bensebaini R.Out: Schlotterbeck N.
sync_alt
77'
Beier M.Out: Ryerson J.
sync_alt
77'
Djuric L.Out: Ulrich L.
sync_alt
77'
Nmecha F. (Beier M.)
sports_soccer
80'
Philippe R.Out: Hansen M.
sync_alt
82'
Nmecha F. (Sabitzer M.)
sports_soccer
89'
No statistics available for this match
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
11.23
X6.80
211.00
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #3 vs Away #13
Season: Home 1.90 PPG vs Away 1.60 PPG
Recent Form: Home 1.90 PPG vs Away 1.60 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.00 GPG vs Away 1.71 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
63%
Dortmund Win
21%
Draw
16%
Paderborn Win
Dortmund
Draw
Paderborn
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.33 | 1.64 | 1.42 | -19.1% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 3.15 | 2.55 | 3.37 | +23.4% |
| Borussia Dortmund Win | 1.23 | 1.58 | 1.29 | -22.0% |
| Draw | 7.00 | 4.84 | 7.33 | +44.6% |
| Paderborn Win | 11.00 | 6.26 | 11.51 | +75.7% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.76 | 1.71 | 1.86 | +2.7% |
| BTTS - No | 2.04 | 2.40 | 2.16 | -15.1% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 34 matchesDortmundvsPaderborn
2.06Goals / Match1.09
1.00Conceded / Match2.18
15Clean Sheets5
4.79Shots on Target / Match3.79
53.2%Possession %45.6%
84.3%Pass Accuracy %77.8%
radarTeam Profile
Dortmund
Paderborn
sports_soccer
68Attack30
shield
62Defense42
swap_horiz
63Possession51
gps_fixed
86Efficiency49
auto_fix_high
62Creativity33
gavel
50Discipline36
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
70Goals Scored37
34Goals Conceded74
15Clean Sheets5
106Big Chances56
55Big Chances Missed35
6Penalty Goals2
gps_fixedShooting
444Total Shots431
163Shots on Target129
swap_horizPassing & Possession
53.2%Avg Possession45.6%
16,769Total Passes13,432
84.3%Pass Accuracy77.8%
shieldDefending
491Tackles631
273Interceptions364
89Saves113
49.7%Duels Won47.0%
gavelDiscipline
398Fouls426
63Yellow Cards82
2Red Cards3
40Offsides62
analyticsOther
181Corners176
257Successful Dribbles382
4Errors Leading to Goal5
6.96Avg Rating6.69
history Recent Form
L
D
group Head to Head
PL2 Feb 2021
3-2
PL31 May 2020
1-6
PL22 Nov 2019
3-3
PL28 Oct 2015
7-1
PL18 Apr 2015
3-0
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
83%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
100%
6 / 6 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
6 / 6 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
83%
5 / 6 matches
Both Teams to Score
83%
5 / 6 matches
Dortmund CS
17%
Clean Sheets
Paderborn CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
2 Feb 2021
Borussia Dortmund
3 - 2
Paderborn
31 May 2020
Paderborn
1 - 6
Borussia Dortmund
22 Nov 2019
Borussia Dortmund
3 - 3
Paderborn
28 Oct 2015
Borussia Dortmund
7 - 1
Paderborn
18 Apr 2015
Borussia Dortmund
3 - 0
Paderborn
22 Nov 2014
Paderborn
2 - 2
Borussia Dortmund
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.90
Form (Overall)
1.60
Dortmund is +19% better in terms of Points Per Game
Paderborn
0 - 1
Freiburg
Mainz 05
0 - 0
Paderborn
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